Iinqwelo ezintathu zokuqhubela iMakethe yeBull
Imarike yenkomo kudlulileyo kude kube namaxabiso aphakanyisiwe kubarhwebi bexesha elide bacinga ukuba baya kuhlala bekhuphuka. Bangena kwiimeko zokungahambi kakuhle , ixabiso lokubhengeza indlela ngaphezu kweyiphi ixabiso eliphantsi.
Leyo bubble yexabiso . Njengomtyalo-mali uGeorge Soros uthe, ngokuqhelekileyo kuhlala ixesha elide kunokuba ubani ulindele. Inkolelo yabatyalo-mali malunga namanani e-stocks ashukumisa amaxabiso ngokwabo kwisiprofeto esizalisekisa.
Kodwa ngokuqinisekileyo i-bubble bursts kunye namaxabiso awela. Ukuba awela kweepesenti ezili-10 okanye ngaphantsi, idala ukulungiswa kwemarike . Kwimarike ye-stock bull yangoku, akuzange kubekho ukulungiswa kwemarike kwiminyaka emibini. I-S & P 500 ayizange ifumaneke nakwi- 3% yeepesenti ukususela ngoNovemba 2016. Oku kungavamile. Ukususela ngo-1988, imarike iye yafikelela kwipesenti ezi-3 emva kweentsuku ezi-14 zorhwebo.
Intengiso yeBull kunye neMarike yokuThengisa
Imakethe yeebhere ivela xa amaxabiso awela kuma-20 ekhulwini. Ukuzithemba kwabathengi bawa, kwaye bakholelwa ukuba amanani aya kuqhubeka ewa. Iimakethe ezininzi zeebhere zokugqibela zenyanga ezili-18 okanye njalo. Ziphela xa amanani ewela ngaphantsi kwexabiso lexabiso le-asethi.
Ithenda yeBull Market
Ngokuqhelekileyo zonke iindleko zemarike zeemasheke zenyuka zivakala ngexesha elifanayo.
Ezi ziquka i- Dow Jones Industrial Average , i- S & P 500 kunye ne- NASDAQ . Imarike yenkomo ihlala iphakamisa phezulu kwaye iphezulu. Imarike yenkomo yenkomo inobungozi boqoqosho.
Kukho abathathu abaqhubi bemarike yerhafu.
- Ingeniso ye-Top-line : Oku kufuneka kukhuphuke ngokukhawuleza njengoko uqoqosho lulinganiselwe ngumkhiqizo wekhaya othethiweyo. Oku kubonakalisa imfuno yempahla kunye neenkonzo ezivela kubathengi. Kwixesha elidlulileyo, i-7.5 ekhulwini, ama-5.6 ekhulwini kunye ne-5.2 ekhulwini. Ukususela ngo-2008, i-3.7 ekhulwini ikhule ngokwezi-%.
- Inzuzo : Le yimalini yengeniso ephezulu eyenza inzuzo yenkampani. Ngokomyinge, kwiminyaka engama-20 edluleyo i-7.5 ekhulwini. Kule mphulo, iipesenti ze-9.8, irekhodi. Unokucinga ukuba kulungile ukuba iinkampani zinokuvelisa inzuzo engaphezulu kwerhafu efanayo, kodwa ayikho. Kungenxa yokuba inzuzo ihlawulwa ngemisebenzi, umvuzo kunye notyalo-mali.
- Umlinganiselo we-P / E : Oku kungakanani kwixabiso lentengo elongezelelweyo abalimi abazimisele ukuhlawula idola ngalinye lemali. Okwangoku ijikeleze amaxesha angama-16.6 ama-earnings kwi-S & P 500. Yiyo malunga neepesenti ezingama-9 phezulu kuneyona mihlanu yeminyaka edlulileyo.
Ithenda yeBull ede kakhulu
Kwimasheksi, imarike yenkomo yenkomo enkulu kunazo zonke yenzeke phakathi kuka-1990 no-2000. Kwakhona ubuye babuyela phezulu, njengoko kulinganiswa yi-S & P 500. Amaxabiso esitokisi aphakama ngama-417 ekhulwini ngeli xesha. Imarike yangoku yenkomo yowona wesibini ubude, uhlala ukususela ngoMatshi 2009 ukuya kwangoku. Ukubuya kwayo kwakuyi-295 ekhulwini phakathi kokuqala kwayo ukuya kuDisemba 2018. Ukubuya kwemilinganiselo yonke yeenkunzi zeenkomo ukususela ngo-1932 kuye kwaba ngama-165 ekhulwini.
I-Market Bull Market
NgoSeptemba 5, 2011, ixabiso legolide lifikelele kwixesha elide eli-1,895. Yayikuphela kwemarike yenkomo egolide eyaqala ngo-2000. Ngaphambi koko, igolide ihlala ijikeleze i-$ 300- $ 400 ngeyure.
Ngaphezulu, khangela iMbali Yexabiso leGolide .
Ithenda yeBond Bull
Kwiminyaka engama-32 edluleyo, iibhondi ziye zenziwa kwiimakethe zenkomo. Oko kuthetha ukuba awuyi kulahlekelwa yimali ukuthenga isibophelelo kuba iirhafu zokubuyela zihlala zilungile.
Ithenda yeBull Market
Imarike yenkomo yenkomo yinkxaso ende, ixesha elide eliqhelekileyo elihlala iminyaka emi-5 ukuya kwiminyaka eyi-25. Imarike yenkomo ingaba nokulungiswa, ilahle iipesenti ezili-10, kwaye iphinde iphinde iphinde iqhube phezulu ngaphandle kokungena kwimakethe yeebhere. Imakethe yeenkunzi zeenkomo ingaba neemakethi ezincinci zebhere ngaphakathi kwayo. Ezi zibizwa ngokuba yimimiselo yamashishini ephambili.
Bull Market
Inkunzi yerhwebo ngumntu ocinga ukuba amaxabiso aya kunyuka. Loo mntu kuthiwa ukhuthaze. I-bear yeemarike, kunjalo, into echaseneyo. Nguye ocinga ukuba amaxabiso ahla kwaye kuthiwa yi-bearish.
I-Bull Market ithetha kwiMbali
Kutheni usebenzisa inkomo okanye ibhere ukuchaza umgangatho wemarike?
Yonke yaqala ngasekupheleni kwe-1500s kunye nenkunzi yebhokhwe kunye neebhere. Yilapho abantu bebukele izinja zihlasela iinkunzi okanye iibhere) ziboshwe kwiposi. I-Bulldogs yazaliswa kule njongo. Ababukeli batheba ukuba inkunzi okanye inja iya kuphumelela. Ukukhwela kweBull kwakudume kakhulu kangangokuba yonke idolophu yaseNgilandi yayineenkomo yayo yenkomo. Kwezinye iidolophu iziganeko zenzeka eziliqela ngeveki. Okumangalisa kukuba, ukunyamezela kusekhona eNingizimu Carolina, nangona kungekho mthethweni kwamanye amazwe angama-49.
Yiloo ndlela iibhere kunye neenkunzi zeenkomo zokuqala zahlanganiswa ngayo iingcinga zabantu. Iibhere zazisetyenziselwa ukuchaza ukuziphatha kweemarike ngekhulu le-17. Okokuqala, abantu badla ngokusebenzisa ibinzana elithi, "Musa ukuthengisa i-bearskin ngaphambi kokuba umntu abambe ibhere," ukuchaza abazingeli ababenjenjalo. Kwimarike yemasheya, abathengisi abafutshane benza into efanayo. Bathengisa izabelo zesitokisi ngaphambi kokuba babe nazo. Bathenge izabelo abaye bazinikela ngazo. Ukuba ixabiso lesabelo liyehlile, baya kwenza inzuzo.
Kwaba nengqiqo kwiingqondo zabantu ukusebenzisa iinkunzi zeenkomo ukuchaza okuchasene neebhere eziza kuphakama amaxabiso. Kwakhona, ingcambu yesiJalimane yegama elithi "inkunzi" ithetha "ukuvuthela, ukuphazamisa, okanye ukuguqa," yintoni imarike ephakama.
Iibinzana zaqala ukupapashwa kwincwadi yenkulungwane ye-18, "Wonke umntu onguMthengisi wakhe," nguTomas Mortimer. Iingcali zangeenkulungwane zange-19 zenza imigaqo ethandwa kakhulu. UTomas Nast wanyathelisa iicatto malunga nokuxelwa kweenkomo kwiWall Street eHarper's Bazaar. UWilliam Holbrook Beard wachaza ukuhlaselwa kwemakethe ye-stock market ka-1873 usebenzisa iibhokhwe kunye neebhere. (Imithombo: "Uphawu lwesiBull kunye ne-Bear," i-Federal Reserve Banks yaseNew York. "Imvelaphi yeenkunzi kunye neebhere," i-Motley Fool. "Amabhola kunye neebhere," i-Valentine Capital Asset Management. "Iziqalo ze-Quirky kunye neBrutal zamazwi UBull no-Bear, "Ukutshala iimpendulo.)
