Ukusebenzisa Iimpawu zokuBuleka eziPhezulu

Indlela yokuRhweba xa iimakethi zihamba kakhulu

Izikhombisi zinokuba luncedo kakhulu kunabathengisi abafuna uncedo ekuboniseni amathuba okurhweba. Umtsalane ulandela izikhombisi ezifana nokuhamba okuphakathi kunye nelokuLimmoku kuyaqondakala ukuba iindawo ezikhethiweyo nezihambayo, kodwa abanye abathengisi bakhetha indlela eyahlukileyo yokuthengisa. Indlela eyahlukileyo iyaziwa njengento yokubuyela okanye ukubuyisela kwisantya kodwa amaxabiso emakethi abonakala njengebhola le-rubber ejikeleze umgca ongundoqo, ukuba ukuba iqela lihamba likude kude nelokuqala, liza kuphinda lihluthe ngokukhawuleza.

Ezi zincinci kwixabiso elifanelekileyo zinexesha kunye nendawo yazo njengazo zonke izikhombisi. Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuba uyazi ukuba ezi zinto zifanele zishiywe kwiitshathi. Makhe sijonge iintlobo ezahlukahlukeneyo zeemarike abahwebi bajonge ukufumana ukuze bangene kunye nethemba le-snapback. Ezi zintathu iintlobo esiza kuzijonga zigqithiseleyo kwaye zigqithiseleyo, ukuhlukumeza okukhuselekileyo kunye nenkcazo , ukuzithemba ngokugqithiseleyo nokunyaniseka.

I-Overbought / Oversold

Xa abathengisi bebhekisela kwi-overbought okanye oversold, bahlala bebhekisela kwindlela oscillator eqhuba ngayo kwitshathi. Isixhobo se-oscillator sinceda ukuba ubonise ukuba iqela elithile lomgaqo-mali liyaqhubeka ukuvala ngasekupheleni kwebala lexesha elide okanye ngasezantsi kwebala lexesha elide.

I-oscillator eyaziwayo yi- Relative Strength Index edalwe nguWelles Wilder. UMnu. Wilder waphawula ukuba umntu unokuthi athengise i-RSI kwaye aphelise ukuba inzuzo, kodwa ndiza kushiya amandla okubonisa ukuba abo balandela uhlalutyo lwakhe.

Ama-oscillators aboniswe ngezantsi kwexabiso leshati kunye nomgca owenza i-RSI ihamba phakathi kwe-zero kunye ne-100. Amanqanaba aphakathi kwama-70 kunye no-100 abonakala ngokugqithiseleyo athengisa iimarike kanti amanqanaba phakathi kwe-32 zero abonakala njengemalike ngokugqithiseleyo.

Njengoko unokucinga, le nto ihambela ebusweni beendlela ezilandelayo kuba kukucela ukuba uthengise ngokuphumla okukhulayo kunye nangokuphuma kwe-bearish.

Nangona kunjalo, indawo emnandi xa i-downtrend ecocekileyo ivela kwiimarike inqatshulwa ngendlela edibana neyona ndlela inkulu, umdlalo ophezulu. Beka enye indlela, xa uthengisa ngale ndlela, kufuneka ukhangele izinto ezigqithiseleyo malunga nomoya wokuba ujoyine umthamo kodwa ugxininisa ugxininise kwiimpawu ezigqithiseleyo ukuthenga kwindlela ehamba phambili kunye ne-downtrend uye wagxininisa ekugqithiseni izibonakaliso thengisa kwicala lendlela enkulu.

Ukunyanzelisa nokukhupha

Ubuninzi buya kwenzeka xa ixabiso kunye nokukhawuleza kungekhona ukuvumelanisa. Abathengisi abanolwazi baye bathetha ngokukhawuleza njengeyona ndlela kuphela ekhokelayo. I-Momentum itholakala kwintsimi ye-physics ichaza amandla emva kwesimo sengqondo. Abahwebi bajonge ukuba babone ukuba ixabiso lihambela phezulu kwixesha elibuthathaka nobuthathaka okanye amaxabiso ahamba esezantsi emva kwexesha elide lobuthathaka obuthakathaka kakhulu lokuba kunokwenzeka ithuba lokubuyisela intsingiselo.

Xa ukukhawuleza kunciphisa ukunyuka okuphezulu okanye okuphantsi, ukuphuka okulandelayo malunga nomoya kunokuba nobudlova, kwaye yiloo nto abahwebi bafuna ukuthengisa. Ukuphazamiseka kuza xa izithintelo ezinzima zangexesha elide ngaphandle kwekhefu ukushiya abahwebi bebuza ukuba kukho ukuhamba kuzo zonke.

Omnye umzekelo uvela kwi- S & P 500 apho ukukhawuleza kwehlisa, kodwa ixabiso liqhubeka lidlala ngeholide kumaphuzu ambalwa eepesenti. Kukho ininzi ithetha ukubuyisela abathengisi bekhangela iimarike njengaleli ithuba lokubamba okokuqala ngentshukumo embi kumgangatho ophakathi okanye intengo.

Ingaba ukungafani okanye ukungafani kukuxhomekeke kwizinto ezithengiswa ngayo imarike ngaphambi kokukhawuleza. Ukwahlukana okutshatyalaliswayo kwenzeka xa ixabiso liqhubeka lihamba ngaphantsi emva kwexesha elide kodwa ukukhawuleza, njengoko kubonwa nge-oscillator njengeRSI, iqala ukunyuka. Ngokuqhelekileyo ngumqondiso kubathengisi ukuba isenzo esidala senziwa kwaye uhlaselo olubhekiselele kwimeko yangaphambili luya kwenzeka. Kungakhathaliseki ukuba kuthengisa ukukhwabanisa okubukhali okanye ukuhamba, abahwebi kufuneka baqhubeke bekulindela malunga ne-40% yokuphumelela kwentlawulo okanye ngaphantsi komngcipheko oqinileyo wokuvuza umlinganiselo kuba le ndlela ilwa nokunyaniseka okunyanisekileyo kwaye ku-S kunye ne-P 500 umthengisi uya kukuxelela, ukuqonda isethi ukunyuka akunzima kunjengoko ixesha lokurhweba okulungileyo.

Isiphelo

Siye saxubusha malunga naziphi na iintlobo zabathengisi abakhangela ukuba bathetha izixhobo zokubuyisela kwakhona kwaye nokuba ngabahwebi abahamba phambili banokuzuza njani kule ndlela. I-Oscillators efana ne-RSI banceda abahwebi ukuba baqaphele amazinga okugqithisa okanye ukugqithisa amanqanaba kunye nokungafani nokuhamba kunye nokuhamba. Ngokwemvelo, uya kuba nokubona iisetu ezingasebenzi kodwa ukuba ingozi elawulwayo kwaye uqhubeka nokunciphisa ilahleko ezifutshane, ezi ndlela zenzeke kwiimarike zinganceda kakhulu.