Ioli engcolileyo yenye yezona zinto zithengiswa kakhulu kwihlabathi.
Ixabiso leoli engcolileyo lichaphazela intengo yezinye izinto ezibandakanya ama- stocks , amabhondi, iimali , kunye nezinye izinto. Oku kungenxa yokuba ioli engcolileyo ihlala ingumthombo omkhulu wamandla kwihlabathi.
Iikhontrakthi ye-Oil Contract Specs:
- Uphawu lweTikiti: CL
- Ukutshintsha: NYMEX
- Iiyure zoRhwebo: 9:00 AM - 2:30 PM EST.
- Ukulingana kwekhontrakthi: imitha eyi-1 000 yase-US (42,000 iigoloni).
- Iinyanga zontrontrakthi: zonke iinyanga (ngoJan-De.)
- Ixabiso lexabiso: intengo nganye ngomgqomo. I-$ 65.50 engama-barrel
- Uhlobo lweTikiti: $ 0.01 (1 ยข) ngomgqomo ($ 10.00 kwisivumelwano).
- Usuku lokuShishino lokugqibela: Usuku lwesithathu lweentsuku ngaphambi komhla we-25 lwekhalenda lwenyanga eyandulele inyanga yokuhambisa. C
Izixhobo zoMbane eziThuthiweyo
- I-Oil Sweet Incude Oil ithengiswa kwiNew York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). "Ukukhanya Okumnandi" yiyona ibakala elidumile kakhulu leoli engcolileyo ethengiswayo. Elinye ibakala leoli liyiBrent Crude, ekujoliswe kuyo kwi-London.
- Ioli engcolileyo yinto ebonakalayo ecocekileyo ukuvelisa i-petroli, ukufudumeza ioli, idizili, i-jet fuel kunye nezinye izinto ezininzi ze-petrochemicals.
- IRashiya, i-Saudi Arabia, kunye ne-United States yizona zintathu zezona zikhulu zentengiso yeoli.
- Xa ioli ecocekileyo ihlambulukileyo okanye icutshungulwa, kuthatha malunga nemitha emi-3 yeoli ukuvelisa imitha e-2 yegesi engenamandla kunye ne-barrel ye-oil heat.
Iingxelo zeOrified Oil
Iingxelo eziphambili zeoli yongcolileyo yile ingxelo ye-EIA Weekly Energy Stocks.
Le ngxelo ikhutshwa rhoqo ngoLwesithathu malunga ne-10: 30 nge-EST.
Iingcebiso kwiShishini elingaHluliyo iiHadi eziNcinci
- Ixabiso legesi engenamandla kunye neoli yokufudumeza inokuchaphazela intengo yeoli engcolileyo.
- Imfuno ngokuqhelekileyo iphezulu kwiinyanga zasehlobo nasebusika. Ihlobo elifudumele kakhulu okanye ixesha eliqhubayo lokushayela (ukwenzela ukuba ikhefu zasehlotyeni) linyuswe imfuno yesoyile engcolileyo kwaye ibangele ukuba amaxabiso ahambe phezulu.
- Ubusika obusika kakhulu bubangela ukufuna ukutshisa ioli, eyenziwa ngamafutha angcolileyo. Oku kubangele ukuba amaxabiso ahambe phezulu. Jonga imozulu kwiNyakatho-mpuma, kuba liyinxalenye yelizwe elisebenzisa kakhulu ioli efudumeleyo.
- Jonga ukuveliswa kwemveliso yeoli okanye ukwanda kwe-OPEC.
Iimarike ezithintekayo zeeHlathi zeHadi ezingcolileyo
Ioli engcolileyo ingaba yimarike engathandekiyo. Iziganeko eziphambili zeendaba ziyakwenzeka ngobusuku obubodwa kwaye kubangela ukuba ixabiso leoli libe neempembelelo ezinkulu. Into efanayo inokuthi yenzeke kulo lonke usuku, nokuba libangelwa ingxelo yezoqoqosho okanye ukunyanzelisa eMiddle East. Imeko yokunikezela ngokukhawuleza inokunyusa ukunyuka kwexabiso.
Ukubonelela kunye nokufunwa ngokucacileyo kuyalela ukuba ixabiso liya kuhamba njani, kodwa eli marike lihlala lihamba emoyeni. Uninzi lwalo luvela kwizinto ezingaziwa. Ukuba uxinzelelo lukhula kwiMbindi Mpuma, akukho nto ichaza ubungakanani bokuphazamiseka kwezibonelelo.
Abahwebi baya kusabela ngokukhawuleza kwiindaba baze bazihlenge emva koko.
Iimpawu zokuhamba kweoli
Isizathu sokuba amaxabiso ashukunywe ngokukhawuleza kukuba abathengisi abanezikhundla ezimfutshane kwiimarike banamathele ngokukhawuleza. Ukuze benze oku, kufuneka bafake iilayiphu zokuthenga ukumboza. Olu tshintsho lokuthenga lwenziwa ngexesha elifanayo abaxilisi baxhuma ebhodini ukuseka okanye ukongeza kwizikhundla ezide. Iifutshane ziza kubakho ngokukhawuleza kuba umngcipheko ukhulu kakhulu ukuba ngaba lukhulu uphuhliso olungaphazamisa izinto.
Umkhwa oqhelekileyo ngowamaxabiso eoli ukwenzela ukuba ube neentonga ezibukhali ngaphezulu kwintlanzi eMiddle East. Emva koko amaxabiso azinzile kwaye aqale ukuhambisa ngaphantsi ngaphandle kokuba siqale ukubona ubungqina obucacileyo bokuphazamiseka okukhulu kokunikezelwa. Ukuchonga la maza okuthenga nokuthengisa kubaluleke kakhulu ukuba ufuna ukuphepha ukubethelwa kwiimarike kwimvakalelo.
Ngona nxalenye enkulu, ioli ehlambulukileyo ithambekele ekubeni yimakethe ehamba phambili. Ngokuqhelekileyo kukho i-bias enkulu kwi-edge or downside. Ukurhweba kwinqanaba elihambayo liya kunceda ukuphucula iziphumo zakho zokuphumelela. Ioli ehlambulukileyo ijwayele ukunyanzelwa kwiindawo ezide emva kokuhamba okukhulu. Ukuba unako ukuchonga ezi zigaba, kukho amathuba amaninzi okuthenga ngexesha eliphantsi kwaye uthengise ekupheleni. Ndiyakuthanda ukurhweba imida kude kubekho ukucima okucacileyo.
Ixabiso le dollar yase-US liyinxalenye enkulu kwixabiso leoli. I-dollar ephezulu izakufaka uxinzelelo kwixabiso leoli. I dollar ephantsi ixhasa inkxaso ephezulu yeoli. Ioli ehlambulukileyo ibuye ihambe ngokuthe ngqo kunye ne-stock market. Uqoqosho olukhula kunye nemakethe yemasheya bathambekele ekuncedeni amaxabiso aphezulu eoli. Nangona kunjalo, ukuba amaxabiso eoli ahamba kakhulu, anganqanda uqoqosho. Kule ngongoma, amaxabiso eoli aqhele ukuhamba ngokubhekiselele kwimarike yemasheya. Oku ngokuqhelekileyo kuba yixhalaba xa ioli ihamba ngaphezu kwama-100.
Usuku lokuShishino lweMveliso yoTywala oluHlukileyo lweMini
Ioli engcolileyo yenye yeemarike ezizithandayo zabahlawuli beentsuku ezizayo. Iimarike ngokuqhelekileyo zenzakala kakuhle kumaphuzu angundoqo kunye nenkxaso kunye namanqanaba okumelana. Ndiyakuthanda ukudlala iinqununu ezi nqanaba xa ndibona ngaphezulu kweyodwa kule manani kumgangatho ofanayo. Kufuneka uqinisekise ukuba usebenzisa iimarike, njengoko kunokukwenza ngokukhawuleza ukugijima kunaliphi na ixesha. Umthengisi wexesha elide, uMark Fisher, wabhala incwadi enhle kakhulu kwixesha elizayo lokuthengisa ioli yeoli- The Traical Trader .
Akukho nqongophala yamathuba okurhweba kwioli engcolileyo imihla ngemihla. Iimarike zisebenza kwaye zinexabiso elininzi. Qaphela ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuhamba ngobusuku obunokukuphazamisa. Ininzi yemigaqo efanayo esebenzayo kwixesha elizayo lenkcazelo liyakusebenza kwixesha elizayo leoli. Ukuba uthanda ukurhweba i-E-mini ye-S & P, mhlawumbi uya kuthanda ioli engcolileyo.
I-Oil Crude Futures Trends
Amafutha angcolileyo angena kwimakethe yeebhere ngoJuni 2014 xa inani lalingaphantsi kwe $ 108 ngomgqomo kwinyanga esebenzayo ye-NYMEX yesivumelwano sexesha elizayo leoli. NgoFebruwari 2016, ixabiso liye lahla ngaphantsi kweedola ezingama-30 ngomgqomo.
Impact ye-Crude Oil Futures
Nangona bengabonakali okanye batyala ngokuthe ngqo kwioli yeoli, abatyali-mali kunye nabahwebi kulo lonke ihlabathi balandela intengo yempahla yamandla. Xa kuziwa kwiimarike zamasheya, kukho iinkampani ezininzi ezibandakanyekayo ekuhlolisweni, kwimveliso, ekusebenziseni nasekusebenziseni imboni yeoli ehamba kwintengo yefuthe leoli elingahlambulukanga kwiindleko zeemarike zeemarike ezinkulu kwihlabathi jikelele.
Ioli ehlambulukileyo inokuchaphazela iimarike zematyala ngenxa yezizathu ezininzi. Iinkampani zeoli zifuna iimali ezinkulu zeemveliso kunye nezinye iiprojekthi ezinxulumene neoli emhlabeni jikelele. Isixa semali esinikwe ibhanki kwi-oyile yoshishino ibalulekileyo. Ngexesha leemali kwixabiso leoli, ukungaguquki kwiimali-mboleko ezinxulumene neoli kunempembelelo ebalulekileyo kwiimarike ezipheleleyo.
Ukongezelela, iintlanga ezininzi emhlabeni jikelele zixhomekeke kwimali engenayo ioli; Ngoko, utshintsho kwixabiso leoli linokuchaphazela ngqo ityala likarhulumente kunye namanqanaba emali kumazwe akhiqiza. Xa kuziwa kwamanye amaxabiso, amandla ayingxaki ebalulekileyo yeempahla zathengisa icandelo lemveliso. Ngoko ke, intengo yeoli engcolileyo ichaphazela ngqo iindleko zokuvelisa ezinye izinto ezibonakalayo.
Nangona abathengi bengathengi ioli engcolileyo, i-petroleum efana ne-petroli, ukufudumeza ioli, i-diesel kunye ne-jet fuel kunye nezinye izinto eziyimfuneko kubantu emhlabeni wonke imihla ngemihla. Ixabiso lentsimbi engcolileyo linempembelelo ngqo kubantu abaninzi abahlala emhlabeni.
Ixesha elizayo leoli, okanye i-derivatives, engabonakaliyo, ibonisa amanani eemarike zepetroleum emhlabeni jikelele. Ukuqonda ukuhamba kweoli evela kubavelisi kubathengi kuyimfuneko xa kuvela ekubeni ngumthengisi owaziyo okanye umtyalomali.