Emva kweendaba
Ukunyanzeliswa kwezinto ezikhethiweyo akukhethi rhoqo. Ishukunyuka phezulu kwaye isezantsi kwizizathu ezahlukeneyo. Uninzi lwexesha utshintsho luhamba kancane. Nangona kunjalo, kukho iimeko ezimbalwa apho ukhetho olukhethiweyo lwamaxabiso kwintengiso ye-quo-catching rookie abathengisayo.
- Xa imarike iyancipha ngokukhawuleza, ukunyanzeliswa kwezinto (IV) kuvame ukwanda ngokukhawuleza. Ukuba kukho i- Black Swan , okanye efanayo, isiganeko (imarike igxotha), IV ingenzeka iqhube phezulu.
- Xa iimarike zithela phezulu, ingakumbi emva kokuba sele zihamba ngaphantsi, zonke iinkqubo zokutya kweemarike zeebhere ziyabonakala kwaye ikhefu lekhefu likhetho liye lincipha ngokukhawuleza.
- Emva kokuba iindaba zikhutshwe (okt, i-earnings iyabhengezwa okanye i-FDA iphendula ingxelo), IV ivame ukutyunjwa. Esi sihloko sesithuba sa namhlanje.
Xa iindaba zilindelwe kwisitoko esinikeziweyo (isaziso sokufumana imali, iziphumo ze-FDA kwisilingo seziyobisi, njl.) Abathengi banokugqithiseleyo kunabathengisi, kwaye ukuthenga iziphumo kubangelwa ukuphazamiseka okuphezulu kwaye ngoko ke, i- premium ephezulu yokukhetha .
Makhe sibone umzekelo omnye ukuze sibone ukuba kusebenza njani kwaye kutheni kubaluleke kakhulu kubo bonke abathengisi ukuba baqwalasele ixabiso lentetho. Awunako ukukwazi ukwenza urhwebo, ukungahoywa iindleko. Ukufunda ukuba isifundo sisoloko sixabisa kakhulu.
Musa ukucinga ukuba intengo yexabiso lentengo yanamaphi na ukhetho okanye ukusabalala kubonisa inani elifanelekileyo kwi- plan yakho yorhwebo .
Intengo yemarike ibonisa ukuvumelwaniswa kwangoku kwexabiso elungileyo ngalabo bathathe inxaxheba kworhwebo. Kwaye ngenxa yeenjongo zabo, ingaba yinani elifanelekileyo. Nangona kunjalo, ixabiso lingaba yindlela yokuphuma kumgca ngokusekelwe kwingqiqo yakho yokungena kworhwebo.
1. I-XZW ingama-$ 49 ngesabelo ngasinye kunye nemvuzo iya kwaziswa emva kokuba imarike ivale (ngemizuzu eyi-10) namhlanje. Abathengisi abaninzi, abatyali-mali, kunye nabacebisi baye baqhuba imidlalo yabo. Kodwa ezikhetho ziqhubeka zithengisa.
2. Masithathe ingqalelo kwizinto ezikhethiweyo ezinsukwini ezingama-30. "Isiko" sichaza ukungazinzi kwezi zikhetho ziyi-30 ukuya kwi-33, kodwa okwangoku kuthengwa kwemfuno ephakamileyo kwaye i-IV iphoswe (55).
- Ukuba ufuna ukuthenga ezo zikhetho (intengo yesiteleka sama-50), imarike yi-$ 2.55 ukuya kwi-2.75 yezigidi (xabiso elungileyo li-$ 2.64, ngokusekelwe kuloo-volatility 55).
- Ukuba ukhuthaze ngokwaneleyo ukuba uqikelele ukufumana iifowuni ezingama-55, i-market is $ 1.05 ukuya kwi $ 1.15 (xabiso elungileyo li-$ 1.11).
3. Iindaba ezilungileyo. Ngomso kusasa i-XZW ivula ukuthengisa (emva kokulibaziseka okufutshane ngenxa yokungalingani kwemali) @ $ 53. Le nxalenye ye-8% ephakamileyo, kwaye kufuneka imele umphumo omhle we-investors. Akumangalisi ukuba akukho abathengi baninzi. Enyanisweni, uninzi lwabo bathenga iinqununu ngelokufuna ukuthatha inzuzo yabo namhlanje. Ngenxa yabathengisi abaninzi, abathengisi bemakethe basungula ibhidi yabo / bacele ukusabalala ngokusekelwe ekungqiqweni kwe-30.
- Kutheni ukuhlaziywa okuhlaziyiweyo kuqikelele kangaka? Ngenxa yokuba akukho ziganeko zeendaba ezilindelekileyo phambi kokuba ukhetho luphelelwe yisikhathi . Ngamanye amagama, akukho sizathu sokulindela ukuba isitokethi siya kuba yinto engathandekiyo kunokuba iqhelekileyo. Enyanisweni, xa intengo yesitokethi ifumana inqanaba layo elitsha, emva kwe-post-earnings, lingaba lincinci kakhulu kunelo. Izolo kwakukho isiganeko esaziwayo esinokuhambisa intengo yesitoko. Namhlanje oko akuseyinyaniso. Ngako oko, izikhetho ziye zalahlekelwa ezininzi zezibheno.
- Ngempahla @ $ 53 kunye ne-IV kwi-30 (iintsuku ezingama-29 ukuphela), iimakethi zokukhetha zi:
Ngomhla ka-Apr ka-50: i-$ 3.50 ukuya kwi-3.70 yezigidi (ixabiso elifanelekileyo li-$ 3.64)
Ngo-Apr 55 umnxeba: $ 0.90 ukuya kwi $ 1.10 (xabiso elungileyo li-$ 1.00)
- Kulo mzekelo umntu othe wathenga inketho eyayingaphandle kwemali (u-Apr 50 umnxeba) wathola inzuzo efanelekileyo (i-$ 1). Kodwa kwakudinga ukunyuka kwe-$ 4 kwintengo yesitoko ukufumana loo nzuzo. Ukuba ndiyena mnikazi wenketho ndiza kudana kakhulu. Ukuthenga okukhethwa kukho xa i-IV ingama-55 kwaye ithengisa xa i-30 iyindlela eqinisekileyo yokulahlekelwa yimali. Ukuba i-IV yayinqabele kuphela kuma-50, loo mfowunelwa yayiya kuxabisa i-$ 1.00 eyongezelelweyo. Kodwa ukutshatyalaliswa kwezinto ezinokutshatyalaliswa kwachithwa kwaba ngu-30, kwaye leyo 'dollar eyongezelelweyo' ayizange ifumaneke.
- Umntu owathengile u-Apr 55 umnxeba wayedumala ngakumbi kuba urhwebo lwakhe lwalulahlekelwa yimali. Ukuba i-IV yayingama-50, umnxeba uza kuxabisa i-$ 2.14, okanye ngaphezulu kokuphindwe kabini ixabiso layo langoku.
I-Takeaway: Lo akuyona umdlalo wabaqalayo.
Kudinga ukuxilongwa (okt, amava) ukuthenga iindlela xa iindaba zilindele. Kufuneka uqiniseke ukuba unako ukuqikelela indlela amaxabiso akhethiweyo aya kuphendulwa ngayo kwiindaba. Akwanele ukuba uqikelele ngokuchanekileyo isalathisi sexabiso lesitokhwe xa kukho iindlela zokuthengisa. Kufuneka uqonde ukuba ixabiso lokukhetha liyakwazi ukutshintsha. Kuphela ke unako ukugqiba isigqibo sokuba kulungile ukwenza umdlalo. Uninzi lwexesha ezi zikhethi zibiza kakhulu ukuthenga.
Inqaku lokugqibela: Umthengisi owathengileyo nge-Apr 50/55 ukusabalalisa umnxeba wenza ngcono kakhulu.
- Urhwebo: Thenga enye nge-Apr 50 umnxeba; bathengise ngomnye u-Apr 55 umnxeba. Ukuhlawula i-$ 1.70 okanye ngaphantsi (mhlawumbi i-10 cm ngaphantsi).
- Isiphumo: Thengisa ukusasazeka kwe $ 2.50 okanye ngaphezulu (mhlawumbi i-10 cm ngaphezulu *).
- Inzuzo: Kuphakathi kwe-$ 0.80 kunye ne-1.00 ye-$. * Yiyo ukubuya kotyalo-mali okwangama-47%. Qaphela: umthengi we-Apr 50 wabiza i-dollar efanayo, kodwa oko kukubuyiswa kwama-33% kuphela (i $ 0.90 kwi-investor eyi-2.70) kuba imali efunekayo ukwenza uhwebo luphezulu.
* Xa ukhangela ibhidi kwaye ubuze amaxabiso, akunakwenzeka ukuba uyazi ukuba umyalelo wakho wokuba uzaliswe liza kuzaliswa ngexabiso elingcono kunokuba umyalelo wakho ufuna. Ukuqagela kwam kukuba kukuba sinokufumana "ama-10 entente" ekhankanywe ngasentla, kodwa kuphela xa ufaka umyalelo wexesha. Khumbula ukuba oku kuphela ukuqikelela.
Inkulu enkulu yokuthabatha kukuba kuqikelele ukunciphisa inzuzo yokufumana inzuzo ngaphandle kokhetho olulodwa-ingakumbi xa kunokwenzeka ukuba kubekho ukunyaniseka okukhulu.