Iimpawu eziyisixhenxe kufuneka uzi
Iingqungquthela ezisixhenxe eziqikelelwayo ezichaphazela amaxabiso eGesi
Amaxabiso eGesi awaneliseki , kungekhona nje ngokuba umqhubi unamanye amanyathelo, kodwa ngenxa yokuba iziganeko ezininzi ziyabathinta.
Ngaphambi kokuba ungene kwi-nitty-grarit of predicting prices for gas, kufuneka uqaphele izinto ezizenzekelayo. Baya kukunceda uqikelele utshintsho lwexesha kunye neepikki zenzeke kwixabiso legesi.
Okokuqala, ixabiso lentengo yegesi livame ukunyuka entwasahlobo nasehlotyeni kwaye liye lawa ekwindla nasebusika. Kungenxa yokuba imfuno yegesi iyanda ngexesha lasehlobo njengoko iintsapho ezininzi zaseMerika zihamba ngeendlela zokuhamba. Kwakhona kuba iifom ze-gesi ziquka i-ethanol ephezulu ehlotyeni ukunciphisa imiphumo yokufudumala kwehlabathi . Ngenxa yoko, i-refineries iqalisa ukuvelisa ivelisi yegesi ehlobo. Bavala ukulungiswa okufunekayo kwaye batshintshe kwiinkqubo zabo ukuba bafake amanqanaba aphezulu ethanol. Nangona ukuvalelwa kushicilelwe kwangaphambili, ixabiso legesi linokunyuka xa kuninzi kunikezelwa. Amanani ahlala ewa ekuwa njengoko imfuno yehla.
Okwesibini, ixabiso legesi liphakama emva kweemvula okanye ezinye iintlekele zemvelo.
Kungenxa yokuba ezininzi izinto zokucoca iimpahla ziwela umda weGulf of Mexico. Ukuba zonakaliswe, ukuhanjiswa kwegesi kuyonakaliswa. Kanye emva kweNkupho yeKatrina , ixabiso legesi liye lalinganiselwa kuma-dollar amahlanu.
Okwesithathu, izinto ezisongelayo ukunikezelwa kweoli ngehlabathi ziyakwazi ukuqhuba amaxabiso eoli kunye negesi. Lo mngcipheko uvame ukuqala kuMbindi Mpuma, obonelela ngeoli ehlabathini.
NgoFebruwari 2012, i-Iran isongela ukuvala i-Straits of Hormuz, apho iipesenti ezingama-20 zeoli iphela. I-Israel kunye ne-US babetha ngeempembelelo zabo, ukuqhuba amaxabiso e-gas ukuya kwi-3.87 ye-gallon ngo-Matshi.
Okwesine, abathengisi bezinto ezinokuthengiswayo bangenza ibhokhwe yamanani ngokucatshulwa. Oku kwenzeka ngexesha leengxaki zemali ka - 2008 . Xa imarike yesitokisi iphazamisekile , abahwebi baphendukela kwikamva yeoli ukuze benze imali. Nangona ixabiso liye lawa kwaye ukunikezelwa kwakukhuphuka, amaxabiso eoli aphakama kwirekhodi eyi-$ 145 ngomgqomo. Ngokukhawuleza wathumela amaxabiso egesi kwi-$ 4 ngegolon.
Okwesibini, ixabiso legesi ziyahlukahluka kummandla ngokuxhomekeke kwiirhafu zorhulumente kunye neendlela zokwenziwa kommandla. Ngokomzekelo, amaxabiso aseCalifornia aqhelekileyo aphezulu, ngenxa yerhafu kwi-$ .66 ngegolon. Xa kukho ukunqongophala kwindawo enye, kunzima ukusebenzisa igesi evela kwenye indawo ngoba kukho iindlela ezi-18 ezahlukeneyo. Esi sizathu esinye sokunqongophala kokunikezela eCalifornia kwaqhuba amaxabiso ukuya kuma-dollar ama-5 nge-gallon ekupheleni konyaka ka-2012 ngelixa amaxabiso kulo lonke ilizwe ayenayo idola elingaphantsi.
Eyesithandathu, ixabiso le dollar linokuchaphazela ixabiso leoli kunye negesi. Kungenxa yokuba iivumelwano zeoli zixabiso kuphela kwiidola. Njengoko ixabiso leedola lihla, ixabiso leoli liphakama. Kwaye kwenzeka ngo-2014 xa idola liqala ukuqina.
Amaxabiso e-oyile awela ngethuba lokuqala le-2016.
Ekugqibeleni kwaye ubuncinci yinto yokuba olunye usuku ihlabathi liya kuphuma ngeoli. Kodwa yile ndlela yenkxaso ede kangangokuba akuyona into ebalulekileyo kuyo nayiphi na iinguqu ezitshintshayo. Kungenxa yokuba kusekho iindawo ezininzi zokugcina impahla eSaudi Arabia, umthombo oyintloko weoli yanamhlanje.
Indawo elungileyo yokufumana malunga nale mijelo yi- Arhente ye - Energy Information , i-Federal agency ejongene nokuhlalutya kunye nokunika ingxelo ngegama lombane welizwe. Iveki nganye, ihlaziya i-Short Term Energy Outlook. Ibika malunga namaxabiso eoli neegesi zangoku. Kwakhona kukuxelela ukuba ngaba kukho nayiphi na iintlobo ezisixhenxe ezichaphazelayo ngoku. Umzekelo, kukuvumela ukwazi ukuba iindawo zokucoca iimpahla ziphantsi okanye ukuba zikhona ezinye iingxaki zokuhambisa ngegesi okanye ioli.
I-EIA ayiyi kukuxelela ukuba intlawulo yegesi iya kuba ngantoni okanye ngeveki ezayo, kodwa iqikelele amaxabiso aphakathi konyaka ozayo.
Kukho ubuninzi beenkcukacha kule sayithi enika ixabiso lentengo yegesi, ngoko unokubamba phantsi ukujonga iindwendwe. Jonga iifayile ezenziwe ngokwezifiso.
Iikontraka ze-Petroli kunye ne-Oil Futures
Ukujonga ngokuthe kratya kwixabiso lentengo yegesi, uye kwiimarike zemveliso. Kulapho, abahwebi banamathela kwi-gas delivery ngenyanga ezayo. Oku kubizwa ngokuba yi-mkontrakthi yesigqibo, kwaye sivumelwano phakathi komthengi oza kusebenzisa igesi kunye nomthengisi. Umthengi unokuba yinkampani yokuhambisa igesi, inkampani yokuthutha, okanye iqumrhu elikhulu. Umthengisi kaninzi uhlaziywa.
Nangona kunjalo, abaninzi abathengi beempahla abanomsebenzi abanalo injongo yokuthatha ubunini bepetololine. Kunoko, bafuna ukwenza inzuzo kworhwebo. Bathenga ngoku, benethemba lokuba ixabiso langempela liya kuphakama ukuze bathengise isivumelwano kunye nenzuzo. Aba bathengisi banembopheleleko enkulu yokungabi nantoni kwixabiso legesi. Bayalindela baze batyeke ngokugqithiseleyo ukunikezelwa kwangempela kunye neemfuno zokufuna.
Ixabiso elibizwa ngokuba yi- New York Harbour RBOB petrolethi yekontrakthi. Iitshathi zemihla ngemihla zibonisa ukuba ngabaphi abarhwebi banabhidi kunye nokuvala kwiikontraka zenyanga nganye kwixesha elizayo. Kukho umthamo ophezulu wokutya kwemihla ecaleni kweli xesha, ngoko ke amanani athembekileyo. Ngenxa yokuba izinto ezininzi zinokutshintsha ukuchaphazela intlawulo yeoli kunye negesi, ezi tshathi zitshintsha imihla ngemihla. Jonga iiNdawo zokuHlaliswa kwemihla ngemihla yeRBOB Futures.
Unokuthengisa urhwebo lwegesi ngqo kwiCME. Enye indlela yokuzuza ngokuthe ngqo kubungqina bakho bexabiso lentengo yegesi.
Esinye isalathisi semali yegesi yengomso iikontrakthi zexesha elizayo zeBrent Crude Oil Futures. Ngokuqhelekileyo kuthatha malunga neiveki ezintandathu ngaphambi kokuba utshintsho kumaxabiso eoli luboniswe kumpom. Ngokona nxalenye, ixabiso lentengo yegesi izontrakthi ziya kulandela iivumelwano zexabiso leoli. Ngezinye izikhathi amaxabiso eoli aya kuba phantsi, kodwa ixabiso lentengo yegesi ngenxa yokusabalalisa ukusabalalisa kwientlekele zemvelo okanye ukuvalwa kwezityalo zonyaka.
Jonga zombini iitshathi ukuze uqinisekise, kwaye uqonde oko kwenzekayo ukuchaphazela amaxabiso egesi. Ukuxhotyiswe ngale lwazi, uya kukwazi ukuxela kwangaphambili amaxabiso egesi namhlanje. (Umthombo: "I- Gas Futures ". "Yintoni echaphazela intengo ye-Fuel," i-Chevron. "Ukuhlaziywa kwexabiso leGesi," Ulawulo loLwazi lweMandla. ")