Igalelo elikhulu kunyulo lukaMongameli ka - 2012 . Kwakuhlobo olukufuphi kakhulu phakathi kwabaviwa ababini abaneendlela ezahlukeneyo zokukhuthaza ukukhula koqoqosho. Umncintiswano ngokwawo wanciphisa ukukhula koqoqosho, njengoko amashishini alindile ukuba abone ukuba yiliphi iqhinga eliza kuthatha ilizwe.
Isibini sesibini sinegalelo esivela kwi- cliff ye-cash . Ukungaqiniseki malunga neerhafu zerhafu ezizayo kugcinwe i-$ 1 trillion yeendleko zenkampani ngokukhawuleza, zilinde isisombululo phambi kokuba zingeniswe ngokukhuselekileyo.
Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, amashishini amaninzi alindele ukujonga ukuba i- Obamacare yayiza kudutyulwa yiNkundla ePhakamileyo ngoJuni 28, 2012. Kwakungenjalo, kodwa oku kuqinisekisiwe kwanciphisa ukunyuka kwamashishini kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2012.
Ingxaki ye- debt ye-Eurozone nayo yabangela ingozi kwimakethe yase-United States. Ukungaqiniseki malunga nokuba i-European Central Bank (ngamanye amagama, iJamani) iya kuthintela iGrisi, iSpain kunye ne-Italy ukuba ilahlekelwe phantsi kwetyala layo ithumele iDow phantsi kwamanqaku angama-1 ngoMeyi .
Kwiphepha elikhanyayo, abanye abatyalo-mali babelindele ukubona ukuba ihlabathi liya kupheliswa ngoDisemba 21, 2012, njengoko kuthethwa (abanye bathi) ngeKhalenda yeMeya. Ngethamsanqa, akuzange kwenzeke, ngoko sinokufumanisa ukuba ezinye iingxaki ezingenakunzima ziza kuzimisela njani ngo-2013.
Kukho konke okungaqinisekiyo, kutheni uqoqosho luqhubeka lukhula?
Okokuqala, i-Federal Reserve yayigcina isondlo, ngendlela yokukhuthaza imali. I-Fed ixhomekeke kwiindlela ezahlukahlukeneyo zokunciphisa ukwanda , ukuvakalisa i- QE3 ngo-Septemba, kunye ne- QE 4 ngoDisemba 2012. Oku kwagcina ixabiso lentlawulo ephantsi.
Okwesibini, ukuvalwa kwangaphambili kwaqala ukuthoba emva kweeNkundla zeSithili zihlala kunye neebhanki kwiimangalo zokubhalisa i-robo.
Ngenxa yoko, imarike yezindlu yaba ngcono
Okwesithathu, abathengi bahamba ngeenyawo ezininzi, baqalisa ukuthenga. Oku bekukho nangoko kusetyenziswa kwekhadi elingaphantsi kwekhadi . Nangona kunjalo, i-Fed yokuvuselela imali iholele kumanani aphantsi okuboleka abathengi. Oku kwavumela abantu ukuba bathathe i-auto, ifenitshala kunye nemali-mboleko yemfundo.
Ukukhula koQoqosho kunye neGDP
Ukukhula koqoqosho, njengoko kulinganiswe yi- GDP , kuye kwanda u-2% kwikota yokuqala ka-2012. Kwaye kwahla kancane ukuya ku-1.3% kwikota yesibini kodwa kwaphakama ngamandla kwi 3.1% kwikota yesithathu. Uqikelelo oluphambili lwenziwa ngu-.1% kwikota yokugqibela. Uninzi lwalolu hlobo lubangelwa utshintsho kwiikontraka zikaRhulumente ezikhuselekileyo. Ezi zinokuthi zingabonakali, kuba ziyikontraka ezinkulu. Ikota yesine i-pullback yempembelelo mhlawumbi yayisabela kwisongelo lokutshatyalaliswa kwempahla, okuya kuba kunciphise imali yokukhusela ngo-10%. Ukuveliswa kwezoqoqosho zomhlaba njengoko kulinganiswe yi-GDP bekuyi $ 15.9 trillion.
Nangona uqikelelo lokugqibela alukho, lubukeka ngathi uqoqosho luya kuhlala luphakathi kwe-2-3% yokukhula kwe-GDP . Nangona kunjalo, kusekho abantu abaninzi kakhulu abangaqeshwanga ukususela kwiingxaki zemali zika - 2008 . Ukukhula koqoqosho kufuneka kube ngu-3-4% okwethutyana ukufumana bonke abasebenzi.
Ngaphezulu, jonga Yintoni i-Current GDP Growth Rate? .
Ingqesho kunye nokungasebenzi
Ngo-2012, uqoqosho lwadala imisebenzi engama-2.17 yezigidi, njengoko umsebenzi wasuka kwi-132.5 yezigidi ukuya kwii-134.7 yezigidi (ukuqikelelwa kwangaphambili). Ngokomyinge, imisebenzi engama-180,000 yadalwa ngenyanga. Oku kwakwanele ukufumana abasebenzi abatsha kubasebenzi, kodwa akwanele ukubeka i-dent enkulu kwizinga lokungasebenzi . Umfanekiso wokungaqeshwa ungaphucule, njengoko izinga liye lisuka kwi-8.9% ukuya kwi-7.8%. Inani labantu abangaqeshwanga lawela ukusuka kwizigidi ezili-12,8 ukuya kwi-12.2 yezigidi. Ukubuyisela inyanga-ngenyanga-nenyanga, nokuthelekisa kwiminyaka engaphambili, khangela i- Employment Statistics kunye ne- Not Employment Statistics .
Ukuthengiswa kweNtengiso kunye neNkcitho
Ukuthengiswa kweRetail kwakuyi-$ 4.9 trillion ngo-2012, ukuphakama okunempilo kwama-5.04%. Nangona kunjalo, le nto yayingaphantsi kwe-8% kwanda ngo-2011. Ininzi yale nzuzo yayisuka kwenyuka kwamaxabiso e-gesi, afakwe kwaye ayilungiswanga ukuguqulwa kwamanani kwii-Numeri zoBalo base-US.
Kwakhona kubonakalisa inzuzo ekuthengiseni imoto, kunye neirekodi ezintsha kwi- Black Friday kunye ne- Halloween yokuthengisa iholide. Kwinyanga nganye ngeenkcazo zenyanga, khangela i- Retail Sales Statistics .
Uninzi lwalokhu kukhula kweentengiso lugqithiselwa ngetyala labathengi, njengokuba amaMerika asebenzisa amathuba atyhutyulweyo angama-200 ukuba athathe imali. NgoDisemba, babenemali eyi-1.928 trillion ngemali-mboleko, okanye i-$ 16,200 nganye. Amatyala ekhadi lokuthenga ngetyala aphakama, njengoko iibhanki zakhula zingenako ukwenza uboleko obubi. Abantu baseMelika babekweleta i-$ 849.8 yezigidi, okanye i-$ 7,140 nganye intsapho, kwiiplastiki zabo. Yonke into echazwe, ityala labathengi li-$ 2.78 trillion, okanye i-$ 23,346 nganye kwikhaya. Oku kwakungaphambi kwexesha leengxaki zemali, nangona kwakunomlinganiselo ophilileyo, kuba bekukho ipesenteji ephezulu yokubolekisa, ukuboleka kweendleko eziphantsi kunye nexabiso elincinane lekhadi lesikweletu. Ukufumana okunye, khangela iSitatimende seMatyala yabathengi .
Ixabiso lentengo, amaxabiso e-oyile kunye ne-gesi, kunye neenzala
Ngethamsanqa, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwakungasongelo ngo-2012. I-Federal Reserve igcine inzala kwimigangatho ephantsi kunamakhulu amabini ukukhuthaza ukukhula koqoqosho. Isamba semali seFed sasihlala kufuphi naso, kwaye ibhanki yelizwe eliyinxalenye ithembisa ukuba iya kuhlala loo ndlela de kube izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi lijolise ekujoliswe kuyo kwe-6.4%. Ukongezelela, i-Fed yaqhubeka nokuthenga iimali zokugcina iimali kunye ne-US Treasury, inkqubo eyaziwa ngokuba ngumncinci .
Nangona oku kukhuliswa kwamanzi , amaxabiso aphakama kuphela 1.7% ngonyaka. Ixabiso lokunyuka kwexabiso eliphantsi liphezulu kakhulu, kwi-1.9% kodwa iphantsi kwe-Target ye-Fed ye-2%. Ukufumana okungaphezulu, khangela iNani leMali eliNyukayo .
Ngelishwa, ixabiso leoli neyegesi zithengiswa entwasahlobo, ukucaphukisa abathengi. Intengo yegesi yexabiso eliqhelekileyo yayiyi $ 3.87 ngoMatshi, ngaphambi kokuba iphinde ihlawule ngo-Ephreli. Nangona kunjalo, ukunqongophala kokusasa eCalifornia kwanyusa ixabiso elingaphezu kwe-$ 4.50 ewa.
Uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali, uMatyala, kunye namatyala
Ekupheleni kowama-2012, ityala le-US laliyi $ 16.4 trillion, kanti i-GDP yayingama-15.9 trillion. Oko kwenza ukuba u- 103%, ubukhulu kunanini na ixesha ukusuka kwiMfazwe Yehlabathi II. Amatyala aqhutywa yintlawulo karhulumente kunye nokunciphisa ingeniso kwerhafu, ngenxa yokukhula kwezoqoqosho. Ulwabiwo-mali lwe- FY ka-2012 lwaluyi-$ 1.327 yezigidigidi. Ngenxa yoko, ingxoxo malunga nendlela yokunciphisa ityala elilawulwa ngumkhankaso woMongameli ka - 2012 . Emva koko, ingxabano yaqhubeka njengeNgqungquthela yeNdwendwe yaseRephabliki uJohn Boehner kunye noMongameli uBabinene bagwema ngokukhawuleza ukuhlaselwa kwezemali .
Ixabiso leDola
I dollar yenqabile ngo-2012. I-euro yayidla i-$ 1.29 kuphela ekuqaleni konyaka ka-2012, kodwa ingatshintshwa nge $ 1.32 ngonyaka. Oku kunceda ukuthumela ngaphandle, ukukhulisa ukukhula koqoqosho kancinci. Kwaba buhlungu nakwamanye amazwe ngaphandle kokubenza baxabise. Ngaphezulu, bona ixabiso leDola .