Kukho iimpendulo ezilula kunye nezicwangcisiweyo kumbuzo wokuba ufanele ugcine ixesha lorhwebo (okanye urhwebo lwaluphi na ubude besikhathi). Ingaba kukho indawo emnandi? Ukuba uthengile, ngaba ufanele ubambe urhweba ngokusebenzisa i-pullback okanye uzame ukukhetha amacwecwe amancinci kunye neebhotile? Ngaba ubambe urhwebo ixesha elide kakhulu, okanye omnye umzuzu mfutshane? Kuze kube nini uthabatha ukubamba izikhundla zakho kuya kuba nefuthe ngqo kwi-profitability, ngoko ke ukunikela ingqwalasela kubalulekile ukuba ufuna ukuphucula.
A
Urhwebo ngokweSicwangciso sakho sokuThengisa
Ngamaxesha amaninzi Umthengisi weeNkcubeko kufuneka athengise impendulo efanayo elula: thengisa kakuhle indlela isicwangciso sakho sokuthengisa esichazela ngayo ukuba uthengise - nokuba ngaba uhlala ixesha elide usebenza okanye uhlala usebenza njani. Iseluleko esilula siya kukunceda xa unesicwangciso sokurhweba, kodwa ukuba uqala nje, kwaye ungenaso icebo okwamanje, loo ngcebiso ayiyi kukunceda kakhulu. Ezi zikhokelo zilandelayo ziyakunceda ukuba wenze isicwangciso sokuba uza kuba nexesha elide lokuthengisa, esekelwe uhlobo lomthengisi ofuna ukuzenza kunye nokuthambekela kwakho kwemvelo.
Phawula iiWind Waves
Amaxabiso ahambelani ngqo kumgca. Ukuba ixabiso likhuphuka (liphezulu), liza kuvuka, libuye, libuye livuke kwakhona. Ukuba sathengi ngokunyuka kokuqala kodwa asiqinisekanga ukuba ixabiso liya kuvuka kwakhona emva kokutsala. Oku kuvele kubonakale ekuphenduleni (khangela isatidi; nqakraza ukukhutshwa kwekhulu).
Ukuba ixabiso liwa (downtrend) liwa, libuyisela emuva kwaye libuye kwakhona.
Ukuba siphumelele ekunciphiseni nangona kunjalo, asinakuqiniseka ukuba intlawulo iya kuqhubeka iwa emva kokutsala. Xa usenza isigqibo sokuba uza kubamba ixesha elide kangakanani, uthabatha esinye sezigqibo zokuqala oza kwenzayo ukuba ngaba uya kubamba ngokubambisa okanye kungenjalo.
Oku akuyona umbuzo olula ukuphendula. I-gyrations eqhubekayo kwintengo ithetha ukutsalwa kwezinto ezincinci kuqhubeka ngexesha lonke.
Ngako oko umthengisi kufuneka achaze ukuba yintoni i-pullback ithetha kubo kunye nokuba bazimisele ukuyibeka.
Ukungabambeli kwi-pullback ephawulekayo kuthetha ukuba inzuzo iyanqunyanyiswa kwindleko ehamba ngayo kwelinye linye elijoliswe kwisikhokelo sakho. Ukuba uzimisele ukubambelela kwiingxowa-zintlobo ngoko unako ukuthabatha inzuzo enkulu kuba ungagqiba ngexabiso elenza amagagasi amaninzi kwindlela yakho.
Ngokomzekelo, masithi uthi ubambelela enye inqaku lakho elilindelekileyo (awuyithandi ukubambelela nge-pullbacks). Uthenga nge-$ 20 elindele ukuba inani liye phezulu. Ihamba kwi $ 20.10 ngokukhawuleza, iqala ukudibanisa ize iqalise ukulahla encinane. Uphuma kwintengiso yakho kwi-20.07 $, ngenani lentlawulo ye-0.07 yenzuzo nganye (inzuzo yonke ingama-0.07 amaxesha angakanani ubukhulu besikhundla sakho).
Omnye umthengisi naye ungena kwixesha elide (ukuthenga) kwi-$ 20. Bazimisele ukubamba i-pullback okanye amabini kwaye banokuba nenjongo ekujoliswe kuyo kwi-$ 20.20, umzekelo. Esikhundleni sokuphuma ngexesha lokurhoxiswa (njengoko umthengisi ongasentla akwenzileyo) bakhetha ukubamba.
Ixabiso liyancipha kwi-20.05 yeeRandi kwaye liqala ukuvuka kwakhona, lifikelela kuma-20.15. Kuphinda kwakhona iphuma kwaye iqala ukuhla. Iyancipha ukuya kwi-20.12 yeedola ize ifike kwi-20.23.
Lo mthengisi owenziwe ngokubambisana kwamabhinqa ukuze athole ixabiso elijoliswe kwi-$ 20.20. Bafumana inzuzo enkulu kunorhwebo omnye kunomthengisi wokuqala.
Ingqwalasela yakho inokuthi isekelwe kwindleko enokuthi ishukunywe kumjelo owodwa (okanye ininzi kangakanani), okanye isekelwe kwenye into efana neepateni zetshati (i- triangles okanye iiflegi njengemizekelo) okanye umngcipheko / umvuzo .
Umthengisi wokuqala angathatha amashishini amaninzi nangona kunjalo; bebezithengisa umbane ngamnye, ukuqokelela amashishini amancinci rhoqo. Abathengisi ababini banokuphela kunye neenzuzo ezifanayo, kodwa okokuqala kusebenza kakhulu (ukuthatha amashishini amathathu) ngelixa umthengisi wesibini engasebenzi (enye yorhwebo).
I-Trade-Off
Njengoko kushiwo ngaphambili, asikwazi ukuqinisekisa ukuba umgangatho uza kuqhubeka ukulandela ukutshintsha. Umrhwebi ophethe ezinye izinto ezithintelayo ucinga ukuba uya kwenza, kwaye ngokwenza njalo uya kuba nezohwebo ezinkulu.
Umrhwebi ophuma ngaphambi kokuba ahambe, okanye kufuphi nokuqala kwe-pullback, ngokuqhelekileyo uza kuba nemisebenzi emincinci yokuwina kodwa mhlawumbi uya kuzuza ngokuphindaphindiweyo. Isizathu kukuba ezinye iintengiso ezithintekayo aziyi kuqhubeka zihamba, kwaye ziyakwazi ukuguqula inkambo. Umrhwebi oya kwinzuzo encinci uthatha inzuzo yakhe kwaye engaphandle kworhwebo ngaphambi kokuguqulwa. Umrhwebi ophethe i-pullback ebukele iirhafu zawo aphuphuma kwaye ngoku ujongene noorhwebo olulahlekileyo .
Yiyiphi Inketho efanelekileyo kuwe
Akukho khetho olufanelekileyo okanye olungalunganga. Ziqhelise kwiakhawunti ye - demo kwaye ubone ukuba yeyiphi indlela eziphumo ekusebenzeni ngokukodwa kunye nentlawulo kubahwebi abaninzi. Abanye abathengisi banokufumana ukuba abayithandi ukubambelela ngokusebenzisa i-pullbacks kwaye bakhetha ukuba baphumelele, bezama ukuthatha inzuzo encinci kwindalo nganye.
Abanye abahwebi banokufumana ukuzithengisa nokuthengisa izinto zokuhamba, kunye nokubamba intengiso nganye ixesha elide (kwaye inzuzo enkulu inokuba yinkulu) yindlela engcono. Chaza kakuhle kwaye kutheni uza kuthatha inzuzo, kwaye ubhale phantsi kwisicwangciso sakho sokuthengisa. Emva koko landela ezo zikhombiselwano kwintengiso nganye ukuze wazi kakuhle ukuba wenzeni kwimeko echaziweyo, kwaye ngoko awuguquli indlela yakho kunye nerhwebo ngalinye okanye phakathi kwezorhwebo.