Izigaba ezi-4 ezibalulekileyo
Amanqanaba
Umjikelezo ngamnye wezoshishino unezigaba ezine. Ziyakwandisa , ukuphakama, ukubetheka kunye nomzila. Ayenzi ngezikhathi eziqhelekileyo. Kodwa banayo izibonakaliso ezibonakalayo.
Ukwandiswa kukuphakathi kwetafula kunye nenqanaba.
Ngelo xesha uqoqosho lukhula. Umkhiqizo omkhulu wekhaya , olinganisa umlinganiselo wezoqoqosho, ukwanda. Ukukhula kweGDP kumgangatho ophezulu weepesenti 2-3 . Ukungabikho kwemisebenzi kufinyelela kwizinga laso lemvelo le-4.5 ukuya kuma-5.0 ekhulwini. Ixabiso lemali lisondele ekujoliswe kuyo kwipesenti ezi-2 . Imarike yemasheya isemarike yenkomo . Uqoqosho olulawulwa kakuhle lunokuhlala kwisigaba sokwandisa iminyaka. Oko kubizwa ngokuba yi- Goldilocks kwezoqoqosho .
Isigaba sokwandisa sisondela ekupheleni kwayo xa uqoqosho ludla. Yilapho izinga lokukhula kweGDP liphezulu kunama-3 ekhulwini. Ixabiso lemali likhulu kunama-2 ekhulwini kwaye linokufikelela kumadidi aphindwe kabini. Abatyalomali basesimweni " sokungabikho komthetho ." Yilapho beyakha ama-bubble asethi .
Ingqungquthela isigaba sesibini. Yinyanga leyo xa ukwandiswa kwezithuba zibe kwisigaba sokuqhawula.
Isigaba sesithathu sithintelo. Iqala kwinqophiso kwaye iphela kwisitya. Ukukhula koqoqosho kuyanciphisa. Ukukhula kweGDP kuwela ngaphantsi kwama-2 ekhulwini.
Xa ijika ingalunganga, yilezo ezoqoqosho zibiza umnotho . Ukugqithiswa kwamatyala kwenza iindaba eziphambili. Izinga lokungasebenzi liqala ukunyuka. Ayenzeki ukuya ngasekupheleni kwesigaba sokuqhawula ngenxa yokuba isalathisi sokusila . Amashishini alinde ukuqesha abasebenzi abatsha de baqiniseke ukuba ukuphelelwa kwemali kuphelile.
Amasheya angena kwimarike yeebhere njengoko abathengi bathengisa.
Umgudu uyisigaba sesine. Leyo yinyanga xa uguquko lwezoqoqosho luvela kwisigaba sokuqhekeza kwisigaba sokwandisa. Yona xa uqoqosho luhlaselwa phantsi. Izigaba ezine zezoshishino zinokuba nzima kakhulu kangangokuthi zibizwa ngokuba yi- boom kunye nomjikelezo wokujikeleza . A
Ngubani olinganisa i-Cycle Business?
IBhunga leSizwe loPhando loQoqosho lenza iinqanaba zokujikeleza kwezoshishino zisebenzisa amaxabiso okukhula kwekota ye-GDP. Ikwasebenzisa izikhombisi- zenyanga zoqoqosho , njengengqesho, ingeniso yangempela yomntu , imveliso yoshishino kunye nokuthengiswa kweentengiso . Kuthatha ixesha ukuhlalutya le datha, ngoko i-NBER ayikuxeleli isigaba de emva kokuqalisa kwayo. Kodwa unokwazi ukubheka izikhombisi zakho ukuba ubone ukuba yeyiphi isigaba somjikelezo wezoshishino esikuyo .
Ngubani olawula i-Cycle Business?
URhulumente ulawula umjikelezo wezoshishino. AbaLungu basebenzise umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali ukuchaphazela uqoqosho. Basebenzisa umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali owandisiweyo xa befuna ukuphelisa umnotho. Bamele basebenzise umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali olwaphulo-mthetho ukuze kugcinwe uqoqosho ekugqithiseni. Kodwa oko akunakwenzeka. Kungenxa yokuba bavotelwe kwiofisi xa bekhupha irhafu okanye baqhekeza iinkqubo ezidumile.
Ibhanki eyintloko yelizwe isebenzisa umgaqo-mali wezemali .
Inciphisa ixabiso lomyinge ukuphelisa ukuqhekeka okanye isitya. Oko kubizwa ngokuba ngumgaqo-mali wezemali. Ibhanki ephakamileyo iphakamisa amazinga ekulawuleni ukwandiswa ngoko ayibeki. Leyo mgaqo-nkqubo wezimali .
Injongo yomgaqo-nkqubo woqoqosho kukugcina uqoqosho lukhula kwinqanaba elizinzileyo. Kumele kube namandla ngokwaneleyo ukudala imisebenzi kuwo wonke umntu ofuna enye kodwa ngokukhawuleza ukuphepha ukunyuka kwamaxabiso .
Izinto ezintathu zibangele ngasinye isigaba somjikelo wezoshishino . Leyo yindlela yokubonelela kunye nokufunwa , ukufumaneka kweentengo ezinkulu kunye nokuzithemba kwabathengi . Eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu kukuzithemba ngekamva. Uqoqosho lukhula xa kukho ukholo kwixesha elizayo nakumacwangcisi. Yenza okungafaniyo xa ukuzithemba kwehla. Jonga indlela oku kusebenza ngayo kwimigangatho nganye yoshishino ukususela ngo-1929 .
Umzekelo
Uqoqosho lwe- 2008 lwaluyingozi kangangokuba uqoqosho lwangoko lwafumana i-2.7 ekhulwini kwikota yokuqala ka-2008 .
Xa ihlaziye iipesenti ezi-2 kwikota yesibini, wonke umntu wayecinga ukuba ukuhla kwelokuphelile. Kodwa yafumana enye i-1,9 ekhulwini kwikota yesithathu, ngaphambi kokunciphisa i-8.2 yepesenti kwikota yesine. Uqoqosho lwafumana enye i-wallop kwikota yokuqala ka-2009 xa ithe yafumana i-5.4 pesenti enobudlova. Isantya sokungabikho kwemisebenzi senyuka ukusuka kuma-5.0 ekhulwini ngoJanuwari ukuya kuma-7.3 ekhulwini ngoDisemba.
Umkhombe wenzeka kwikota yesibini ka-2009 , ngokwe-NBER. I-GDP inikwe i-0.5 ekhulwini. Ukungabikho kwemisebenzi kwanyuka kuma-9,5 ekhulwini .
Isigaba sokwandisa saqala kwikota yesithathu ka-2009 xa i-GDP iphakama ama-1.3 ekhulwini. Le nto yayibulela kwimali yokuvuselela evela kuMthetho we- American Recovery and Reinvestment Act . Isilinganiso sokungabikho kwemisebenzi saqhubeka siba nzima, sifinyelela kwi-10.0 yeepesenti ngo-Oktobha. Iminyaka emine kwisigaba sokwandisa, izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi lalingaphantsi kwama-7 ekhulwini. Kungenxa yokuba isigaba sokuqhekeza sasinzima.
Ingqungquthela elandelwe ukuhanjiswa kwe-2008 kwenzeka kwikota yesithathu ka-2007 . Ukukhula kweGDP kwaba yi-2.7 ekhulwini. Ngomnye umzekelo, khangela iMbali yokuHlola .