Ukuqonda ukuba kutheni amaxabiso entengo ahamba phezulu okanye aphantsi, isiseko sempumelelo yakho kwimpahla yokuthengisa. Ndikholelwe, kukho abathengi bezinto ezininzi apho abazama ukuthabatha imali yakho - yinto yokulwa phakathi kwakho nabo. Ufanele ukwazi ukufaka olu lwazi kuphando lwakho oluqhelekileyo malunga neempahla eziza kuzuza kuzo. Ngaphandle koko, unokuba ulwa imfazwe elahlekileyo.
Ixabiso leMpahla yeMarike
Iimakethi zentengiso zingabonakali kwaye zibonakala ngathi akukho mvumelwano okanye isizathu sokuhamba kwazo. Ndithengisa iminyaka engaphezu kweyishumi kwaye ndiyamangaliswa ngendlela ixabiso elingahamba ngayo.
Ingcaciso engundoqo endikunika yona kukuba ixabiso lexabiso lempahla lihamba ngenxa yezinto zokubonelela kunye nemfuno. Naliphi na ukuthengiswa kwemarike kuya kubakho ukuthengiswa okuphantsi, amanani athambekele ekuphakanyeni phezulu. Ngokufanayo, izinto eziphakamileyo ngokubanzi zithetha amanani aphantsi.
Ngoku, ukuba untsha kwiimarike, mhlawumbi uyazibuza ukuba ufanele wenze ntoni lo uphando kwaye uqaphele ukuba kuya kuba ne-supply or less demand. Impendulo yukuthi akudingeki ukuba wenze yonke inombolo yenqununu. Kukho uninzi lwabahlalutyi ngaphandle apho ukukukwenza. Umsebenzi wakho ukuqokelela idatha kunye nokugqiba indlela ocinga ngayo ukuba amaxabiso kufuneka ahambe.
Isifundo seMviwo - iMakethe yeMakethe
Masihambe ngomzekelo wokutolika uphando.
Ixesha elizayo leMbewu liya kuba ngumzekelo omhle apha. Ekuqaleni kuka-2006, i-corn future yayiza kuhweba i-$ 2.00 ngebhasi, ephantsi komlinganiselo ophantsi kwexabiso leminyaka engama-20 edlulileyo. Ukubonelelwa kwembombo kwakunzima kakhulu ngemigangatho yembali.
Ingongoma ebalulekileyo apha kukuba ukuba imfuno yayiqala ukukhetha, nto leyo eyabangela ukuba izinto zihlehlise.
Eninzi yale nto yayingenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli, okwandisa ngokukhawuleza imfuno ye-ethanol eyenzekayo evela kwimizi. Ukufuna kwakwandayo ukusuka kumazwe akhula ngokukhawuleza njengeChina.
Uyabona indlela umfanekiso oqale ukuhlangana ngayo apha. Amaxabiso ayephantsi kwenkomo kwaye imeko yokubonelela yaqala ukuqina. Kwaye njengoko isityalo esitsha safika emhlabathini, bekungekho indawo yokuphambuka kwisityalo esibi kulo nyaka.
Kwanele ukugcina i-market ngokumgangatho kwaye kuya kwenza abahwebi bacinge kabili ngaphambi kokuthengisa i-marhwebo. Isiphumo kukuba amaxabiso aphakama ukusuka kwi-$ 2 ngebhasi ukuya kuma-4 engama-bhasiki ngaphakathi kwinyanga. Oku guqulela kwi-1 000 yeepesenti kubuya kwi-marginal ngexesha lezorhwebo.
Imveliso yoPhando lwemveliso
Ngezantsi kuninzi kwimithombo ethandwa kakhulu ukuphanda iimveliso zeemveliso kunye neemakethi kunye nokufunda ngokurhweba.
IiNdaba zoLuntu ngeeNkcukacha zeeNkcukacha zeNkcukacha zeeNkcukacha
- Umthombo wexesha elizayo - umthombo ogqwesileyo weendaba eziqhelekileyo zeemarike zengxelo kwiimarike zeempahla kunye nekamva. (mahhala)
I-Market Commentary
Uninzi lweefayili zokucoca luphando oluhle. Ukuba awukho umthengi, unokufumana ukubhaliswa kwezilingo.
- I-Iowa Grain - ikhethekileyo kwiimarike zempahla kunye nemfuyo.
- INgxelo yeZakhono - ingxelo ebalulekileyo imihla ngemihla ehlanganisa zonke iimarike. (ukuhlawula inkonzo)
- FuturesBuzz.com - Ukuhlaziywa rhoqo kweemarike ezivela kwiintlobo ezahlukeneyo zabahlalutyi. Ukwazisa okupheleleyo: Ndibonelela ngeengxelo zewebhu. (mahhala)
- Ngaphakathi kwexesha-Iimarike zithengiswa rhoqo kwiintlobo ezahlukeneyo zabahlalutyi. (mahhala)
Iimagazini
- I-Futures Magazine - Iphephancwadi elihamba phambili elijongene ngqo neemarike ezizayo.
- I-SFO Magazine - Omnye umagazini ofanelekileyo ohlanganisa ama-stocks, i-future and options.
Uhlaziyo
Kukho izizathu ezintathu eziphambili zokuba kutheni amaxabiso amanani ahamba phezulu okanye aphantsi. Iyokuqala yimeko ebalulekileyo yemarike yemveliso. Izinto ezisemgangathweni zijongene neempawu zokubonelela kunye nezidingo. Ukuba iimpahla zangoku kunye neempahla zidlula ixabiso, imeko yokugqithisa okanye i-market glut ikhona kwaye iqhuba ukuqhuba amaxabiso aphantsi.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuba umlinganiselo mkhulu kunezinto ezikhoyo kunye neenkcukacha ezikhoyo imeko yokulahleka okanye ukungabikho kokusweleka okulindele ukunyusa amaxabiso aphezulu.
Isizathu sesibini sokuba amanani entengo aqhube phezulu okanye aphantsi yimeko yezobugcisa bemarike. Iibhathathi zexabiso zihlala ziqhuba ukuziphatha kwabatyalimi, abathengisi kunye nabanye abathathi-nxaxheba bemarike. Ekubeni wonke umntu ukhangele ixabiso lesikhathi, i-reaction yes pattern ibangela ukuba umhlambi wokuthenga okanye ukuthengisa ovame ukuchaphazela amaxabiso.
Ekugqibeleni, ixabiso leemveliso liyakhathalela utshintsho kwilizwe jikelele lehlabathi. Ngako oko, isiganeko esinoqoqosho, ezopolitiko okanye obangelwa yimvelo kunokuchaphazela ixabiso lemveliso.
Njengoko ubona, kukho izizathu ezininzi zokuba izinto zokuthengisa zihamba okanye zihla. Kuhlala kulula ukuchazela ukuhamba kwexabiso lempahla emva kokuba kwenzeke kunokuba uqikelele ukunyuka okanye ukuhla. Yingakho ubugcisa bezinto ezithengiweyo zichitha ixesha elide lihlalutya iimarike njengoko ukuziphatha kwangaphambili kudla ngokuba yinto efanelekileyo yokuxela kwangaphambili.