Yintoni enokuyilindela ngo-2018 nangaphezulu
Uphuhliso olubanzi kwihlabathi jikelele
Uqoqosho lwamazwe wonke lufumana amazinga okukhula okungaqhelekanga kunye neentlobo eziqhelekileyo ukuya ngo-2018, ngokwe-Outlook Economic Outlook. Nangona elowo olulodwa lwehlabathi loqoqosho lwama-45 lukhula ngo-2017 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba lukhule ngo-2018, amazinga okukhula konyaka ahlala ngaphantsi kwexesha langaphambi kweengxaki kunye neyokubuyiswa kwangaphambili. Iingxaki zexesha elide ziye zavimbela uqoqosho oluzinzileyo, olubandakanyekayo nolunye oluzinzileyo.
Izinga lomsebenzi kwiinkalo ezininzi ze-OEDC zingaphezu kwamanqanaba angaphambi kweengxaki, kodwa ezi zintlobo azizange zenze umvuzo wemivuzo yangempela, njengasekuqaleni kuka-2018. Ngaphandle kokukhula kwemvuzo kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso , i-OEDC ikholelwa ukuba ukukhula kuwo wonke amazwe kuya kuncipha ngo-2019. Kwakhona namanqanaba aphakamileyo okanye ityala lenkampani kunye nekhaya elenziwe yimihlaba engaphantsi kwenzala , ephakamisa imibuzo malunga nokuzinza kokukhula kwiminyaka ezayo.
Iingxelo ze-OEDC ezijoliswe ngokukhawuleza ukukhula ngo-2019 kumazwe amaninzi, kodwa iNdiya yayiyinto ebalulekileyo.
Iingqapheli zeqela lokuba iNdiya ikhule ngamaphesenti angama-6.7 ngo-2017 kwaye iza kufikelela kuma-7 ekhulwini ngo-2018 kwaye i-7.4 ekhulwini ngo-2019. Le mizila iqhutyelwa yinguqulelo ekulindelwe ukukhulisa utyalo-mali, umveliso kunye nokukhula. IBrazil kunye neRashiya kulindeleke ukuba ziphume ekuhambeni kwazo, ngoxa i-United States iya kuphuza ukuya kuma-2.1 ekhulwini ngo-2019.
Ulungelelaniso oluphantsi kunye nokunyaniseka
Ulungelelaniso lweemakethe zentengiso yehlabathi lonke libuyele kumanqanaba athile aqhelekileyo emva kokufikelela kwiirekhodi eziphezulu ezilandela ingxaki yemali ka-2008. Enyanisweni, ukulingana kwemilinganiselo yinto ephantsi kunabo bonke abaye bangaphezu kweminyaka engama-20 ukuya kwi-G20. Ngokomzekelo, i-stock ye-stock market yase-United States ibe ngumdlali oqinileyo, ezo zifuyo zaseYurophu ezithengiswayo kwintsikelelo ekhulayo, nangona iimeko ezihambelanayo zezoqoqosho, ukulinganiswa kwexabiso elincinci, kunye nokulinganisela kwemali ephantsi.
Ngelo xesha, ukungazinzi kuhlale kusezantsi kwiimarike ezininzi zehlabathi. Inkcazo ye-Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) yokutshatyalaliswa kwezinto ezinokutshatyalaliswa kwemvelo iye yahamba ngaphantsi kwe-10.0 ekupheleni konyaka, engaphantsi kwesiqingatha sexesha elide elingama-20.0 e-United States. Kuyafaneleka ukuba uqaphele ukuba ezinye zezinto ezinokuthi zincinci zithinteke ngokubhekiselele kumlinganiselo ohambelana nesebe, oko kuthetha ukuba inombolo ephantsi yehloko ingabakho ukuhlaselwa kwamacandelo amacandelo.
Umngcipheko wezopolitiko, ibhanki eliphambili kunye nosongelo lomkhosi aluzange linyamalale, kodwa abatyali-mali bakholelwa ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi alubonakali kule ngxaki njengoko kwakunjalo ngaphambili. Ukungquzulana neNyakatho yeKorea kunokuba nefuthe elikhulu kwiimarike, ukuba kwenzeka, kodwa umngcipheko omkhulu unokuba yi -bank central central ngaphandle kokunyuka kwamaxabiso, oku kunokukhokelela ekukhuleni okunyukayo kunye neminye imiba engakhokelela kwiingxaki kwimarike yokulingana neyobambisene.
Iingcebiso kubaTyalo-mali
Ulwalamano oluphantsi phakathi kweemarike zentsebenziswano ngamazwe lithetha ukuba abatyali-mali bamanye amazwe bangazuza kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo. Emva koko, banokuzuza ngokungabi nanyaniseki kwiipotifoliyo zabo ngaphandle kokubingelelwa ngokubuyisela ukunikezelwa koqoqosho olubanzi kwihlabathi jikelele. Ukuchithwa kungabakho ukuhamba ngokubalulekayo xa uqoqosho lwamazwe ngamazwe ludla ngokukhawulelana kwexesha elifutshane ukusuka kumvuzo oxinezelekileyo okanye unako ukutshatyalaliswa kwezimali ezinxulumene namatyala.
Abatyalomali kufuneka baqinisekise kwakhona ukuba bahlaziya iipotifoliyo zabo rhoqo. Ngokomzekelo, ukusebenza kwintengiso ye-stock market yase-United States kuthetha ukuba abatyali-mali abaninzi bamazwe ngamazwe banokugqithiswa kakhulu kwiimpahla ze-US ekupheleni konyaka we-2017. Ukushiya amafa amaninzi kwiimpahla ze-Yurophu kunokubanceda xa ukulinganiswa kuphuma phakathi kwe-US neYurophu. Inzuzo eyongeziweyo kukuba iphothifoliyo yimiba eyahlukeneyo xa kwenzeka ukuhla kwehlabathi.
Indlela efanelekileyo yokutyala imali ngokubanzi kwiimarike zehlabathi jikelele isebenzisa iimali zentengiso ekwabelana ngamazwe ngamazwe (ETFs) okanye iimali eziphathekayo ezigcina ukwabiwa kwempahla ngokuzenzekelayo. Umzekelo, iVanguard MSCI EAFE ETF (i-NYSE: VEA) inikezela ukungena kwii-asethi zase-US, kubandakanya ama-54 ekhulwini lokungcebeleka eYurophu, ukunyuka kwepesenti ezingama-38 e-Asia, kunye neepesenti ezisibhozo zokungabikho kwiimarike ezingezantsi zaseMerika zaseMelika, ezifana neKhanada kunye Mekhsikho.