Izizathu Ezihlanu zokuba Kutheni amaxabiso okutya aya kuqhubeka
Forecast
Ngo-2018, iSebe lezoLimo laseUnited States liqikelela ukuba amaxabiso okutya aya kunyuka phakathi kwe-1.0 ukuya kwi-2.0 ekhulwini. Ixabiso leenkomo kunye ne-veal liza kuphakama ama-2.0 - 3.0 ekhulwini.
Amanani e-egg aya kunyusa ama-4.0 ukuya kuma-5.0 ekhulwini. Ixabiso lokutya kunye neebhaki liza kunyuka kuma-3.0 ukuya kwi-4.0 ekhulwini. I-USDA ilindele ukuba inani lamafutha, iziqhamo, kunye nemifuno liyeke.
Izizathu ezinhlanu zokuphakama kwamaxabiso okutya
Kukho izizathu ezinhlanu zokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwixabiso lokutya kwehlabathi. Baza kuqhuba ixabiso lokutya ngexesha elide. Kukho nexesha elifutshane elichaphazela ukunikezelwa kunye neemfuno. Ezi ziquka imozulu, izifo zezilwanyana kunye neentlekele. Ezi zizathu ezine zilandelayo ziqhuba amaxabiso angaphezulu kwexesha.
Ixabiso eliphezulu leoli liphakamisa iindleko zokuthumela. Ukutya kuthathwa ukuthutha umgama omkhulu. Unokulindela amaxabiso aphezulu egesi malunga neiveki ezintandathu emva kokunyuka kwexesha leoli.
Ixabiso leoli lichaphazela nokulima. Iiprojekti zeoli ziyinxalenye ebalulekileyo yechumisi. Oku kuncedisa iipesenti ezingama-20 zeendleko zokuvuna okusanhlamvu. Phakathi kuka-2001 no-2007, amaxabiso aphezulu eoli anonge ama-40 ekhulwini kwiindleko zokukhula kwengqolowa, ingqolowa, kunye neesoya.
2. Ukutshintsha kwemozulu kudala isomiso. Ukushisa kwegesi yokutshisa ukutshisa umsila, kubangele ukunyuka kwamaqondo okushisa. Umphunga omlilo uthatha umswakama obuninzi. Imvula encinane, amanzi ukusuka emachibi kunye nemilambo ikhuphuka, kwaye ilizwe limile. Xa ithola imvula, amanzi aphuma emhlabeni ngaphandle kokungena kwitafile yamanzi.
Oko kudala izikhukhula.
3. Urhulumente wase-United States uncedisa ukuvelisa i-corn for biofuels. Oko kuthatha ingqolowa yokutya, ukunyusa amaxabiso. I-Amerika ngoku isebenzisa i-40 ekhulwini yengqolowa yayo yokwenza i-ethanol. Oku kunyuka kuma-6 ekhulwini ngo-2000.
Okwesithathu, i- World Trade Organisation imisela isixa sembewu yenkxaso nengqolowa enokuthi amazwe angenise kwiifowuni zomhlaba. I-United States, i- European Union kunye namanye amazwe asathuthuka kakhulu axhasa amashishini abo ezolimo. Amafama kulawo mazwe athola inzuzo yokurhweba. I-WTO ibeka umda wokubeka umgca wokunciphisa eli phepha. Kodwa kunciphisa inani lokutya elitholakala ngonqongophala. Oku kwandisa intengo yokutya.
5. Abantu abajikeleze ihlabathi badla inyama. Kungenxa yokuba zikhula ngakumbi. Kuthatha inqolowa engakumbi ukutya izilwanyana ezifunekayo ekudleni okusekelwe ekudleni kunokuba kuyimfuneko yokutya okusanhlamvu. Imfuno ephezulu yokutya inyama kuthetha ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okusanhlamvu.
Imikhosi yakutsha nje
2008. Amaxabiso okutya aphakama ngamaphesenti angama-6.4 ngokweNkcazo yeNtengo yabathengi yokutya. Kwakuyinyuka enkulu yonyaka omnye ukususela ngo-1984. Abacwanisi beempahla babangela amanani okutya aphezulu ngo-2008 nangama-2009. Njengoko i- crisis global financial crisis yanyusa amaxabiso emakethe e-stock market , abatyali-mali babalekela kwiimarike zemveliso.
Ngenxa yoko, amaxabiso eoli aphakama kwirekhodi ye-$ 145 ngomgqomo ngoJulayi, ukuqhuba ixabiso lentengo ye-gas ukuya kwi-4.00 yegolon. Ingxenye yale nto yabangelwa ukunyuka kweemfuno ezivela eChina naseIndiya , ezazisinda kwi- subprime mortgage crisis . Lo bubble lwe-asethi usasazeka kwingqolowa, igolide kunye nezinye iimarike ezizayo. Ixabiso lokutya linyuka emhlabeni jikelele. Ngenxa yoko, ukuphazamiseka kokutya ngabantu abajongene nendlala banokuvela kumazwe angaphantsi.
Ngo-2011 . Ngo-2011, amaxabiso aphakama ngama-4.8 ekhulwini. Ezinye iingcali zathi oku kwafaka isandla kwiingxabano ze-Arab Spring. Ngokutsho kweBhanki yeHlabathi , amaxabiso eengqolowa aphindaphindwe kabini ngo-2011. Izidalwa ezimbi zasendle zaseRashiya zonakalisa izityalo ngo-2010. Ngokwampendulo, abacebisi bempahla baqhuba amaxabiso angaphezulu ukuya kusetyenziselwa le nto. Baqhuba ummbila, ushukela, kunye namafutha okupheka aphezulu. Ukoma kwelasezantsi eUnited States kwanciphise umkhiqizo wokukhupha inkukhu, ukwandisa amaxabiso eqanda.
Ukuzamazama komhlaba kweJapan kwanciphisa amandla okuloba, ukuhla kwexabiso lokutya kwezilwanyana zasemanzini kuye kwehla.
2012. Imbalela ayizange ifuthe amaxabiso okutya jikelele, okwenyuka kwama-2.5 ekhulwini. Ukungafani kwakuquka inyama yenkomo, i-veal, inkukhu, kunye neziqhamo. Kodwa amaxabiso awela kweengulube, amaqanda kunye nemifuno. I-USDA ilindele ukuba amanani aphakame ama-2.5-3.5 ekhulwini. Isekelwe oku kwii-100 zamaxabiso / ixabiso leoli elibangelwa yingozi yokulwa ne-Irani kunye nemfuno ephezulu ebangelwa ukuhamba kweeholide ehlobo. I-USDA nayo ixhala malunga nokunciphisa umveliso we-soya eMzantsi Melika.
Ngo-2013. Amaxabiso okutya aphakama ngamaphesenti angama-0.9 ngo-2013. Ixabiso leenkomo ne-veal liye laphakama ipesenti ze-2.0, ngokwe-USDA "Iinguqu zonyaka weeNkcitho kwiZiko lokutya ngeCandelo." Inkomfa ka-2012 yaphoqa abalimi ukuba baxhele iinkomo eziye zabiza kakhulu. Isomiso satshisa izityalo kwintsimi. Ngenxa yoko, amaxabiso endle, ii soya kunye nezinye izityalo zavuka. Kuthatha inyanga eziliqela ukwenzela ukuba ixabiso lexabiso lithengise kwivenkile. Ngenxa yoko, ininzi yesiphumo saloo nto yenzeke ngo-2013.
2014. Amaxabiso okutya aphakama ngama-2.4 ekhulwini ngo-2014. Ixabiso leentlobo ezithile zokutya zavuka ngenxa yeemeko zemozulu. Ngokomzekelo, imbalela eMidwest iqhube ixabiso leenkomo zenyama yenkomo ye-12.1. Ubungqina bekuyi-28 ekhulwini. Kungenxa yokuba imboni yenkomo yayinokubandezeleka kwesomiso ukususela ngo-2012. Nantsi indlela amaxabiso enkomo achaphazela ngayo ishedyuli yesidingo .
Izalela zaseCalifornia, enye yezona zimbi kakhulu kwiirekhodi, zaphumela kumaxabiso aphezulu kwiintlobo, izityalo kunye neentonga ezintsha. Ixabiso lezithelo lalijoliswe ukuba likhuphuke ngama-4.5-5.5 ekhulwini. Bavuka 4.8 ekhulwini.
2015. Ixabiso liye landa 1.9 ekhulwini ngokwemyinge. Ixabiso leenkomo ze-Beef ne-veal laphakama ngama-7.2 ekhulwini ngenxa yesomiso e-Texas nase-Oklahoma. Amanani e-egg aphakamisa ama-17.8 ekhulwini ngokubonga kwi-Avian Pathogenic Influenza. Intlanzi kunye neentlanzi zasemanzini zibiza i-0.9 pesenti ngaphantsi.
Ngo-2016. Kulindeleke ukuba amaxabiso okutya aphakame 1-2 iphesenti. Kunoko, bawa ngama-1.3 ekhulwini. Idola iyomeleza iipesenti ezingama-25, ukunciphisa iindleko zokungenisa ukutya. Amanani e-Egg awa phantsi kweepesenti ezingama-21.1 ukusuka kwinqanaba lawo elincinci lika-2015.
2017. Amaxabiso okutya aphakama ngama-8.2 ekhulwini, umyinge ophezulu wonyaka ukususela ngo-2014. I-USDA ilindele ukuba amanani aphakame iipesenti ezi-1. Kwakucingwa ukuba idoli eqinile iya kuhlala iphoxisa ixabiso lokungenisa ukutya. Endaweni yoko, idola libuthathaka, linemiphumo eyahlukileyo. Abavelisi bakwazi ukuthumela ukutya okungaphezulu, ukunciphisa ukubonelela nokuphakamisa amanani asekhaya. Amanani amafutha nawo kulindeleke ukuba ahlale ephakathi. Bavuka endaweni yoko, benyusa iindleko zorhwebo. I-USDA yayicinga ukuba imvula eninzi iya kuqhubeka nokunciphisa isomela saseCalifornia.
Impembelelo yexabiso lokuThengwa kwamaxabiso
Ukuphazamiseka kokutya kwenzeka ngo-2008 no-2011 emva kweentengo zexabiso. Abaninzi bathi izidlo zokutya zenze ukuba utshintsho olukhulu lulethwe yi-Arab Spring.
Njengoko amaxabiso aqhubeka ephakama, ukuphazamiseka kokutya kungaba yingxaki ebalulekileyo. Iinkokeli zehlabathi, ezifana ne-G-20 okanye i-G-7, kufuneka zijongane nezizathu ezine. Ngaphandle koko, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya kuza kuqhubeka ukudala ukungaxhamli kwehlabathi jikelele.