Ukunciphisa kweTshayina kuya kuthinta njani uQoqosho loHlabathi?

Indlela yokukhusela i-Portfolio yakho kwiNqununu yokuNciphisa

I-China inokukhula ngokukhawuleza kwezoqoqosho ngokukhula kwamaxabiso ngama-10% kwiminyaka engama-30 edlulileyo, ngokwe- International Monetary Fund (IMF). Ekupheleni konyaka we-2017, uqoqosho lwelizwe lwaluyinto yesibini enkulu kwihlabathi ngokubaluleka komkhiqizo wekhaya wasekhaya (GDP) kunye neyona nto enkulu yehlabathi ngokuthenga ubambiswano bamandla (PPP) ecaleni kwe-United States, eqhutywe kakhulu kwicandelo layo lokuvelisa elithumela ngaphandle iimpahla ezisetyenziswa kakhulu kwihlabathi jikelele.

Abaqhubi beeMoto abaSebenzayo

Abaninzi bezomnotho bakholelwa ukuba uqoqosho lwe-China luya kuqalisa ukunciphisa njengoko ubudala baloo mivuzo kunye nemirholo iphakanyiswa ukuhlangabezana nemigangatho yehlabathi. Kwixesha elidlulileyo, ilizwe lixhamle ekukhuleni okuqinileyo kubemi bebonke abasebenzayo kunye nomvuzo ophantsi owenzela igalelo layo. Ingxaki kukuba ezi nguqu zenzeke kwiindleko zecandelo leenkonzo kunye nokuveliswa kwazo zifuna abasebenzi abangaphantsi nangaphantsi kwexesha njengoko iteknoloji ithathe indawo yamathuba emisebenzi.

Ekugqibeleni, ezininzi zezoqoqosho zikholelwa ukuba ilizwe liya kufuneka lifuduke ukusuka ekuveliseni ukuya kwiinkonzo njengomqhubi oyintloko we-GDP, njengamanye amazwe aphuhlisiwe afana ne-United States kunye nabaseYurophu abakwenzileyo ngaphambili. Ukukhula okulinganiselayo okulinganayo kweepesenti ezingaphantsi kweesibhozo kunokuphakamisa umsebenzi, umvuzo kunye nokusetyenziswa kwamashishini ngasese ngokukhawuleza kunokukhula okungalinganiyo kunamaphesenti asibhozo. Ngo-2015 kunye no-2016, urhulumente uye wavuma ngokucacileyo le nguqulelo kwiinkonzo.

Impembelelo kwi-Global Economy

Ukutshatyalaliswa kwezoqoqosho kwe-China kuya kuba nefuthe kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo yehlabathi ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo kuxhomekeke ekuhleni kwabo. Emazweni kuxhomekeke kwimpahla yokuthumela impahla, njengase- Australia , eBrazil , eCanada , nase- Indonesia , ukuncipha kungabangela impembelelo ekukhuleni kwabo kwe-GDP njengoko kufuneka ukunyuka.

Ukuwa okungenakukugwema kwixabiso leempahla kunokunceda, nangona kunjalo, kwamanye amazwe adla izinto eziphathekayo, ezifana ne-United States kunye namazwe aseYurophu.

Ngandlela-thile, ukunciphisa kuzodinga utshintsho oluthe ngqo kwicandelo loqoqosho loqoqosho. Ili lizwe liye libe ligalelo elikhulu ekukhuleni koqoqosho lwehlabathi kwiiminyaka emininzi edlulileyo, ngokwemali ye-IMF, ukunikela ngeepesenti ezingama-31 kumyinge phakathi ko-2010 no-2013. La manani aphezulu kakhulu kunemali yesibhozo sesibhozo kuma-1980, kodwa abanye bezoqoqosho sitsho ukuba i-US neYurophu inokuthabatha ubuninzi be-slack njengoko uqoqosho lwamazwe ngamazwe luhlawulela kwiinkalo zemali zango-2008.

Ukubeka iiPhothifoliyo zokuPhuhlisa

Abatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe banokubambisana nenye into yokuba uhlalutyo lwezoqoqosho lwaseChina ngokuthatha amanyathelo amancinci okujoliswe ekubaleni ngokulinganisela iipotfoliyo zabo ukuba zilandele kule nguqu.

Amanye amanyathelo anokuthatha amanyathelo afaka:

• Ukunciphisa Ukuboniswa kwemveliso . Iimpembelelo ezinzulu kakhulu zokunciphisa umnotho weChina ziya kuncitshiswa ukusetyenziswa kwempahla, kwaye ngenxa yoko, amanani entengo ephantsi kwexesha elide. Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba i-intengiso yexesha elizayo elisekelwe kwizinto ezilindelwe kunokuba liyiqiniso, ngoko ixesha lokunciphisa le nto liya kuxhomekeka ekuboneni. Kwakhona kunokwenzeka ukuba amanye amazwe aya kuthatha i-slack, ingakumbi kwi-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia.

• Ukwandisa ukuDaza . Abatyalomali banokunciphisa imiphumo yokuhla kweliphi ilizwe ngokuqinisekisa ukuba iphothifoliyo yabo ihambelana ngokufanelekileyo kumazwe ehlabathini lonke, kuquka amazwe athuthukileyo afana ne-US kunye nemimandla efana neYurophu, nakwezinye iimarike ezikhulayo ezinokuthi zibekwe msebenzi wokuvelisa.
• I-Hedge kunye noPhando kwi-ETF yesiTshayina . Abatyalomali banokuthenga ixesha elide elikhethiweyo kwii-ETFs okanye ii-stocks zesiTshayina ezifutshane ukuthengisa iiphothifoliyo zabo , inzuzo ekunciphiseni kwabo, kunye nokwehlulwa kwezikhundla zakwaTshayina kwiipotfoliyo zabo. Ukuphazamiseka kukuba ezi zicwangciso ezichanekileyo zifuna ixesha elithile lexesha leemarike ezinokuba nzima ukukhupha, okwenza kubonakale okokugqibela kwezi zikhetho.

Abatyalomali kufuneka baqaphele ukuba banokuphikisana okuthe ngqo eChina.

Njengolunye uqoqosho, i-China inokufumana umjikelezo wokuhlaziya umonakalo onokumonakalisa iimarike zentsebenzo. Iimakethe zendawo yendawo yinto exhalabisa kakhulu ngo-2016 no-2017, kodwa ezinye iiblubhe zee-asethi zingaba zikhulu ngokulinganayo xa uqoqosho olugqithiseleyo kunye nabalawuli bengakwazi ukuqhubeka nokukhula. Ezi ziyimpawu ezibalulekileyo ukuba abatyali-mali bafanele bagcine iso elithe xaxa phezu kwexesha.