Izicwangciso zokurhweba iimpahla zicwangciso zokuthenga nokuthengisa ikusasa lempahla kunye neendlela zokufumana inzuzo ekuhambeni kwexabiso. Kubalulekile ukwakha isicwangciso socwangciso ngaphambi kokuba uqale iimveliso zentengiso kunye nobungozi .
Ukubukela iindaba zezezimali nokufunda i-newsletter yeemveliso zeengcebiso zamashishini zakutsha ziza kunika umthengisi ngezakhono eziyimfuneko ukuphumelela kwimarike yeemveliso.
Nangona kunjalo, izicwangciso ezinokuthi uvavanya ngokutyalwa kwexesha kuya kuvumela umthengisi ukuba aqonde ingozi kunye nomvuzo kunye nokunyaniseka kweemarike.
Izicwangciso ezininzi zokuthengisa iinkqubo zisebenzisa uhlalutyo lobugcisa xa kuziwa ekungeneni nasekuphumeni kwezikhundla zobungozi kwiimarike zexesha elizayo. Ndifumene ukuba uhlalutyo lobugcisa kuphela lunikeza kuphela inxalenye yomfanekiso kwiimarike.
Uhlalutyo olubalulekileyo, ukubonelela kunye nokufuna ukufuna ukunyanzeliswa kukubaluleka okuza kunceda umthengisi ukuphepha utshintsho olungalindelekanga olwenzekayo xa luvela ekuvelweni kwemveliso kunye nokusetyenziswa kwiimarike ezibonakalayo. Ngezantsi uzakufumana izicwangciso zorhwebo ezisisiseko usebenzisa uhlalutyo lobugcisa. Emva koko siza kujonga ezinye iinkcukacha ngokusebenzisa uhlalutyo oluphambili lwezinto zokuthengisa.
Zininzi izicwangciso zokurhweba ezithengiswayo malunga neendlela zokurhweba okanye iindlela zokuhamba.
Uhlobo ngalunye lwesicwangciso luye luncedo kwaye luqilima, ngoko kuya kumthengisi ngamnye ukuba akhethe uhlobo luni lwesicwangciso esilungele ukusebenza. Ndiya kusebenzisa ukutshintsha kweendlela zombini zeendlela zokuthengisa.
Isicwangciso soRhwebo lokuThengisa
Ukuthengiswa kwezinto eziphathekayo kuthetha ukuzama ukuzithenga ngokusondeleyo ekupheleni komda (inkxaso) nokuthengisa phezulu kwoluhlu (ukumelana).
Impumelelo yesi sicwangciso ixhomekeke ekukwazi ukuthenga imveliso emva kokuthengisa yenza ixabiso liwe kwiimeko ezingaphezulu. I-Oversold ithetha ukuba i-market ithengise yonke into yokuthengisa nokuthenga iyakwazi ukuvela. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, umntu unokujonga ukuba athengise impahla emva kwirejista ende eyenza ukuba intengo iphakame kwiimeko ezigqithiseleyo apho ukuthengwa nokuthengisa kuvela.
Kukho izibonakaliso ezininzi ezinokulinganisa amanqanaba angaphezulu kunye nokugqithisa amanqanaba afana ne-Relative Strength Index, Stochastics, Momentum, kunye neNqanaba lokuTshintshana kwamatriki. Ezi zicwangciso zisebenza kakuhle xa i-marhwebo ingenawo umgangatho ocacileyo kwaye ohambelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, kunokwenzeka ukuba iimarike zihlala kwindawo enqatyisiweyo okanye engapheliyo ixesha elide. Umngcipheko wokurhweba ulwahlulo kukuba imarike ihamba ngezantsi kwenkxaso yezobugcisa okanye ngaphezu koxhathiso.
Ukurhweba
Iqhinga elijolise ekuphumeni kweentengiso kwihlabathi lezinto eziphathekayo kuthetha ukuba umhwebi uya kujonga ukuthenga impahla njengoko yenza iindawo eziphezulu okanye uthengise iimpahla njengoko kwenza i-new lows. Ukuphakama okuphezulu kunye nokugqithisa kulula ukubonwa kwitshathi, njengoko ziyiintsika kunye nemifuno yokuhamba kwangaphambili. Abaninzi abathengisi bezobugcisa basebenzisa olu buchule xa belawula imali eninzi kunye nokukhangela umgangatho omkhulu wokuphuhlisa.
Iimveliso zixhobo ezizenzekelayo kwaye akuqhelekanga ukuba ziphindwe kabini okanye kwisiqingatha kwixabiso okanye ngaphezulu kwexesha elifutshane. A
Ifilosofi yeli qhinga lilula - i-market ayikwazi ukuqhubeka nomgangatho wayo ngaphandle kokwenza iindawo eziphezulu okanye ezintsha. Esi sicwangciso sisebenza kakuhle xa iimeko zomeleleyo kwaye zihlala zihlala njalo. Akunandaba nokuba umgangatho uphezulu okanye uphantsi, njengoko umthengisi uthengisa ukuphakama okutsha kunye nokuthengisa (ukufutshane) kwirejista entsha. Enye into ebalulekileyo yeli qhinga kukuba yenze kakuhle xa iimarike zingenako ukuseka imimandla eqinile kunye nokurhweba kwiindawo.
Isicwangciso esiPhambili seNtengiso
Ngoxa ukuhweba ukuhamba okanye iindawo eziqhelekileyo zineemigaqo ethile malunga nokuthengwa nokuthengisa, ukuthengiswa okuyisiseko kuxhomekeke kwiimeko eziza kuphazamisa ukubonelelwa kunye neemfuno zento ekuthengwa ngayo.
Njengomzekelo, umthengisi angathenga ii- soybean kuba imozulu yomelele ngexesha lehlobo lasele elikhokelela ekulindeni isityalo esincinci. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, umntu unokulindela ukuba umfuno ukwandisa ioli engcolileyo esuka eChina, ekhokelela kwindawo ede kwixesha elizayo leoli.
Abathengisi kunye nabatyalomali abatsha kwiimarike bathambekele ekubeni nobunzima ngokurhweba okuyisiseko njengoko kubandakanya inani elikhulu lomsebenzi wesikolo kunye nombolo ye-crunching. Ngaphezu koko, izikhundla eziphambili zifuna ixesha elide kunye nomonde kwaye zifuna umngcipheko olungakumbi kuba ukuphuhliswa kungathatha ixesha elide ukubonakala.
Kwakhona kunzima ukugqiba apho uthenge khona kwaye uthengise xa uthengisa ngokusemthethweni kuphela. Ndiyathanda ukudibanisa izicwangciso zobugcisa kunye neziphambili. Ndisebenzisa iziseko ezisisiseko ukugqiba ulawulo lwexabiso (phezulu okanye ngaphantsi) kunye nohlalutyo lobugcisa ukucacisa ukungena nokuphuma kwamanqaku ezikhundla.