Umngcipheko we-Geopolitical I-Evolution Concerning for Investors
Kule nqaku, siza kujonga iingcebiso ezintathu zokulawula ingozi ye-geopolitical.
# 1 - Jonga i-Flight to Safety
Impendulo eqhelekileyo kwingxabano enkulu ye-geopolitical yi-flight to safety. Ngokomzekelo, ama-equity ahlala ewa ngokukhawuleza kwaye ukutshintshwa kweentengo ezinkulu kumabhondi karhulumente kunye nezinto ezikhuselekileyo ezifana negolide. I- yen yenJapan kunye neFrank franc nazo ziyaziwa ngeemeko ezikhuselekileyo ezikhuselekileyo zithatha utyalo-mali ngexesha lokungaqiniseki. Enyanisweni, i-franc yaseSwiss yayigxeka i-euro ngenzame yokunciphisa ukwazisa kwayo ngexesha leengxaki zematyala.
Kukho neenqwelo zeenqwelo "zezemali" ezikhuselekileyo ezinokusetyenziswa, kubandakanywa ne-CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), iimali ezichanekileyo zokuthengiselana ngemali-mali (ETFs), okanye ukubeka iinketho. Amaxesha amaninzi, umngcipheko wongquzulwano lwe-geopolitical ungabonwa kwiindlela ze-VIX kunye neemarike ezizayo. Abatyalomali banokuthenga izinto zokukhetha ukuze bahlasele iphothifoliyo zabo kwaye bahlase umngcipheko wokuhla, ngelixa abaqapheli bangathengisa ii-ETFs ezincinane zokulingana ukuze bazuze ukuwa.
# 2 - Impembelelo yeeMveliso ziya kuphazamiseka
Iingxabano ze-Geopolitiki zinokuba nempembelelo enkulu kwixabiso lemveliso. Ngokomzekelo, ixabiso leoli liphakanyisiwe ukusuka kumyinge wama-30 ngemitha emithathu ngo-2003 ukuya kuma-100 e-barrel emva kwemfazwe yase-Iraq kunye nolunye uchungechunge lwezinye iziganeko eziqhubela phambili ukuya ku-2008. Ingongoma ephambili ekukhunjulwa kwezi meko kukuba i-Iraq yayingumvelisi omkhulu weoli kunye nokuhla kwehla kwakubangelwa kakhulu ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwezibonelelo eza kubangela ukwanda kwexabiso.
Ezinye izingozi ze-geopolitical zinefuthe elikhulu kwixabiso leoli. Ngokomzekelo, iingxaki zemali zeYurophu ezithintekayo zinefuthe elikhulu kwiimali kunye nezibophelelo kunempahla. Abatyalomali kufuneka bajonge ukuchazwa kwempahla kwilizwe elinikwe lona ukuba ingxaki ichaphazela kwaye emva koko ichaza impembelelo yolu hlobo kwiimarike zehlabathi. Amazwe avelisa amafutha angcolileyo kuMbindi Mpuma aya kuba ngabaqhubi beemveliso ezinkulu.
# 3 - I-Diversification yiNtloko yoKhuselo
Ukhuselo oluqinileyo kwiingozi ze-geopolitical luhlala luchanekile . Ngobukho kwii-equities, iimpahla, kunye nezibophelelo, abatyali-mali banokunciphisa naluphi na ukunyuka okuphawulekayo kwiplasi nganye yeefayili. Kuyafaneleka ukuba uqaphele ukuba amashishini athambekele ekubuyiseni kwixesha elide lokunyuka kwamaxabiso nokukhula koqoqosho, ngelixa iimveliso zithengiswa kuphela ekunikezeni kunye nemfuno. Oku kuthetha ukuba ama-equity angayifumana isabelo esikhulu kwipotfoliyo.
Xa kuziwa kweengozi ze-geopolitiki kwilizwe elilodwa, iipotifoliyo ezihlukeneyo ngamazwe anganciphisa ukulungiswa phakathi kweempahla. Inkxalabo echaphazela iimakethe zaseLatini yaseMelika, umzekelo, mhlawumbi ayinakuchaphazela amanani aseIndiya ngokubanzi.
Ukusebenzisa ii-ETF, abatyali-mali bangakha le nqanaba yeendlela ezahlukeneyo kwiipotifoliyo zabo ngokulula.
Amaphuzu athathweyo
- Izingozi ze-Geopolitical zihlala zibeka ingozi kubafaki-zimali bamazwe ngamazwe kwaye uninzi lwaloo mngcipheko lunokuba lukhulu kakhulu ngo-2016.
- Iimpembelelo zeengxabano ze-geopolitiki kwiiklasi ezithile zee-asethi ziyahluka kuye kuxhomekeke kumazwe achaphazelekayo kunye nomngcipheko wehlabathi jikelele.
- Ukuchithwa kweyona nto ikhuselekileyo kunokwakheka komngcipheko we-geopolitical, kuba ilahleko kwiklasi enye ye-asethi yancinci iyancipha inzuzo kwenye.