IziCwangciso zeShinzo Abe zokubuyisela ukuKhula kweJapane
I- Nikkei yavusa ngaphezu kwama-70% emva kokuba inkqubo ipapashwe ngekota yokuqala ka-2013, ngelixa iJapan yaseJapan inamajuba ukusuka kwi-77 ukuya kutsho kwidola elidlulileyo liwela kuma-dollar.
Imveliso emveliso yasekhaya ("GDP") yamanani kwi-Q1 2013 nayo yabonakala ithembisa ukuba abatyala-mali abaninzi. Ngelishwa, ezi ziphumo zakuqala zihlala zifutshane kwaye iingxaki zelizwe zide zide.
Kule nqaku, siza kujonga kwizinto ezintathu eziphambili ze-Abenomics, impembelelo yokuqala yale nkqubo, kwaye yiyiphi i-investors yamazwe angayilindela kwiminyaka ezayo.
Inguqu yeMali Yenguqu
Ukuphumelela kwangaphambili kwe-Abenomics kubangelwa ukuguqulwa komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali okujolise ekunciphiseni ukunyuka kwezinga lomdla kunye nokwandisa izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso . Emva kwamashumi eminyaka ekuchaseni kunye ne-stagflation, uqoqosho lwelizwe luye lwazama ukukhuphisana kwiimarike zangaphandle. Indawo ekhuselekileyo yen yenJapan emva ko-2008 ayinakunceda, njengoko amaxabiso alo aphesheya amazwe aphuma ngokukhawuleza.
I-Bhanki ye-Japan management management shake-up ekuqaleni yashiya umlingani kwi-helm, kunye nenjongo yokunyuka kwexabiso elibekwe kwi-ambitious 2% ngonyaka.
Ngokusebenzisa ukuthengwa kwempahla evulekileyo, njenge-US Federal Reserve, kunye neephakheji zokuvuselela, ibhanki ephakathi yenza inkqubela phambili ekunciphiseni iJapan yaseJapan kwisigqibo sokuqala sika-2013, eyanceda i Nikkei igxume ngokukhawuleza.
Uhlaziyo lweMali yeNkqubo
I-Shinzo Abe isebenze ipakethe ye-103 trillion yen-tax incoupment package ngoJanuwari ka-2013, ephezulu kakhulu kunokuba abahlalutyi abaninzi bekulindeleke okokuqala.
Ukongezelela kwenkcitho yokuvuselela, u-Abe uphakamisela ukusetyenziswa kwemali yokunyusa imali ukunyusa ukuya kwi-2% ye-GDP kwisistim esenzelwe ukunyusa izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngokusebenzisa imali kwizinga likawonkewonke ngaphezu kwinqanaba labucala.
UMnu Abe uceba ukuhlawula le miqathango yokukhuthaza kunye nezinye iinkcitho zenkcitho ngokuphindwe kabini kwerhafu yerhafu ukuya kwi-10% ngo-2014-15, ngelixa kuphunyezwa ubuninzi beenguqu zemihlaba eyenzelwe ukwandisa iirhafu, ukukhutshwa okufutshane, kwaye ekugqibeleni kuvelise imali engaphezulu karhulumente . Abagxeki banenkxalabo, nangona kunjalo, ukuba le miqathango ayiyi kuba yanele.
Ulungiso lwezakhiwo
Icandelo lesithathu kunye neyona nto ebaluleke kakhulu ye-Abenomics yindlela yokulungiswa kwenkqubo, ebonakaliswe nzima kunzima ukuphumeza. Ekuqaleni, u-Abe wanyusa ukubamba iqhaza kweJapan kwi-Trans-Pacific Partnership ekuzameni ukususa iinqununu ezilawulwayo ezinokuthi zinciphise ubuchule bexesha elide kunye nokunciphisa ingeniso yengeniso yerhafu.
Ezinye iinkalo eziphambili zokulungiswa kolawulo zibandakanya ukulima, umsebenzi, amandla / indawo, kunye nokunakekelwa kwempilo / unyango. Ngenxa yobuninzi bentsholongwane yabantu, u-Abe uzimisele ukwenza utshintsho olunzulu olunokuthi lwandise inkampani yonakekelo lwezokwelapha jikelele. Nangona kunjalo, uninzi lwale nguqulelo lunokubeka umngcipheko ukuhlukanisa iqela lakhe le-LDP ukusuka kumaqela angama-lobbyist.
Ukujonga phambili
I-Abenomics ngokuqinisekileyo iqalile ngenqaku elihle, kunye neNikkei ekhulayo ngokugqithisileyo kwaye abathengi beba negalelo elihle. Ngoku kutshanje, uqoqosho lwaseJapan lupholile kwaye usongelo lokuchasana luye lwavuswa. "Intshula yesithathu" yokuguqulwa kwesakhiwo sele ibeke umthamo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso oye wanceda ekudlulileyo kwaye ikamva liyaqhubeka libukeka lingaqiniseki.
Ekupheleni konyaka-2015, oqoqosho behlala bexhalabele ukuba uqoqosho luya kuqalisa ukuthenga isivumelwano, mhlawumbi luyifake kwisantya sesibini emva kokuba u-Abe ethatha isikhundla. Iinkokeli ziye zagxininisa ukuba utyalo-mali kunye nokukhula komvuzo kuyadingeka ukugcina ukuchaswa phantsi kolawulo - izinto ezimbini eziye zahluleka ukukhangela i-Abenomics ngokukhawuleza.
Ngomnyaka ka-2017, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso laseJapan liye laphakama kodwa lihlala lingaphantsi kweBhanki yeJapan.
Ixabiso lemali lifikile kuphela ngo-0.5% ngoJulayi, elihlala kude nebhanki eliphambili elide eli-2% ekujoliswe kuyo kwexabiso lentengo. Ubuthathaka kwimali yokunyuka kwamaxabiso buye kwabonakalisa nakwezinye iimeko ezininzi kwezoqoqosho, kuquka amazwe aseMerika naseYurophu.
Impumelelo yexesha elide ye-Abenomics imigaqo iya kubonakala ibone ukukhula okuthe ngcipheko nokubuthathaka. Nangona urhulumente ehlala enethemba, abatyala-mali bamanye amazwe kufuneka balondoloze umthamo ophilileyo wokungabaza owenzelwe ixesha elide lokulwa nokuchasana nokuxhatshazwa kwemithi.