Iinjongo zeRhwebo zikaTrump zingabandakanyekisa njani abatshali-mali bamazwe ngamazwe
Kule nqaku, siza kujonga indlela inkqubo kaMongameli uDonald Trump echaphazela ngayo iimarike zasekhaya nakwamanye amazwe kunye nendlela abatyali-mali abanokubeka ngayo iiphothifoliyo zabo.
Impembelelo yeHlabathi yeHlabathi
UMongameli iTump uye wabagxeka izivumelwano zorhwebo zamazwe ngamazwe - njengesivumelwano seNorth America sokuShintelwa kweNtengiso-kunye nolwabiwo-mali olwangaphandle lwangaphandle kwi-United States ngamazwe afana ne- China .
Ukutshitshiswa kwezivumelwano zorhwebo ngokukhululekileyo kubonwa ngokubanzi njengempembelelo enokuthi ifutshane kunye nefuthe elibi elide elide kwiUnited States. Iintlawulo zexesha elifutshane zibonakaliswa kwimisebenzi engaphezulu yasekhaya, kodwa ngaphezu kwexesha elide, i-Institute for Economic Economics iqikelela ukuba ukuhanjiswa kweentengiso kuye kwazisa i-$ 9,000 eyongezelelweyo ngonyaka kwindlu yaseMerika elandelelene kwiminyaka engama-50 edlulileyo njengendlela yomthengi ophantsi xabiso.
Amanye amazwe anokufumana imiphumo emibi kakhulu yexesha elisondeleyo ukuba uqoqosho lwabo lithemba kakhulu kwi-United States. Ngokomzekelo, uqoqosho lwaseMexico lwalusondele malunga neebhiliyoni ezingama-360 kwizigidimi ezingaphandle kwama-80 ekhulwini kulabo abaya eUnited States. Ukuncitshiswa kwezorhwebo kunye ne-US kunokunciphisa kakhulu umkhiqizo wayo jikelele ("GDP") ukukhula. Iirhafu eziphakamileyo zinokulimaza amazwe afana neChina afuma ngokuthe ngqo kwimarike yase-US.
Ukunciphisa ulwaphulo lwezorhwebo kunokunciphisa utyalo-mali oluthile lwangaphandle kwi-US kwaye lukhuthaze utyalo-mali obuninzi kwilizwe langaphandle. Emva koko, xa i-US isebenzayo ukulahleka kwezorhwebo ngokungenisa ngaphandle kokuthumela ngaphandle, kuthetha ukuba lonke ihlabathi lityalomali kwiimpahla zase-US njengezibophelelo zeSebe lezeMali ukuxhasa loo mali.
Ukunciphisa i-FDI kunokubangela amaxabiso e-asethi ase-US, kodwa kunokubakhokelela eklasini yeefa zangaphandle ngenxa yeenkunzi ezinkulu zemali.
Iimiphumo kubathengi bamazwe ngamazwe
Imigaqo-yorhwebo yeMongameli iTrump ingaba nemiphumo eyahlukileyo kwimali-mali yabangaphandle ngokubhekiselele kwilizwe okanye ummandla ekujoliswe kuwo.
Akumangalisi ukuba amazwe anamazinga aphezulu okurhweba kunye neUnited States ayenokubangela ubunzima kwixesha elisondeleyo kwaye mhlawumbi ngaphezu kwexesha elide. IMexico , eCanada, eChina, eJapan naseJamani ngamazwe athile aphezulu uluhlu lwabathathi-ntsebenziswano, kodwa iMexico ne-China banokulahlekelwa ukuxhomekeka kwabo kwi-trade ne-US Amabini amazwe athembele kwi-US njengemalike ekuthengiseni ngaphandle ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwi-GDP yabo.
Uqoqosho olomeleleyo lwe-US ngaphezu kwexesha elifutshane lungafaka uxinzelelo kumaqabane ahweba njengeChina. Ngokomzekelo, i-Federal Reserve yamazinga esandul 'i-Federal Reserve yenze ukuba abalawuli baseTshayina benze okufanayo ukususela kwi-differential rate rate differential ingafaka i-yuan kwindlela ehlayo kwaye ibangele ukuphuma kwemali. Ukunyuka kweTshayina ukunyuka kwamazinga enzala kufumane impembelelo embi ekukhuleni kwayo koqoqosho kodwa kuphazamise ukuphuma kwemali.
Ekugqibeleni, uqoqosho oluqinileyo lwase-US lunokubangela ubuhlungu kwimarike ekhulayo kwixesha elisondeleyo njengoko ukunyuka kwamazinga enzala kuthatha inkokhelo kwii-dollar-denominers.
Iimarike eziphazamisayo kunye nokudityaniswa kwezorhwebo zase-US ezinokubambisana nazo zinokujamelana nosongelo olubini kwiinkqubo zorhwebo zeTrump.
Ukuhlawulela iNgxowa-mali yamazwe ngamazwe
Zininzi iindlela iindlela abatyali-mali abanokuzenza ngayo iiphothifoliyo zabo malunga neempembelelo ezinokuthi iipolisi zikaMongameli uTrump zenzeke kwixesha elide. Abatyalomali abasetyha bafuna ukuqwalasela ngokubambisana kunye nokwabiwa kwabo okukhoyo kunye nokulinda ukunyanzeliswa kwexesha, kodwa abatyala-mali abasebenzayo bangathanda ukwenza okunciphisa ingozi yabo. Oku kungabalulekanga ngokukhethekileyo kubatyalomali abasondela kumhlalaphantsi kunye nokufuna ukuzinza.
Isinyathelo sokuqala kukunciphisa ukunyuka kwiimarike ezingasongelwa yimigaqo-nkqubo yezoqoqosho okanye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US. I-Mexico kunye nezinye iimarike ezikhulayo mhlawumbi ziyimimiselo engcono yezi ntlobo zeemeko, nangona kufanelekile ukuphawula ukuba ezi marike zorhweba kwixabiso elincinci kwixabiso le-US equity valuation.
Abatyalomali kufuneka baqikelele kulezi izaphulelo xa bevavanya ukuba kunjani ukunciphisa ukufumaneka.
Isinyathelo sesibini kukumelana nokutshatyalaliswa kwexesha elisondeleyo usebenzisa iindlela zokulingana okanye ezinye izixhobo. Umzekelo, umtyalo-mali unokufuna ukuqwalasela ukuthenga izinto ezikhethiweyo kwiimveliso zenkxaso-mali ephumayo ekunciphiseni phantsi ngaphandle kokubingelelwa.
Ngaphantsi
Imigaqo-yorhwebo yeMongameli iTrump inokuchaphazela abatyalo-mali bamazwe ngamazwe ngeendlela ezininzi, kodwa abatyala-mali abanomdla bangathatha amanyathelo okubamba iipotfoliyo zabo ngokunciphisa ukunciphisa okanye ukusebenzisa ukhetho lokulingana. Kuzo naziphi na iimeko, ezi zenzo zinokunceda ukunciphisa ukungahambisani nokubambisana okuvela kwimicimbi yokuthengisa yamahhala okanye ezinye iimeko zezoqoqosho ezichaphazela iimarike zehlabathi.