Ukubonelela kunye nokufuna i- mount to equation equation. Nangona kunjalo, izinto ziba nzima ngakumbi xa uzama ukuqikelela amaxabiso ngekamva. Iimveliso zorhwebo kwiimjikelezo. Ngamanye amaxesha iimpahla ziya kuba nzima kwaye amaxabiso aphakamileyo. Amanye amaxesha, kukho imveliso enkulu kwaye ixabiso liwa.
Ndiyakuthanda ukujonga izinto ezirhwebayo kwiminyaka emininzi ephakamileyo okanye i-lows. Ekugqibeleni, umfanekiso uguquka ukhokelela ekuhlaleni ithuba lokurhweba.
Ukunyuka kwexabiso kwizinto ezisetyenziswayo usebenzisa uhlalutyo olusisiseko luchithwa phantsi zibe ngamafomula alula:
- Imfuno> Ukubonelela = Amanani aphezulu
- Ukubonelela> Ukufuna = Impahla ephantsi
Ukunikezelwa kweeMveliso
Ukunikezelwa kwemveliso yintlawulo eqhutywayo kunyaka odlulileyo wokuvelisa (iimpahla ezigciniweyo) kunye nemali ekhutshwayo kunyaka okhoyo. Ngokomzekelo, ukubonelelwa kwezikhoyo zesoya kubandakanya izityalo ezisemhlabeni kunye nemali eseleyo kwiminyaka yesityalo esedlulileyo. Ngokuqhelekileyo, ngaphezulu okuqhutyelwa phambili kwixesha elidlulileyo, ixabiso eliphantsi lihlala lihamba.
Zininzi izinto ezichaphazela ukunikezelwa kwezinto ezifana nemimozulu, inani elipheleleyo leetrakthi ezityalo, ukuveliswa kwemveliso, izifo zezityalo, kunye nekhnoloji. Into ephambili yokukhumbula xa usebenzisa uhlalutyo oluphambili kukuba amaxabiso aphezulu kwizinto eziza kubakhokelela ekunyuseni kwimveliso, njengoko kunenzuzo kakhulu ukuvelisa iimveliso xa amaxabiso aphezulu.
Njengoko unokulindela, imfuno iya kuhlahla njengoko amaxabiso ahamba phezulu.
Ukufuna iimpahla
Ukufunwa kwezinto eziphathekayo ngumlinganiselo ogqityiweyo kwinqanaba lentengo. Ukulawulwa kwesigqabiso kukuba imfuno iya kwanda xa ixabiso lemveliso lihamba liphantsi. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, imfuno iya kuncipha njengoko ixabiso lemveliso lihamba phezulu.
Kukho ilizwi elidala phakathi kwabathengisi bempahla ukuba amaxabiso aphantsi aphilisa amaxabiso aphantsi . Kuthetha ukuba ezinye iimpahla ziya kudlalwa ngamanani aphantsi, okunciphisa ukubonelela kwaye ngoko ke amaxabiso aya kugqitywa.
Cinga nje malunga nendlela oza kuqhuba ngayo ngaphezulu kwaye usebenzise i-petroli engaphezulu kwe-$ 1.50 ngegaloni ngaphezu kokuya ku-$ 3 ngegaloni. Uhlalutyo oluphambili lwezinto eziphathekayo lizoqoqosho olulula. Iipatheni zokusetyenziswa ziguquka njengoko amaxabiso eemveliso ahamba phezulu nangaphantsi.
Ukusebenzisa uhlalutyo olusisiseko ukuqikelela ixabiso elizayo leemveliso
Amanani aya kuguqulwa kwithuba elifutshane, ngoko akulula ukwenza iziganeko eziphambili zexabiso lexabiso lemveliso yexesha elifutshane. Kunzima nakakhulu kubahwebi abatsha bokuthengisa ukwenza oku. Ndiyincoma ukuba abathengisi abatsha, kunye nabahwebi abanamava, basebenzise isicwangciso-qhinga sesikhathi eside xa besetyenziselwa uhlalutyo oluphambili ukulungiselela amaxabiso entengo. Kufuneka ujonge iindwendwe eziphuhlisayo eziza kubangela ukutshintsha kwizinto zokubonelela kunye nezidingo.
Ukuqala uphando lwakho oluphambili lwezinto eziphathekayo, kukho iingxelo ezininzi ezihlanganiswe yimithombo karhulumente-i-USDA, iSebe leMandla kunye ne- Futures Exchanges . Uninzi lwabathengi beemveliso ezinkulu zipapasha uphando oluphambili kubaxhasi babo.
Kungabonakala kuwumsebenzi onzima ukufumana yonke idatha yangoku kwaye uyiqhathanise neminyaka edlulileyo ukuqonda indlela amaxabiso ayenziwe phantsi kwezi meko. Injongo kukubikezela ukubonelelwa kunye neemeko zeemfuno zekamva. Kukunzima ukwenza oku njengoko uzakukhuphisana neengcali ezineenkcukacha ezininzi kunye namava ukuba ungakhankanyi izibonelelo.
Oko ufuna ukukwenza kukujonga iindlela zokuvelisa nokusetyenziswa kunye nokurhweba. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba ukubonelela ngqolowa kuneminyaka ephakamileyo emihlanu kwaye sitshala nje inani elirekhodiweyo leehektare zeli xesha, kungenzeka ukuba i- future future corn will trade with a downs. Uya kuba ufuna ukuthengisa ukusuka kwicala elifutshane.
Ngexesha elithile, intengo yengqolowa iya kuhamba kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu, kwaye imfuno iya kwanda.
Ngenye indlela, kukho iingxaki zemozulu ngexesha lokukhula eliya kunciphisa ukuveliswa kwengqolowa. Kule meko, kufuneka uguquguquke kwaye uqaphele ukuba amaxabiso awayi kuphantsi ngonaphakade.
Ukuhamba kwexesha elide kwizinto eziphathekayo kulula ukuyijonga ngokuhlalutyo oluphambili, kodwa ndikhetha ukusebenzisa uhlalutyo lobugcisa ukufaka ukunyakaza kwexesha elifutshane kwixabiso lempahla. Uninzi lwabathengi bokuthengisa iimpahla bathanda ukwazi ukuba yintoni umfanekiso omkhulu onokusetyenziswa kohlalutyo oluphambili kwaye basebenzisa uhlalutyo lobugcisa ngexesha lokungena kwabo nokuphuma. Leyo yintsikelelo ye-techno-metal indlela yokuthengisa iimpahla.