Indlela Yokurhweba Ngengqondo Yakho Ngenguye
Yintoni Uhlalutyo oluninzi?
Uhlalutyo olulinganisiweyo luvumela abahwebi ukuba basuse imvakalelo kwinkqubo yokutyalomali. Uhlalutyo olulinganisiweyo yindlela ejolise kwiinkcukacha zamanani okanye izinto ezinokuthi zenzeke ngenxa yokuvutha kwemizwa. Ngenxa yobugcisa beekhompyutheni kunye neemodeli ezisezingeni eliphezulu, uhlalutyo oluninzi luye lwaba phezu kweWall Street kunye neninzi labathengisi abatsha nabasebenzi kwiiWatch Streets okanye abo abanengqondo yokulinganisela.
Uhlalutyo olulinganisiweyo luneendawo kwimarike ye-FX njengawo nawuphi na omnye urhwebo.
Uyazi kakuhle iintlobo ezahlukeneyo zohlalutyo oluninzi nangona ungaziboni njengomlinganiselo, ngubani umntu oza kwiimarike ukusuka kumbono wokulinganisa. Isilinganiselo semali esilula njenge-wrist reward, i-earnings-share-share okanye into enzima kunjengokukhethwa kwemilinganiselo kunye nokuhamba kwemali ehlaziyiweyo. Njengoko unokucinga, idatha ibaluleke kakhulu kuhlalutyo ngokuqhelekileyo nje kuphela njengoko idatha ehamba kwiimfuno ezininzi zijolise kumgangatho wolwazi osetyenziswayo ukuzalisa iimodeli zabo zeemathematika kunye nezibalo.
Imizekelo yokuHlalwa kweMali okanye ukuHlola kweSatisati
Akudingeki ukuba ube yimatriki ngexesha okanye ube nogqirha kwizoqoqosho ukuze uzuze kwi-analysis analysis. Ngezibalo, ukhangele ukuxhomekeka okanye ubambiswano lwezinto ezimbini ezingafaniyo okanye iifasethi. Abaxhamli bazuzwa kuhlalutyo oluqhelekileyo lweenkcukacha, ezibhekiselele kwiqela elibanzi lolwalamano kunye nokuxhomekeka.
Ulungelelwano oluqhelekileyo kwimarike ye-FX yi-dollar ubuthathaka buhambelana nobuthathaka kwiimarike ezikhulayo. Olunye ubudlelwane be-Intermarket ubudlelwane beYen kunye nobuthakathaka bemakethe yobulungisa.
Uhlalutyo lwesitatisti luncedo ekuqaliseni amathuba okuza kusasa kodwa akenzelwe ukuba yi-predictive. Inqaku eliqhelekileyo kukuba ukulungiswa akuyona into ebalulekileyo.
Ubutyebi bubhekisela kubangelwa imbangela-kunye-nentsingiselo, kanti ukulungelelanisa kuthetha nje ukunyakaza okuqhelekileyo phakathi kweenguqu ezimbini ezikhethiweyo. Umlinganiselo weentsebenziswano ze-coefficients yi--1 ukuya ku-1 kanti i-negative ishambelane ngokuthe ngqo kunye nolungelelaniso, ukulungelelanisa, ukulungelelanisa kunye nokulungelelanisa okulungileyo kufana neendlela ezimbini okanye iimarike zixhunyaniswe omnye nomnye.
Olunye uhlobo olufanelekileyo oluhlalutyo lwamanani lwaziwa njengoluhlalutyo lokuhlaziya. Uhlalutyo lwenkohlakalo luhlobo oluhle kakhulu lokuhlalutya kunye nokuhlalutya okwenziweyo ukuze kukuncede ubone ulwalamano phakathi kweenguqu. Uhlalutyo lwenkohlakalo lugxininisa ubudlelwane obuphakathi kwezinto ezixhomekeke kuzo kunye nomlinganiselo omnye okanye ngaphezulu. Ngokukodwa, uhlalutyo lokuguqulwa kukunceda ukuba uqonde indlela ixabiso eliqhelekileyo loguquko oluxhomekeke kuyo xa kukho naziphi na ezizimeleyo ezihlukeneyo. Iiphakheji ezininzi ze-FX zitshatileyo zinezixhobo zokurhweba ezenza uhlalutyo lokuhlaziywa kwakho kwaye kulula ukufikelela kwiinkalo.
Uhlalutyo lwenkohlakalo luqikelela ngokulindelekileyo imeko okanye ulwalathiso lwamaxabiso athile axhomekeke kuzo.
Oku kuthetha ithamo eliqhelekileyo lezinto ezixhomekeke kuye kuxhomekeke kwisitshixo esizimeleyo. Oku kufuthi kuboniswe kumgca we-sloping ephezulu okanye ukunciphisa ngokunciphisa intengo kwicala lendlela okanye kwicala lokuhambisa umgca wokuguqulwa ngokuqhelekileyo.
Yintoni efunekayo?
Nangona iimodeli zeemathematika zingaphaya kwelo nqaku, abathengisi abaninzi basebenzisa i-Excel baseMicrosoft kwaye basebenzise umsebenzi wokulungisana phakathi kweenguqu kwixesha elithile lokuba baqinisekise ukuba kukho ukulungiswa okulungileyo okanye okungalunganga. Nangona kunjalo, ezininzi iinkcukacha zophando ziya kubeka iingxelo zokulungisa kunye nazo zifumaneke kwiindawo zokuphanda ezifana neBloomberg okanye iReuters.
Ukuba unomdla wokwenza ezi ntlobo zemizekelo, kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba iziphumo zedatha kunye nedata elahlekileyo okanye engaphelelanga ingakhokelela.
Ngoko ke, kufuneka uqaphele idatha elahlekileyo kuqala ukuze uhlalutye ngempumelelo idatha. I-Excel mhlawumbi ibhetri yakho ngokubhekiselele ekusebenziseni uhlalutyo olulula kodwa abaninzi abathengi banikezela izixhobo ezinokukunceda wenze uhlalutyo oluninzi ngokunjalo.
Ekugqibeleni, uhlalutyo lwenani lusetyenziselwa ukufaka intloko yakho ejikeleze iziguquko ezibonakalayo ezingahleliweyo zepateni onokuyithengisa. Umngcipheko kufuneka uhlale ulawulwa, kodwa le patheni inokuhlala ixesha elide nangaphandle kwezinto ezikhoyo. Nangona kubonakala ngathi kufana, ukubuyela emva kwimbali yesigwebo kwimpahla yeegusha ngokuhlalutya rhoqo okanye ukuhlalutya kwamanani. Ihlawulela ukuqaphela ukuvavanywa kwakhona emva kokuhlaziywa njengemodareythi yokwenza imilinganiselo kuba ngokuphindaphindiweyo kunokusibuyanga emva koko kuqhutywe kwiiseti zolwazi ezingenakho ukuzithemba ngokuzithemba, ukuxhomekeka ngokubanzi, kunye nokulahleka okukhulu xa imeko yangoku ihlukana ukusuka kwisethi yedatha.
U ku vuyela!