Iikhathalo-mali zexesha elide

Ukujonga isatidi yenkcazelo yexesha elide yindlela efanelekileyo yokujonga ngokukhawuleza ukuba ixabiso lexabiso leemveliso liye lafudula ngaphantsi nangaphezulu kumaxesha eminyaka edlulileyo. Isatidi yezinto zokuthengisa yindawo enhle yokuqalisa uphando kwiimarike zeemveliso. I-Index ye-CRB, eyaqala ngo-1957, ibe yinkcazo yezinto ezidumileyo. Kuye kwabanamagama ahlukeneyo axhasayo kwimbali yayo, kunye neyona ndlela yakutshanje kukuba yi-Thomson Reuters / iJefferies CRB Index.

Isalathiso ngoku sinezixhobo ezilandelayo ezi-19: i-Aluminium, iCocoa, iCafesi, iCopper, i-Corn, iCotton, i-Oyili engcolileyo, iGolide, i-Oil Oiling, i-Hunt, i-Hogs, i-Cattle, i-Gesi yendalo, i-Nickel, iJusi le-Orange, iSiliva, iiSoybe, i-Sugar, Igesi elingenasiphelo kunye noBolweni.

Izinto zokuthengisa zivame ukuhamba kwimigudu yexesha elide elingama-18 kwiminyaka. Kwakukho imarike yenkomo kwiminyaka yee-1970 yeempahla eziye zadlulayo kwada kwaqala ngawo-1980. Abantu abaninzi baya kukukhumbula oku njengamaxesha apho amaxabiso egolide axabisa i-$ 850 enye i-ounce kunye ne-Hunt umzalwana waqhuba isiliva kwi $ 50 enye.

Ezinye iIxhobo zoPhando lwexesha elide

Nangona imveliso nganye ineempawu ze-idiosyncratic, ixabiso lezinto ezibonakalayo zihlala zihamba kunye njengeklasi ye-asethi. Yingakho ihlala ilungileyo ukujonga i-charts index charts ukuchonga izimo. Ngaphambi kokutyalomali okanye ukuthengisa nayiphi na impahla efanelekileyo qho rhoqo uqinisekisa ukuba umgangatho jikelele wexabiso lexabiso lomthengiso uxhasa isikhundla eside okanye esifutshane.

Umsebenzi wesikolo owenzayo, ungcono amathuba okuphumelela.

I-CRB yinkcazo ebonakalayo yintengiso, kodwa kukho ezinye ezibonisa amacandelo athile kwicandelo le-asethi. Ngokomzekelo, i-XLE okanye i-Energy Select yeCandelo le-SPDR yinkcazo enkulu yokubeka iliso kwi-bullish okanye i-bearish kwiimarike ezingekho mveliso.

Ukuziphatha kohambo kwiimarike zentengiso kubonakala kuncitshiswe kwiminyaka yamuva. Imarike yenkomo yenkomo eyenziwa ngo-2003 kwaye yaphela kwaze kwaba ngo-2011/2012. Iimakethe ezilandelayo zonyaka weminyaka emine ibonakala ngathi ziphelile kunye nezinto ezininzi zokufumana izibhokhwe ekuqaleni kowe-2016 . Uphando luyimfuneko ebalulekileyo xa kuthengiswa ngokurhweba ngokuphumelelayo kunye nokutyalomali kwiimarike zemveliso.

Kukho ulwalamano oluphambene nomlando phakathi kwe- dollar yase - US kunye nexabiso lentengo. Ngoko ke, ukuba ukhangela ityati yemali yase-US kaninzi ibonisa indlela echasene nayo yamanani entengo. Kungenxa yokuba idola liyimali yokugcinwa kwemali yehlabathi kunye nomlinganiselo wokubaluleka kwexabiso lempahla ebonakalayo. Xa ixabiso le dollar lixabisa, izinto ezibonakalayo zihlala ziphantsi kwaye zincinci. Xa uhlalutya iimveliso zentengiso, umendo we dollar unokukuxelela kakhulu malunga nendlela ezayo yamanani entengo.

Iimali zenzalo eziphakamileyo zithembisa ukuba yi-Bearish kunye neeNqanaba eziNcinane zithembisa ukuba yi-Bullish

Amanqanaba omdla nawo adlala indima ebalulekileyo kwindlela yokungancinci kwamanani entengo yeemveliso. Iirhafu zenzalo ephakamileyo zandisa iindleko zokuthwala iimpahla, ngoko zithatha ukuba yi-bearish factor. Ixabiso lentlawulo elincinci lenza okuchaseneyo kwaye ithambekele ekubeni yinto ekhuselayo.

Xa amaxabiso aseYurophu naseJapane ahambela kwintsimi engafanelekanga ngo-2016, ixabiso lezinto ezininzi liye lahlaselwa kwiindawo ezininzi. Ukubeka esweni intlawulo yenzalo yindlela efanelekileyo yokulinganisa umgangatho wonke wexabiso lexabiso.

Enye indlela yokukhangela izibonakaliso ezikhutshweyo okanye ezinkqakraza kwicandelo lezinto eziphathekayo kukujonga iindleko zeentlanga ezixhomekeke kwimpahla yokufumana imali. Iingxowa-mali zezinto zokuvelisa iimpahla ezifana ne-Australia, iBrazil , Canada kunye ne- Russia zihlala zihamba ngokukhawuleza ngexabiso lemveliso.

Iidrafti zangexesha elide kwizinto eziphathekayo zinikela ngokukhawuleza kwimeko yexesha elide, kodwa idola, inzala, kunye neemeko zempahla zihlala zilungelelanisa iimetriki xa zijonge xa ​​zizama ukuseka umgangatho wexesha elide kwi-asethi kwiklasi.

Imarike yenkomo yakutshanje kwintengiso yaqala ngo-1999 kwaye iphantsi kwale ndlela ngo-2008 ubuninzi bezinto eziphathekayo ezikhupha iirekhodi eziphezulu.

Izinto eziqhelekileyo zanda ngokuqhelekileyo njengotyalo-mali kunye ne- ETF ezininzi ezitsha. Imarike yenkomo yinto eyahlukileyo kunemveliso yeenkunzi zenkomo ye-1970 eyayibonakalisa izinga eliphezulu lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.

Imarike yangoku yenkomo yayixhaswe ngokunyuka kweemfuno ezivela kwintando-mali ekhula ngokukhawuleza eChina, eNdiya naseMzantsi Melika. Uphando olongezelelweyo kunye neehotshana zedatha yexesha elide zifumaneka kwiThomsonReuters.com. Unolwazi oluthe xaxa malunga nokubala, imbali kunye nokutsalwa kwenkcazo yexabiso.