Fumana i-Key Key-term Predictors for the Economy
Ezi zikhombisi zinokuhlulwa ngokubanzi ngokusekelwe kwixesha labo. Iimpawu ezihamba phambili, njengengxelo ye- ISM Manufacturing , inikezela ngcamango yento ezayo, ngelixa izibonakaliso zokugcina, njengezinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi, kubonisa oko kwenzeka kwixesha elidlulileyo.
Ngokubanzi, abatyali-mali bahlawula ingqalelo kwiikhombisi zezoqoqosho, kubangako banokunceda ukuqikelela ukuba ziphi na ixabiso.
Ziziphi iimpawu zokuLawula?
Izalathisi eziphezulu zezoqoqosho zibonisa iimpawu zenguqu ngaphambi kokuba uqoqosho lubonise nayiphi na inguqu ebonakalayo kwizibonisi zabo zokuqala. Ngokomzekelo, banokubonelela ngempawu yokuguquka okanye ukuphuka kwimveliso engaphantsi ("GDP") okanye ezinye izibonakaliso zokubaluleka ezibalulekileyo kwimarike. Ngokomzekelo, iingxelo zokuqala zokungabikho kwemisebenzi zingabonakalisa isalathisi sokungena kwezinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi, enokuthi ibe nefuthe elikhulu kumanqaku okulingana.
Ezinye imizekelo yezikhokelo ezihamba phambili ziquka:
- Izibango zokungasebenzi
- Imvume yoKwakha
- Utshintsho lwezinto
- Amanani eSitokisi
- Utshintsho lwezinto
AbaTyalo-mali kunye neeNkcukacha eziLawulayo
Abatyalomali basebenzise izikhokelo zoqoqosho ezikhokelayo ukuze baqikelele ulwalathiso lwezoqoqosho kunye namacandelo athile ngaphakathi kwabo. Ngokomzekelo, ukuncipha kwezinto eziveliswayo kunokubonakalisa ukuhla kwezinto zokuthengiswa kweentengiso njengabantu abathengisa izinto ezincinci izinto.
Ukuwa kwezinto zokuthengiswa kweentengiso kungabangela ixabiso eliphantsi kwicandelo lokuthengisa, kunye nokunciphisa uqoqosho olusiseko lwenkonzo, olunokubangela ukuba abatyali-mali bathengise amasheya abathengisa kunye namanye amaxabiso angabonakali ngabathengi.
Izikhombisi eziphambili nazo zisetyenziswe ngamabhanki angundoqo ukwenzela ukwenza izigqibo ezininzi zemigaqo-mali.
Ngokomzekelo, ibhanki ephakathi inokukhetha ukunciphisa inzala okanye ukuphunyezwa kwemigaqo-nkqubo ukuba izikhombisi ezikhokelayo zibonisa ukuba uqoqosho luya. Ukuchasene kunokunyaniseka ukuba izikhokelo ezikhokelayo zibonisa ukuba uqoqosho luqinisa. Abatyalomali bangaphendula ngokuthengisa amanani xa amaxabiso enyukayo okanye ekuthengeni amanani xa amazinga omdla aqala ukuwa.
Ukufunda eziPhambili Izikhokelo zoqoqosho
Ukusebenzisa izalathisi ezihamba phambili ngokuchanekileyo. Uninzi lwabatyalomali bajonga iinguqu ezinxulumene nokuqala kokufunda kunye nokubikezelwa koqoqosho okanye ukulindela. Ukungaphumeleli ukuhlangabezana nokulindela kungabonakalisa indlela yokuhamba phambili yeBrazil, ngelixa ukugqithisa ezo ziqikelelo kungabonakalisa ukunyuka kokuhamba phambili. Izibonakaliso zokunyuka ngokukhawuleza kwezoqoqosho okanye ukunyuka kwezoqoqosho kungakhokelela ekusebenzeni komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, njengokunciphisa imali ekuncediseni uqoqosho.
Izalathisi ezihamba phambili zingabalungisa kwaye zimbi ngokutyalomali-mali ezahlukeneyo. Ngokomzekelo, igolide ingasabela ngokuthe ngqo kwiinkcukacha zezoqoqosho ezihluphekileyo (xa zisetyenziselwa indawo ekhuselekileyo), ngelixa iifowuni zokuhlawula zihlawulwa ngokukodwa kwizikhokelo ezikhokelayo ezibonisa ukuba iinkampani aziqeshanga.
I-Economic Index Index
IBhodi yeNgqungquthela, inhlangano engeyiyo urhulumente ("NGO"), idale inkcazo ekhokelayo kwezoqoqosho e-US, ebizwa ngokuba yiBhodi yeNgqungquthela yokuQala iNkcazo yezoQoqosho.
Ngelixa lingahambelani ngokuthe ngqo kubatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe, isalathisi sinika ingcaciso malunga nokuba ziziphi izikhombisi zezoqoqosho eziphambili zifanelekile ukubukela okufutshane.
Ngokukodwa, iinqununu zesalathisi ziquka:
- Ingxelo yenyanga yenyanga yengqesho, equka izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi, umyinge weehoraji kunye neeyure eziqhelekileyo zomsebenzi.
- Amabango okuqala kwinshorensi yokungasebenzi kwe-state.
- Ingxelo yeempahla zabathengi kunye neengxelo, ezibandakanya ukuthunyelwa kwemveliso, iimpahla kunye nemiyalelo.
- Ingxelo yenyanga ye-capital non-defense, equka ukuthumela impahla, iimpahla kunye nemiyalelo.
- Ingxelo yenyanga ngeemvume zakhiwo, kuquka ukuqala kwezindlu kunye neemvume zokwakha.
- Ukusabalala phakathi kweerhafu yemali ye-Nondyebo ye-Nondyebo kunye ne-feraleral rate rate.
- Isilinganiselo esiphezulu sokunyuka kwamanani e-bhanki yemali ye-M2.
- Inkcazo yokuveliswa kwe-ISM, equka ukuthengiswa kwabathengi, ukungeniswa kwemveliso, ukuveliswa, iimpahla, imiyalelo emitsha, ii-oda zangaphandle zokuthunyelwa kwee-oda, ukubuyisela umyalelo we-backlogs, amaxabiso kunye nomsebenzi.
- Inkcazo ye-S & P 500.
- IYunivesithi yaseMichigan Index of Consent Index Index of the expectations of consumer.
Abatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe banokufumana ezi zihlobo ezifanayo ezikhokelayo zezoqoqosho kwiindawo ezininzi kwihlabathi jikelele. Ngaphandle koko, banokuqulunqa ulwazi ngokwabo ngokusebenzisa uchungechunge lwezibonakaliso zezoqoqosho ezifumaneka kuzo.
Iingongoma ezibalulekileyo zokukhumbula
- Izalathisi zezoqoqosho zihlelwe ngokubanzi ngokusekelwe kwixesha, ukusuka kwizikhokelo ezikhokelela kwizibonakaliso zokungena.
- Izalathisi eziphezulu zoqoqosho zizitshintsho phambi koqoqosho olubonakalisa nayiphi na imiqondiso yenguqu.
- Izikhombisi eziphambili zisetyenzisiwe ngabatyalomali ukunceda ukuqikelela isilathiso soqoqosho kunye nezibonakaliso ezibalulekileyo zokungena ekusebenziseni ukwenza izigqibo zotyalo-mali.