Ukukhululwa kunye nokuthathwa kwegesi yendalo kungenzeka ngexesha lwenkqubo yokuloba ioli. I-oyile, i-petroleum okanye i-hydrocarbon reserve kaninzi ihlala kwindawo ephakamileyo kwihlabathi. Ukuqhaqhazela kwintsikelelo yomhlaba inokubamba igesi yendalo. Iipilisi zeoli zokuqhuba zivame ukukhulula izibonelelo zegesi.
Iinkampani ezibandakanya kwi-Oil Crude kunye neGesi yemvelo
Iinkampani ezininzi ezivelisa ioli engcolileyo zivelisa igesi yendalo. Njengemveliso yamandla ehambelanayo, amaxabiso eoli kunye negesi yendalo anxulumene nolwalamano oluthile lwembali. Nangona kunjalo, olo budlelwane lushintshile kwiminyaka yamuva ngenxa yokufunyanwa kwezinto ezintsha zokugcina igesi e-United States. Iindawo ezininzi zegesi zendalo ezifunyenwe kuMarcellus nase-Utica shale kwimimandla yaseUnited States zatshintshile ubudlelwane bexabiso phakathi kwezi zinto zombini zamandla. Ngokwehla kwexabiso leoli engcolileyo ekupheleni konyaka ka-2014 no-2015, ubudlelwane bexabiso phakathi kwezi zinto zombini bubuyele kumanqanaba aqhelekileyo angokwemveli asekwe kwiminyaka engamashumi amabini anesihlanu edlulileyo.
Umyinge wexabiso loBudlelwane phakathi kweGesi yeNdalo kunye neoli engcolileyo
Kuze kube ngowama-2009, ubudlelwane obuphakathi kwexabiso phakathi kwegesi yendalo kunye neoli engcolileyo yayingeenxa yezinga le-10: 1. I-Oil trade in barrels ngelixa igesi yendalo kwizigidi zeBtu (iiyunithi ezisebusweni zaseBritani okanye i-mmbtu). Umlinganiselo uguqulela kwi-10 mmbtu yegesi yendalo ngenye ibhayile yeoli.
Cinga ngako ngale ndlela, ukuba ixabiso leoli engcolileyo liyi-$ 40 ngomgqomo onokuthi i-norm (yangaphambi kuka-2009) ejikeleze i-$ 4 nganye kwi-gesi yendalo.
Kwi- market market , nganye inkontileka yeoli ye-NYMEX imela imitha engama-1,000 xa nganye inkontileka yegesi ye-NYMEX ibonisa i-10,000 mmbtu. Nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso acatshulweyo ngamnye kwixesha lokutshintshisana lizayo limela intengo yomsele omnye weoli engcolileyo kunye ne-mmbtu yegesi yendalo. Ulwalamano lwamaxabiso phakathi kweemveliso ezimbini zamandla ezithengiswa ukuya phezulu ukuya kuma-48 ukuya ku-1 ngo-Matshi 2012 xa ixabiso leoli elicwengekileyo yayingaphezu kwama-dollar ayi-110 ngomjikelo kunye nexabiso legesi yemvelo lalijikeleze i-$ 2.30 nganye. Ukubuyela okumangalisayo kumgangatho wangexesha elide ngaphambi ko-2009 kwenzeka okokuqala ngo-2012 xa amaxabiso egesi yemvelo aqala ukunyuka phezulu. Nangona intengo yegesi yendalo ihanjiswe ngaphantsi, ixabiso leoli elityhidiweyo lawa ngakumbi ngaphezu kwesiseko. Imarike yeebhere kwioli engcolileyo, eyayithathe amanani ukusuka kuma-dollar angaphezu kwe-107 ngomgqomo ngoJuni 2014 ukuya ngaphantsi kwe-45 eeMatshi ngo-Matshi 2015, yabangela ukusasazeka kwehla ukuya ngaphantsi kwezinga eli-16 ukuya kwe-1.
Ukuqonda ubudlelwane bamaxabiso kwiMveliso yeMigudu yamanzi
Ukuqonda ulwalamano lwamaxabiso phakathi kwezinto ezimbini ezikhuphisana nokusetyenziswa okufanayo kunokubonelela ngolwazi olubaluleke kakhulu kunye neenkcukacha ngokuphathelele kwinqanaba lexabiso elizayo.
Xa enye imveliso iba yindleko kunokuba enye iyenzayo, kudla ngokubakho isizathu sokungafani kwexabiso. Kwimeko yeoli kunye ne-gesi yendalo, bekufuneka kuhambisane nemibandela yokubonelela. Iindawo eziqinisekisiweyo nezibonakalayo zegesi yemvelo zenze ukuba kubekho ukuhlawula kwexabiso elidlulileyo elibangela ukuba ukuthengiswa kwempahla phakathi kwezinto kuhambise phezulu kunemimiselo yembali. Ukubuyela kwimimiselo yasemgangathweni kwintsebenziswano phakathi kwemveliso kunokubangela ukufaka endaweni. Abathengi, abavame ukwenza izigqibo zobulumko eziqinileyo njengeqela, bavame ukugwema impahla ebiza okanye izinto ezibonakalayo ezinqabileyo. Njengoko uyakubona, ukutshintshwa kwizinto zokubonelela okanye ukufunwa kungenza ukuba utshintsho kwizinto ezisetyenziswa ngaphakathi. Ukubukela olu lwalamano lwamaxabiso lunokunceda umtyalo-mali okanye umthengisi ukuba aqonde ixabiso lentengo. Ngako oko, imveliso-intengiso isasazeka njengeyodwa phakathi kweoli engcolileyo kunye negesi yendalo ingaba yinto ebalulekileyo yokongeza kwisixhobo sakho sokutshala imali.
Oku kwasasazeka kukunye ukuhluka kwi-calculus yesayensi yotyalo-mali.
Ulwazi malunga nokubonelelwa kunye neemfuno zeoli zombini kunye ne-gesi yendalo kuquka i-inventory level kunye nezinye izibonelelo kunye nokufuna idatha kwiimarike nganye ziyafumaneka ngaphandle kwesiqinisekiso kwi- American Petroleum Institute kunye ne-Energy Information Administration e-United States.