Funda ngeZithuba zoNyaka zeSoybeans Futures

Njengokuba kusemzimbeni , iUnited States ngumlimi omkhulu kunazo zonke kunye nomthengisi weesybe. Amazwe angamashumi amathathu nanye e-US akhiqiza malunga neyesithathu kwisityalo se-soya yonyaka. IBrazil yenye enye imveliso ebalulekileyo. Njengoko abavelisi ababini bezona zikhulu kunabo bonke bezinkozo ezihlukeneyo, imveliso iyaqhubeka. Xa kusehlotyeni eBrazil, kubusika e-US nakwi-vice. IJapan ngumthengisi omkhulu wehlabathi we-soybean, okuyisisitye sokutya kwesizwe.

Ukutya okubalulekileyo kunye nesisito sokubaluleka kwabantu emhlabeni jikelele, iisyayi kunye neoli ye-soya ininzi yezicelo ekudleni kwethu kwansuku zonke. Isidlo seSoybean, enye imveliso ye-soybean crush, i-feedstock yeprotein yezilwanyana ezinjengenkomo, inyama yengulube kunye neenkukhu. Ukutshatyalaliswa kwintyatyambo yesoyibe yinkqubo yokutyumba iimbotyi ukuvelisa ioli ye-soya kunye nesondlo se-soya. Kanye nje kwioli engcolileyo, apho ukusabalalisa kwandiswa kwindlela yoqoqosho yokucoca okanye ukucoca amafutha angcolileyo kwiimveliso zeoli, ukusabalala kwintyatyambo kubonakalisa i-economics yokulungisa i-soybean eluhlaza kwiimveliso zesoya.

Ukusetyenziswa kwamanye amazwe

Namhlanje, ukusetyenziswa kwamanzi kwesoya ngonyaka kwimizuzu engama-87 okanye i-2 ibhasi yomntu ngamnye emhlabeni. Ukukhula komlinganiselo wabemi kunye nesidingo semimandla yabantu beesyayi, kwaye zonke iinkozo ziya kukhula. Inani lokuthakazelisa linikezelo lwezinga elikhoyo lokusetyenziswa komhlaba jikelele kwiimarike zesoya, yonke imizuzu emithathu iplanethi yongeza abantu abangama-441.

Iguqulela kwisidingo esongezelelweyo sonyaka sama-643 ebhasi yeembotyi.

Iimpawu zokuhamba

IiSoybe zineembali zokuba enye yeemarike zengqolowa ezithengayo. Ukutshatyalaliswa kwemakethe ye-soya kubangela abaxilisi kwiimarike. IiSoybe zenze ixesha elide liphezulu kwi $ 17.9475 ngebhasi ngoSeptemba 2012.

Ukususela ngoko, amaxabiso aye ahamba aphantsi. Kulo nyaka, amaxabiso aphule izinga le-10. UMama Wendalo uye wabambisana nayo yonke iimarike zezolimo, kuquka i-soybean, ngaphezu kweenyanga ezimbini ezidlulayo kunye nesiphumo esiye sakhula.

Ngelixa ulindeleke omnye unyaka wezityalo ezinzima ngo-2015, kuphela uMama Wendalo uyazi ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba imimoya iya kuba yintoni. Isimo sezulu sihlala sisisombululo esiphezulu somendo wexabiso kwiimarike zokhula. Isifo sesityalo kunye nokuphazamiseka kwesimo sezulu (nokuba yimvula enkulu okanye encinci kakhulu) kunokusoloko ukuphonsa isikhankqalazi seminki kwizinto ezilindelekileyo kumhlalutyi. Okwangoku, zikho izizathu ezimbalwa ukuba iesybeya zikwazi ukulungiselela ukubonelela ngamashishini athile aphezulu kunye namathuba okutyalomali kwangoku.

Okokuqala, inqanaba lamanani leesyibha elipheleleyo liveza ithuba ngokwalo. IiSoybe ziphantsi kwama-40% ukusuka phezulu. Ixabiso elisezantsi leembotyi lihamba ngaphantsi kokuqwalasela apho beye bahlala kutshanje. Okwesibini, izityalo zesoya ziphela yintsikelelo ekhoyo okwangoku ekubuyiseleni , ixabiso elitsha lezityalo ezithengiswayo zithengisa ngaphantsi kwexabiso eliqhelekileyo lazo zityalo.

Iqumrhu elidala lenkontrakthi ye-soya yeJoysi ye-soybean eyayithengiswa kwi-Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) isahlulo seChicago Mercantile Exchange ( CME ) yayingama-$ 10.435 ngebhasi ngoJulayi 10, 2015, ngelixa isivalo esitsha sangoNovemba sasithengisa kwi-10.22 usuku.

Ukubuyiselwa kwama-21.5 amasenti kubonisa ukuba ukubonelela kweembotyi kubonakala kunzima. Kwakhona kuthatha ukuba isivuno sonyaka siza kuzalisa naluphi na ukunyaniseka kwemarike. Olu lukholo lwenkolo oluxhomekeke kubambiswano lukaMama Nature ekuboneleleni imeko efanelekileyo yokukhula.

Ekugqibeleni, ukutshatyalaliswa kwandale kuye kwanyuka ngaphezu kweenyanga ezizayo. Ngo-Apreli 2015 i-soybean yokwenziwa kwintsebenzo isasazeka ukuba ukuhweba kwi-CBOT kwakukho kwi-7.58 yezinga lebhasi. Ukususela ngoJulayi 10, oku kwasasazeka ku-$ 10.36 ngebhasi, ukunyuswa kwama-37%. Oku kusitshela ukuba imfuno yemveliso yeeybean, ioli kunye nomdlo, uye wanda njengoko intlawulo yeesyayi ebomvu ihambile.

Esi sibonakaliso sokukhangela kwindleko yeesyayi ebomvu, ibonisa ukuba ufuna imfuno. Xa ioli ephosakeleyo yayisuka kwiJanuwari ukuya kuMatshi ka-2015, ukusabalala kwasasazeka kwashukumisela ukubonisa ukuphakama kweemveliso zeoli kunye namafutha angcolileyo.

Ngenxa yoko, ioli engcolileyo ifunyenwe ngaphantsi kwaye isuka phezulu ukusuka kwi-42 ukuya kwi-60 engama-barrel. Le mihla sibona uhlobo olufanayo lwezenzo kwimarike ye-soya, enokubangela uhlobo olufanayo lokusabela kwiinyanga ezizayo.

Ngezizathu ezininzi, imarike ye-soya inikezela ngamathuba atshabayo kubahwebi kunye nabatyalomali kungekudala. IiSoybe zorhwebo malunga nokutshintshiselwa kwexesha elizayo, kwaye kukho ii-ETF kunye ne-ETN iimveliso ezibonisa intengo yexabiso kule marike ebalulekileyo yengqolowa. Kuhlala kukho amathuba kwiimarike zeenkozo; namhlanje iesyayi ziyakunikela ezinye zezona zinto zilungileyo kwixesha elizayo.