I-Stock Market kunye no-Economy Zizinto ezimbini ezahlukeneyo

Indlela intengiso yemasheya kunye noqoqosho olubhekiselelana ngayo.

Indlela i-market market kunye noqoqosho olufanelekileyo ngayo.

Kubaninzi abatyalo-mali, imarike yemasheya kunye noqoqosho kuhlanganiswe ngokungenakulinganiswa. Le ngcamango ingaxolelwa ngenxa yokuba iindaba zeendaba zezezimali zihamba ubude obukhulu, imihla ngemihla, ukubopha ukunyuka kweemarike kwimicimbi yezoqoqosho.

Kodwa inkalo yolu ngxaki kukuba, kukho ubudlelwane obuncinane phakathi kwempilo yoqoqosho jikelele kunye nemarike yemasheya ngokweengxelo yophando eyenziwe yi-LPL yezezimali ngo-2013.

Yathi, inxalenye;

Ngokuchasene nobulumko obuqhelekileyo, kwaye yintoni enokumangalisa kulabo ababona amaxabiso angaphantsi kwamadijithali okukhula komkhiqizo wekhaya (GDP) ngokungahambelani neentengo ezimbini zamashektha okuthengiswa kwempahla, i-GDP ayifanele ifuthe ukuvelisa kwimarike yemasheya - njengoko u-2013 unokufakazela. Enyanisweni, kukho ubudlelwane obuncinane phakathi kokukhula kweGDP kunye nokusebenza kwemakethi yempahla.

Kukho iinkcazo ezicacileyo zengqiqo-intuitive. I-GDP eqinile ingaba ngumqondiso woqoqosho olugqithiseleyo olunokubakho ngenxa yokunciphisa umnotho, kwaye i-GDP engenakuthathaka ingancishiswa yimarike yemasheya phambi kokuguqulwa kwangempela. Njengobungqina, kwiminyaka engama-35 edluleyo, i-S & P 500 yathumele i-quarter quarters 16 kwi-GDP. Kwakhona, ngaphezu kwexesha elifanayo, i-S & P 500 ifunyenwe ukufumana i-quarter half quarters xa i-GDP yonyaka iyenamandla ngaphezu kwe-6% kwaye ikhula.

Esinye sezizathu ezibalulekileyo ukuba izitokhwe kunye nezoqoqosho zikwazi ukuhamba ngokuzimela omnye komnye kukuba enye inkulu kwaye enye inkulu.

Uqoqosho lwase-US lukhulu, kwaye luquka iinkampani zamawaka, izigidi zabasebenzi kunye nezigidi zeedola. Imiba ehambayo ekuqhubele phambili okanye yokuyibuyisela ininzi.

Kodwa isitokethi sixhomekeke kwisinye sodwa, umgangatho omncinci - ukunikezelwa kunye neemfuno.

Kuzo zonke izitokhwe ezithengiswa esidlangalaleni zikhona kuphela izabelo ezininzi ezikhoyo ukuthengiswa. Eyona nto ifuna ukuba ezo zabelo ziphezulu, ixabiso le-stock. Ngoko, unokufumana lula imeko apho uqoqosho luphela, kodwa izabelo zeenkampani eziyimpumelelo zincinci. Oku kuya kubangela ukuba isitokethi sikhuphuke, nangona kwenzeka ntoni kuqoqosho jikelele.

Ngokuqinisekileyo, ukulungelelanisa kubaluleke kakhulu phakathi kwamasheya kunye noqoqosho kubandakanya ixesha. Ukufutshane ixesha elide lilo buthathaka ubudlelwane. Kodwa yiphathe ixesha elide, umzekelo, iminyaka okanye amashumi eminyaka, kwaye ukusebenza kwabo bobabini kuya kutshintsha.

Ngokukodwa, izitokhwe ziyakwazi ukuhamba ngokuzimeleyo koqoqosho kwithuba elithile, kodwa ngezinye iinkalo, ukuba umda uphuma kwezoqoqosho, zonke iinqanawa ziya kuncipha. Ngokomlando, oku kutheni ukuthenga-kunye-kubambe ngokuqhelekileyo kusebenze-kuba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi uqoqosho lwase-United States lwanda lukhula lukhulu kwaye lunamandla, kwaye ngoko ke izitokisi ziqiniswe.

Kodwa ngenxa yobuninzi bemali-mali bemali-mveliso, kubhetele ukugxila kwizinto ezisisiseko kunye / okanye iinkcukacha ze-stock xa zivavanya ukuba zithengwe endaweni yento enokuthi ingenzeki kwaye ingenzeki ngoqoqosho jikelele.

Ngaphandle koko, ukwahlula uqoqosho kunzima. Uyazi oko bathi, "U-economist 'ngumqeqeshi oqeqeshiwe ohlawulelwe ukuqiqa into engalunganga ngoqoqosho."

Njengoko ufunda? Ufuna enye? ukufumana ulwazi olongezelelweyo lokutshala imali. ukufumana ulwazi olongezelelweyo lokutshala imali.

Iifoto ze-Photo: Andy Ryan / Stone / Getty Izithombe