Indlela yoSuku ngeeNtengiso zeCeltner

01 Keltner Channels Calculation

Ngaphambi kokuqwalasela indlela abahwebi bemini abangasebenzisa ngayo amaqhinga aseStell Channel, kubalulekile ukuqonda oko usebenza nabo. Ngokuqonda indlela uKaltner iziteshi ezidalwe ngayo, ungcono ukwazi ukubona ubuthathaka kunye nezikhwepha zezibonakaliso.

I-Keltner Channels zaqale zaziswa nguChester Keltner kuma-1960, kodwa isibonakaliso sahlaziywa nguLinda Bradford Raschke kuma-1980. Olu hlobo lwexesha elilandelayo loluphawu lusetyenziswa namhlanje.

Iikhanti zeKeltner zidibanisa ezinye iisalathisi ezimbini: umlinganiselo ohambahambayo ohambayo (EMA) kunye neMyinge oyiNqanaba leNyaniso (ATR) . Nantsi indlela iKaltner iziteshi ezibalwa ngayo:

I-Band ephezulu = EMA + (ATR x phinda)

Umphakathi ophakathi = EMA

Umgangatho ophantsi = EMA - (ATR x multiplier)

Ixesha le-EMA lingasetyenziselwa nayiphi na into oyifunayo. Ukuthengiswa kwemini, u-15 ukuya ku-40 EMA uqobo.

Oko oku kubalwa kuthatha umgca umgca ngasentla nangaphantsi kwe-EMA, ngokusekelwe kwi-ATR ebonisa ukuba i-asethi ihamba ngaphaya kwexesha elithile. Umphindaphindi oqhelekileyo ezimbini; intsingiselo ibhanti ephezulu iya kuqulunqwa 2 x ATR ngaphezulu kwe-EMA.

I-multiplier ingatshintshwa ngokusekelwe kwi-asethi oyithengisayo. Nangona ezimbini ziqhelekileyo, unokufumana i-1.7 okanye i-2.3 (umzekelo) ukunikezela ngolwazi olubhetele kwiimarike ngqo othengisa ngazo . Ephakamileyo umphindiseli ukhulula ishaneli; encinci i-multiple multiple the channel.

Umzobo-1 (ingqungquthela enkulu) ibonisa isiteshi se-EMA iKeltner ezingama-30, ngokuphindaphinda kabini kwi-ATR engama-30.

02 Umendo kunye nePullback

I-Keltner Channels zi luncedo ngenxa yokuba zinokubonakala zibonakala ngakumbi. Xa i-asethi ihamba phambili , kufuneka ifikelele kwi-band ephezulu (okanye isondele kakhulu kuyo), kwaye ude usuke udlule ibhande elingaphezulu ngezinye izihlandlo. Ixabiso kufuneka lihlale ngaphantsi kweqela eliphantsi, kwaye ngokuqhelekileyo lihlala ngaphaya kwebhanki eliphakathi (okanye nje lidibanise ngaphantsi kwayo).

Xa i-asethi ihamba ngaphantsi , kufuneka ifikelele kwiqela elingaphantsi (okanye lisondele kakhulu kulo), kwaye lide liye lidlulile. Ixabiso kufuneka lihlale ngaphantsi kwebhanki eliphezulu, kwaye liza kuhlala liphantsi kwebhodi eliphakathi (okanye nje luchukumise ngaphezu kwayo).

Isalathisi kufuneka simiswe ukuze ezi zikhokelo zibambe ininzi ixesha. Ngamanye amagama, ukuba ixabiso lihambela phezulu, kodwa lingayifinyelele iqela elingaphezulu, izithuba zakho zinokuba zikhulu kakhulu (zinciphisa umphindaphindi). Ukuba ixabiso liqhubeka lihamba phezulu kodwa lisoloko lichaphazela iqela eliphantsi ngelixa liyenza, iziteshi zakho zinokuba nzima kakhulu (kwandisa umphindiseli). Ukuba isalathisi sakho kukukunceda uhlalutye imarike, kufuneka ilungiswe ngokuchanekileyo. Ukuba akunjalo, izikhokelo ezingentla zingayi kubamba kwaye isiqondiso asiyi kukhonza injongo eninzi.

Emva kokuba isalathisi isetyenziswe kakuhle, isicwangciso esiqhelekileyo kukuthenga ngexesha lokugqithisa xa intengo ibuyisela kumgca ophakathi. Beka ilahleko yokuyeka malunga nomgama wesigxina phakathi kwebhola eliphakathi kunye nezantsi, kwaye ubeke ithagethi ecaleni kwinqanaba eliphezulu (ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kunye nokujoliswe kuyo kusekwe ngexesha lezorhwebo). Ngenye indlela, ukuba ufumana ixabiso liye lashaya ukulahleka kwakho kwexesha elide (kwaye sele usuququzelele isibonakaliso sakho ukuze sihambelane nezikhokelo) ungasusa ukulahleka kwakho kokuyeka ngokufutshane kufuphi neqela eliphantsi. Oku kunikeza urhwebo ithuba elincinane kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kunciphisa inani lokulahlekelwa ngamashishini.

Mfutshane ukuthengisa ngexesha le-downtrend xa ixabiso lihambelana nomgca ophakathi. Beka ilahleko yokuyeka malunga nomgama wesigxina phakathi kwebhodi eliphakathi naphambili, kwaye ubeke ithagethi kufuphi neqela eliphantsi. Ngaphandle koko, ukuba ufumanisa ixabiso liye lashaya ukulahleka kwakho kokuyeka (kwaye sele utshintshile isibonakaliso sakho ukuze ihambelane nezikhokelo) ungasusa ukulahleka kwakho kokuyeka ngokukhawuleza kwibhande eliphezulu.

Esi sicwangciso sisebenzisana nethuba lokuhamba, kwaye libonelela ngemisebenzi emalunga nomvuzo wesi-2: 1: umlinganiselo wengozi , ekubeni ukulahleka kwekhefu kungathi kwisiqingatha sobukhulu njengoko kujoliswe kuso.

Umzobo wesi-2 (ingqungquthela enkulu) ibonisa amanqaku angenayo okungena kunye nomgca ophakathi phakathi kwe-uptrend.

Azikho zonke izinto ezithintekayo kumbindi ophakathi kufuneka zithengiswe. Ngamanye amaxesha umgangatho awukho, kwimeko apho, le ndlela ayisebenzi. Ukuba ixabiso lihambela phambili naphambili phakathi kokubetha iqela eliphezulu kunye nezantsi, ke le ndlela ayiyi kusebenza. Qhubeka uqwalasela ukuze uqinisekise ukuba imarike ilandela izikhokelo ezingentla; ukuba akunjalo, musa ukusebenzisa esi sicwangciso.

IsiCwangciso sokuSasaza esingu-03

Isicwangciso sokuphulukiswa kwesiteshi seKelltner sizama ukuthabatha ukuhamba okukhulu ukuba isicwangciso-siphumo sendlela-ntlawulo singaphuthelwa. Isicwangciso sokuphumla kufuneka sisetyenziswe kufuphi neyona ntengiso enkulu evulekileyo-njengokuba kufutshane nemakethe yempahla evulekile ukuba iifaki zorhwebo. Yilapho kuqhutyelwa intshukumo eqhubekayo , eyona nto ibonisa ukuba le siqhinga.

Isicwangciso esiqhelekileyo kukuthenga ukuba ixabiso liphule ngaphaya kwebhanki elingaphezulu, okanye ukuthengiswa okufutshane ukuba ixabiso liwehla ngaphantsi kweqela elingaphantsi, kwiminyaka engama-30 yokuqala emva kokuba imarike ivule.

Ibhodi eliphakathi lisetyenziselwa ukuphuma. Akukho nzuzo ekujoliswe kuyo kule shishini. Phuma nje urhwebo xa kukho iqela eliphakathi, ukuba urhweba lilahlekile okanye liphumelele.

Ekubeni iimarike zivuthiwe ngokukhawuleza emva kokuvuleka, unokufumana uphawu olulodwa oluphumela ekulahlekelweni okanye kwinzuzo encinci, ngokulandela emva kwesinye isignali. Ukuthengisa isibini isignali kwakhona. Yithatha kuphela izibonakaliso ezimbini zorhwebo kule qhinga kule mizuzu engama-30 yokuqala. Ukuba ukufuduka okukhulu akukwenzeka kwiintlobo zokuqala zesiteshi, ngoko mhlawumbi akunakwenzeka.

Umzobo wesi-3 (ingqungquthela enkulu) ibonisa ukuphuka kwembini emva kokuvulwa. Iyokuqala yohhwebo olufutshane malunga nokuphuka ngaphantsi kwesiteshi esezantsi. Urhwebo lukhawuleza xa kuthengiswa ixabiso kwaye lihlasele iqela eliphakathi. Uhwebo olude luza emva kwalo, xa ixabiso lihamba ngaphezu kweqela eliphezulu. Urhwebo olunenzuzo luhlala malunga nemizuzu engama-40; Ukuphuma kuthathwa xa ithamo lichaphazela iqela eliphakathi.

Esi sicwangciso sisetyenziswe kakuhle kwii-asethi ezithatha ukuhamba ngokukhawuleza ukuhamba ekuseni. Ukuba uqaphele ukuba i-asethi iyalungisa kwaye ayifumanekanga ininzi, kwaye oku akusiyo isicwangciso sokusebenzisa kwi-asethi. Ukuzama ukusebenzisa le qhinga kwi-asethi engenazo ezibukhali kunye nokunyanzeliswayo kusasa kusenokubangela ukuba abaninzi balahlekelwe ngumsebenzi, kuba ixabiso alinakwenzeka ukuba liqhubeke emva kokuphuma (kunokuba ixabiso liyakunqumla).

04 Ukudibanisa i-Trend-Pullback kunye neendlela zokuPhula

Ukuba ufumana isicwangciso sokuphumla kwintengiso ekuseni, ukuba urhwebo luya kupheliswa xa ixabiso lifika kwiqela eliphakathi. Ngelo xesha, unokugqiba isigqibo sokuba ufuna ukuthatha olunye urhwebo usebenzisa indlela yokuhamba-ndlela.

Xa usebenzisa i-trendback-pullback ndlela, ukuba kukho ukuhamba okukhulu ekuseni, kodwa ngeli xesha le xabiso liza kuphuma kwaye lihamba kwibala lohlobo oluqinileyo, icebo lokuphumla lingaba luncedo kwakhona. Ukuba ixabiso lihlanganiswe ngokuqinileyo, aliyi kuba neenkonzo ezilungileyo zokuhamba, kodwa ukuba ixabiso lalingavumiyo ngaphambili emini, ezinye zezinto ezinokuthi zenzeke zingakwazi ukubuyela. Jonga ukuphuka ngaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwebhanki elingaphezulu okanye elingaphantsi ukubonisa uphawu lwezorhwebo kunye nokubuya okunokwenzeka kwizinto ezihamba phambili ezihamba phambili. Ukuba usebenzisa indlela yokuphumla emini, imigaqo efanayo yokuphuma isebenza; phuma xa ithamo lichaphazela iqela eliphakathi. Ngoko unokwenza isigqibo sokuba ngaba umgangatho unamandla ngokwaneleyo ukuba uvumelekile ukuthatha enye ingeniso yokungena.

Nangona zombini ezi zicwangciso zibonelela ngokungena kunye nokuphuma, kuyisicwangciso esichaphazelekayo kuba kufike kumthengisi ukugqiba amaxesha amaninzi ekuphunyezeni isicwangciso ngasinye, kwaye uqeqesho oluthathe ngalo. Azikho zonke iimpawu zorhwebo ezi zicwangciso kufuneka zithathwe. Xa izimo zichanekileyo kwisicwangciso ngasinye, zisebenza kakuhle.

Igama lokugqibela kwi-Trading Day kunye neKelltner Channels

Enye indlela yokusebenzisa isiteshi seKelltner kukulinda umgangatho ukuphuhlisa uze ufake urhwebo xa ixabiso libuyela kwiqela eliphakathi. Ngaphezulu, ixabiso kufuneka lihlale lifikelela kwibhande eliphezulu, kwaye lihlale ngaphaya kweqela eliphantsi. Ngokwehla, ixabiso kufuneka lifikelele kwiqela elingaphantsi, kwaye lihlale ngaphantsi kweqela eliphezulu.

Elinye iqhinga lokuhweba iStell Channel ngosuku lokuthengisa izithuba ezingaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwebhanki eliphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwimizuzu engama-30 yokuqala emva kokuba i-asethi ivule ngokusemthethweni. Thatha kwiimpawu ezimbini zezorhwebo kunye nesicwangciso ngexesha lemizuzu engama-30 yokuqala. Iimpahla ezihlala zomelele kwaye zomeleleka kusasa kumhla zimele zithengiswe ngale qhinga. Esi sicwangciso singasetyenziselwa ukuba kukho ubuninzi bokungabi nantoni kusasa, kodwa i-asethi ihambile kwibala elomeleleyo kakhulu emini.

Ungadinga ukulungelelanisa izicwangciso zakho zeThane yaseKeltner ukuba uthengise ii-asethi ezahlukeneyo. Izicwangciso ozisebenzisayo kwi-asethi enye ayinakusebenza, okanye zibe zicwangciso ezifanelekileyo, kwenye i-asethi.

Ngaphambi kokusebenzisa iziteshi zeKelltner ngemisebenzi yokuthengisa yangempela, sebenzisa ukusebenzisa isalathisi kwi-akhawunti yeedemo . Ziqhelise ukuba zeziphi izinto ezithathayo kunye nokuziphepha, ngokusekelwe kwizikhokelo ezibonelelwe. Kuphela xa uhlala uphumelele kwiinkqubo ezininzi zokuqhuba iseshoni kufuneka uqwalasele ukuhweba kunye nenkunzi yangempela.