Iimpawu ezi-5 eziphezulu zezoqoqosho kwi-Global Investors

Izikhombisi zezoQoqosho zintlanu zoPhuculo lokuTyala kwakho

Utyalo-mali kunye nezoqoqosho zivame ukuhamba ngesandla, oko kuthetha ukuba kubaluleke kakhulu ukuba abatyali-mali bamanye amazwe bazi izikhokelo zoqoqosho ezisisiseko. Ukusuka kwiimveliso eziphambili zasekhaya ("i-GDPs") kwiindleko zexabiso labathengi ("ii-CPI"), kukho iinombolo zeenkcukacha ezinokunceda abatyali-mali behlabathi baqikelele utshintsho kwezoqoqosho lwelizwe kwaye bahlengahlengise iipotifoliyo zabo ngokufanelekileyo.

Ngokomzekelo, cinga ukuba abatyala-mali bamanye amazwe baye bavelisa ukubuyiswa okunempilo kwiminyaka emininzi edlulileyo kwii-equity zaseBrazil .

Utyalo-mali olandelela inkcazo yexabiso labathengi ("CPI") angaqaphela ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kukhula, oku kuthetha ukuba ibhanki ephakathi inokugqiba isigqibo sokunyusa amaxabiso. Ukwazi ukuba inzala yenzalo ithambekele ekunxiliseni amalungelo, umtyalomali unokunciphisa ukubamba kwabo.

Kule nqaku, siza kujonga kwiinkalo ezihlanu ezibalulekileyo kwezoqoqosho ukuba bonke abatyali-mali bomhlaba wonke bafanele bazi kwaye bangayisebenzisa njani kwintsimi.

# 1: UMkhiqizo weZindlu eziPhezulu

Imveliso emveliso yasekhaya ("GDP") ibonisa ixabiso lemarike yazo zonke iimpahla zokugqibela kunye neenkonzo eziveliswa ngaphakathi kweli xesha ngelixesha elithile. Esi sibalo sisoloko sinikezwa ngefomathi kunye neenqobo zangempela, kunye nokulungiswa kwe-GDP yangempela kwiinguqu kwixabiso lemali. Ngenxa yobungakanani bayo obubanzi, eli lathisi liphakathi kwezona zikhangeleke kakhulu kwiimarike zemali.

Ukwandiswa kwe-GDP yelizwe kubonisa uqoqosho olukhulayo, ngelixa ukuphambana kwi-GDP kubonisa ukuphuculwa koqoqosho lwelizwe.

Okwangoku, izinga lokukhula kweGDP elijoliswe lizwe lingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga inqanaba elifanelekileyo letyala elizimeleyo okanye ukuchonga ukuba iinkampani ezisebenza ngaphakathi kweli lizwe ziyakwazi ukukhula.

# 2: Izikhombisi zengqesho

Imveliso kunye nobutyebi bezakhamuzi zelizwe ngokuqinisekileyo kuyigqiba lokugqibelela kwezoqoqosho.

Izalathisi zengqesho, ezifana nokusebenza kwabasebenzi, ukubhalwa kwee-payroll kunye nedatha yengqesho, uqikelele ukuba bangaphi abantu abaqashiweyo, kunye nemimiselo yengeniso (umz. Ingaba benza imali engaphantsi kunaphambili).

Iimarike zezemali ziqwalasela ngokucophelela ezi zikhokelo zengqesho, ngokukodwa kumazwe athuthukile avelisa ininzi yabo kwingeniso kwimali yabathengi basekhaya. Ukuwa emsebenzini kudla ngokuqhubeka nokuwa kwemali yabathengi, oku kungonakalisa amanani e-GDP kunye nethemba lokukhula koqoqosho.

# 3: Ixabiso lentengo yabathengi

Inkcazo yexabiso labathengi ("CPI") amanyathelo atshintsha utshintsho kwixabiso lempahla yabathengi kunye neenkonzo ezithengwa ngamakhaya. Isalathisi siqikelelo soluhlu lwenziwa ngokusebenzisa amanani ukusuka kwisampuli yezinto ezimele ziqokelelwa rhoqo. Amaxesha amaninzi, le nyathelo isetyenziselwa ukulinganisa kwexabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso , elinokuthi lichaphazele okanye lichaphazele kakubi imali yelizwe.

Iimarike zezemali zijongisisa ngokukhawuleza amanani e-CPI ngempawu yexabiso lentengo. Ukwenyuka kwamaxabiso angakhokelela kumanani amanqanaba aphezulu kunye nokunciphisa ukuboleka imali, ngelixa ukuchithwa kwempahla kungakhokelela kwimilinganiselo encinci yemali kunye nokuboleka kakhulu, xa kuziwa kumgaqo-siseko webhanki. Kodwa ngaphandle kwalo mgaqo-nkqubo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunokususa ixabiso lexabiso lemali kunye nokuncedisa ukuthumela ngaphandle (kunye nakwezinye izinto).

# 4: Amanqaku eBhanki ephakathi

Iibhanki eziMbindi zenza umgaqo-mali wezemali kwaye zenze ulawulo olukhulu phezu koqoqosho lwelizwe. Ngenxa yoko, iimarike zezemali zivame ukuphulaphula ngokugqithiseleyo kuwo onke amagama abhanki abakhulu abonisa esidlangalaleni ukufumana iingcinga malunga nekamva. Iimviwo zebhanki eziphambili zikhutshwa ngokusemthethweni eziqulethe inkcazo yezoqoqosho ezixabisekileyo ezingabonakalisa isenzo senkqubo esizayo.

E-US, i- Federal Reserve ichaza oko kubizwa ngokuthi "incwadi ye-beige", equlethe ulwazi olusesikweni kwiimeko zezoqoqosho ezikhoyo kwiBhanki yeState Reserve. Amanqaku afanayo akhululwa ngamanye amabhanki amakhulu, kuquka iBhanki yaseJapan, i- European Central Bank (ECB) kunye nabanye, kwixesha eliqhelekileyo okanye eliqhelekileyo eliqhelekileyo.

# 5: PMI Ukuvelisa & IiNkonzo

I -Index yoMphathi weNtengo ("PMI") isalathisi sezoqoqosho esisungulwe yiMarkit Group kunye neZiko loLawulo lweeNkonzo.

Ngamashishini okuvota rhoqo ngenyanga, isalathisi sibonisa ukuthengwa kwabaphathi beempahla kunye neenkonzo. Iingxelo ezibalulekileyo ezibini ziyi-PMI Manufacturing kunye ne-PMI Iinkonzo zeeNkonzo.

Iimarike zezemali zibukele ii-PMI zokuThengisa kunye neeNkonzo ze-PMI njengezikhokelo eziphambili zezoqoqosho. Emva koko, iinkampani ziyeke ukuthenga izinto ezibonakalayo ngokukhawuleza xa ifunayo imisa, ngaphambi kokuba ezinye iingxelo ezinjengeentengiso zentengiso okanye ukusetyenziswa kwemali kubhengise nayiphi na ingxaki kwezoqoqosho.

Amaphuzu athathweyo

• Abatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe bafanele bazifundele izikhombisi zezoqoqosho ezisisiseko ukuze baziqaphele ngamathuba okanye amathuba okusongela kwiipotfoliyo zabo.
• Iziphumo ezihlanu ezibalulekileyo zoqoqosho zibandakanya, i-GDP, i-CPI, izalathisi zengqesho, imizuzu yebhanki ephakathi kunye ne-PMI idatha.
• Ezi zikhombisi zezoqoqosho kufuneka zisetyenziswe kuphela njengendawo yokuqala yokuphanda.