Ngokuchanekileyo Ukulinganisa i-Chinas Growth kunye ne-Caixin PMI

Ukujonga kwiCandelo eliPhambili leZona lezoQoqosho

Iinkcukacha zezoqoqosho zaseburhulumenteni zaseChina ziyaziwa ngokungaqinisekiyo. Ngokutsho kwezoqoqosho ezininzi, amabhanki, kunye nabahlalutyi, i-statistical bureau yelizwe ihlala ihamba ngokukhawuleza ngokukhula ngokungaphantsi kwexesha loqoqosho kunye nokuxhomekeka ngexesha lokuhla. Kunzima ukubonakalisa ezi ngxowankulu zinikezelwa iinkqubo ze-opaque zikaRhulumente, kodwa abatyala-mali basemhlabeni wonke akufanele bathembele kuphela kula manani xa besenza izigqibo.

Iindaba ezilungileyo kukuba kukho izibonakaliso ezininzi zezoqoqosho ezinzima ukunyanisela okanye ukugcinwa ngasese ukuba abatyala-mali behlabathi bangathembela ukuhlalutya kwabo. Ngokomzekelo, iBaidu igcina i-Index ye-SME, iinkampani zamandla zibika ukusetyenziswa kombane, kwaye iinkampani zokuthutha zendlela yokuhamba ngomzila zingabika kwi-output output. Abatyalomali bangaphinda bajonge ukusebenza kwezoqoqosho lwengingqi kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle ukufumana ingcamango yamandla oqoqosho.

Kule nqaku, siza kujonga enye yezi zibonakaliso zangasese - i-China yeKaixin PMI-kwaye kutheni kungenye yezona zibonakaliso ezichanekileyo kwezoqoqosho.

Yintoni i-PMI?

I- Index Yokuthengisa Abalawuli- okanye i-PMI-yindlela eyaziwayo yokulinganisa ukukhula koqoqosho ngokusebenzisa uphando lwamashishini abucala. Ezi zophando zibuza imibuzo yabanikazi bezoshishino malunga nemithetho emitsha, ukuveliswa kwemveliso, ukuqeshwa, ixesha lokuhambisa kunye neencwadi. Iimpendulo kule mibuzo zibekwe ubunzima kwaye kubalwa ukufundwa kwe-zero ukuya ku-100, apho kufundwa khona ngaphantsi kwe-50.0 kukhombisa ukuba uqoqosho luyakwenza isivumelwano kunye nangona kunjalo.

Abatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe bathembele kwi-PMI njengekhowudi yezoqoqosho. Emva kwakho konke, iimpendulo kule mibuzo zidla ngokutsha kwangaphambili kwangoku kutshintsha utshintsho kwiimimiselo ezintsha okanye kwingqesho. Izifundo ezingaphezulu kwe-42.0 zivame ukuphakamisa ukwandiswa kwezoqoqosho kumgangatho wexabiso lomhlaba (GDP), ngelixa ukufundwa ngaphantsi kwe-42.0 kuqikelele ukunyanzelwa koqoqosho kule nqanaba.

Icandelo ngalinye leengxelo ze-PMI linokubangela umdla kumacandelo ahlukeneyo abantu.

Kukho iinkcukacha ezahlukeneyo zabanikezeli beenkcukacha ze-PMI, kodwa ezo zibini ezidume kakhulu ziMarkit, e-United States, i-Institute of Supply Management - okanye i-ISM. Kubafakeli- mali bamazwe ngamazwe , uMarkit ngumboneleli oqhelekileyo wololu hlobo lwedatha kumazwe ahlukeneyo.

Ezimbini ze-PMI zaseChina

Kukho ukufundwa kwe-PMI ehlukeneyo evela kwiChina, kubandakanywa noRhulumente we-PMI karhulumente kunye nokufunda kwangasese kwiinkampani ezinjengeMarkit. Ngolunye lwale mithombo yophando ngolwazi ngokuhlukileyo, oko kuthetha ukuba abahambelani ngokuthe ngqo. Ngokomzekelo, inani leMarkit likhulu kakhulu kwiinkampani ezincinci kumgangatho ophakathi, ngelixa uwonke urhulumente ehamba ngokubanzi-kwaye uquka amashishini amakhulu.

I-Markit PMI, eyaziwa ngokuba yi-Caixin China ICI, mhlawumbi ilona lenkcazo ye-PMI yangasese. Ekubeni amashishini amancinci acatshulwe ngokuqhelekileyo ayamkelwa nguRhulumente, ukufundwa kungaba ngumlinganiselo wezoqoqosho ngeendlela ezithile. I-Kaixin PMI ikwazimeleyo ngokupheleleyo kurhulumente waseTshayina, oko kuthetha ukuba akukho namathuba okuba amanani ahlanjululwe njengoko anokuba ngamanani aseburhulumenteni.

Iingqalelo ezibalulekileyo

I-PMI yeCaixin inokuthenjwa ngakumbi kunezifundo ezisemthethweni ze-PMI eChina, kodwa abatyali-mali kufuneka basasebenzise isibonakaliso ngokubambisana nabanye. Kwaye nakwiimarike eziphuhlisiwe ezifana ne-United States, kuya kuba yimpazamo ukuthembela kuphela kwisilinganiselo esisodwa soqoqosho xa senza isigqibo sotyalo-mali. Ukwenziwa kwezinto kungabangela ipesenti enkulu yezoqoqosho zakwa-China - ukwenza iimfundo ze-PMI zichaphazeleke ngakumbi-kodwa abatyali-mali kufuneka bajonge kuzo zonke iindawo zoqoqosho.

Kwakhona kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba i-PMI yeCaixin ihlala ihluka kwiindawo ezithile zonyaka. Ngokomzekelo, isibonakaliso sithatha ukuwela emva koNyaka omtsha waseTshayina xa amabhizinisi evalwa. Abatyalomali bamazwe ngamazwe bangenakufuna ukunika ubunzima obuninzi kweli xesha lonyaka kwaye kunokuba bathembele kwezinye izikhombisi zezoqoqosho ezingabonakalisa.

Ngaphandle koko, banokulinda kude kube yinyanga elandelayo xa idatha ingathembeka ngakumbi ekubaleni ibali.

Amaphuzu athathweyo

• Amanani aseburhulumenteni aseTshayina ngokwezoqoqosho ngokuqhelekileyo anokuthenjelwa, ngokwezinto ezininzi zezoqoqosho, ezenza ukuba iinkcukacha zabucala zixabiseke.
• Inkcazo yabaphathi bezinto zokuthenga - okanye i-PMI-isalathisi sezoqoqosho esikhokelayo esisebenzisayo ukuba batyumbe ukuba uqoqosho luya phi.
• I-China ivelisa i-PMI esemthethweni ukufunda ngenyanga, ngelixa uMarkit unikeza ukufundwa kwangasese - kwaye bobabini bavame ukuxelela ibali elihlukile.
• Abatyalomali kufuneka baqiniseke ukuba badibanise nokufundwa kwe-PMI kunye nokuhlalutya ukuze bafumane umfanekiso ochanekileyo malunga nokuba uqoqosho luya phi.