Ngaba idola liyawa phantsi ngo-2018?
Xa kuqhutywe, la maqela aya kufuna ixabiso elibekwe kuyo nayiphi na enye ngaphandle kweedola. Ukuwa kwedola kuthetha ukuba wonke umntu uzama ukuthengisa iimpahla zakhe zeedola, kwaye akukho mntu ufuna ukuzithenga.
Oku kuya kuqhuba ixabiso le dollar phantsi ukuya kufutshane nero. Yenza ukuba i- hyperinflation ibonakale nje ngemini epakini.
Izinto ezintathu ezinokubangela ukuwa
Imimiselo emithathu kufuneka ibe khona ngaphambi kokuba idola liwele. Okokuqala, kufuneka kubekho ubuthathaka obuphantsi. Leyo meko ikhona ngo-2017. Imali yase-United States ibuthakathaka ngokukodwa nangona ikhusenti yeepesenti ezingama-25 ukususela ngo-2014. I dollar yanqabana nama-54.7 ekhulwini malunga ne- euro phakathi kuka-2002 no-2012. Ityala le-US liphindwe kathathu ngeli xesha, ukusuka kwi-$ 6 triliyoni ukuya kwii-15 trillion. Ityala libi ngakumbi ngoku, kwi $ 21 trillion. Umlinganiselo we- debt-to-GDP ngoku ungaphezulu kwama-100 ekhulwini. Oku kwandisa ithuba lokuba iUnited States izakuvumela ixabiso ledoli lidibanise. Kungenxa yokuba kuya kuba lula ukubuyisela ityala layo ngemali engabizi.
Okwesibini, kufuneka kubekho enye imali efanelekileyo yokuthenga wonke umntu. Amandla edoli asekelwe ekusebenziseni kwayo njengelizwe lokugcina imali .
Idola yaba yindawo yokugcina imali ngo-1973 xa uMongameli uNixon washiya umgangatho wegolide . Njengemali yehlabathi, idola isetyenziselwa iipesenti ezingama-43 zazo zonke iintlawulo zomda. Oko kuthetha ukuba ibhanki ephakathi kufuneka ibambe idola kwiindawo zayo zokugcina ukuhlawula le ntengiso. Ngenxa yoko, amaphesenti angama-61 ale mali angaphandle angama-dollar.
Elandelayo imali eyaziwayo emva kwedola iyure . Kodwa kubandakanya ngaphantsi kwama-30 ekhulwini kwii-bhanki eziphakathi. I- eurozone ityala lemeko lonakalise i-euro njengemali yehlabathi jikelele.
I-China kunye nabanye bathi i-currency entsha kufuneka idalwe kwaye isetyenziswe njengemali yehlabathi. Ibhanki eliphambili laseChina iZhou Xiaochuan lihamba elinye inyathelo. Uthi i- yuan kufuneka ithathe indawo yodola ukuze igcine ukukhula koqoqosho kwe-China . I-China ilungile ukuphazamiseka kwixabiso lentengo yeli dola. Kungenxa yokuba nguye umnini-mkhulu kunabo bonke abavela kwi-Treasury yase-US, ngoko yabona ukuba utsalo-mali lwayo lwahla. Ubuthakathaka beli dola kwenza kube nzima ngakumbi kwiChina ukulawula ixabiso le- yuan lifaniswe nedola.
Ngaba i-bitcoin ingayifaka i-dollar ibe yintengo yehlabathi elitsha? Ininzi inzuzo. Alawulwa yiyiphi ibhanki eliphambili lelizwe. Yadalwa, ilawulwa kwaye ichithe kwi-intanethi. Ingasetyenziselwa kwakhona kwiitoro zezitena kunye nezidaka ezithandayo. Ukunikezelwa kwalo kuphelile. Oko kubhenela abo banokukhetha ukuba nemali exhaswa yinto ethile, njengegolide.
Kodwa kukho iingxaki ezinkulu. Okokuqala, ixabiso lalo likhulu kakhulu. Kungenxa yokuba akukho bhanki ephakathi yokuyilawula.
Okwesibini, kuye kwaba yintlawulo yezinto ezikhethiweyo zokusebenza ngokungekho mthethweni ezithintela kwiwebhu. Oku kwenza ukuba kube nzima ukuphazamisa imikhosi engaziwayo.
Iziganeko ezintathu ezinokubangela ukuwa
Ezi zimbini iimeko zenza ukuwa kubenokwenzeka. Kodwa, ayiyi kwenzeka ngaphandle kwesithathu. Esi sisiganeko esikhulu sokwenza uqoqosho esonakalisa ukuzithemba kwidola.
Kuphela, amazwe angaphandle angenawo ama-5 trillion e- US . Ukuba iChina, iJapane okanye abanye abaphathi abakhulu baqala ukulahla la manqaku e-Nondyebo kwiimarike zesekondari, oku kunokubangela ukwethuka okubangele ukuwa. I-China inayo i-$ 1 triliyoni e-US Treasurys. Kungenxa yokuba i-China ikhonkxa i- yuan kwidola. Oku kugcina amaxabiso okuthumela kwawo e-United States angabizi. IJapan ibuye i-$ 1 trillion kwi-Treasurys.
Kwakhona ifuna ukugcina i- yen ephantsi ukukhuthaza amazwe angaphandle kwi-United States. IJapan izama ukuphuma kwiminyaka eyi-15 yokuchasana . Inyikima yenkunkuma kunye nenyukliya ka-2011 ayizange incede.
Ngaba iChina kunye neJapane ziza kulahla iidola zazo? Kuphela ukuba babone ukubamba kwabo behla kwexabiso ngokukhawuleza kwaye banomnye umrhweba wokuthunyelwa kweMelika. Uqoqosho lweJapan kunye neChina lusekelwe kubasebenzisi base-US. Bayazi ukuba xa bathengisa iidola zabo, oko kuya kuqhubeka kugxininise ukubaluleka kwedola. Oko kuthetha ukuba iimveliso zabo, ezisexabiso le yuan kunye neenen, ziya kuba neendleko ezininzi eMelika. Uqoqosho lwazo lwaluza kubandezeleka. Okwangokunje, kusenomdla wabo ukubamba kwi-dollar yabo.
I-China kunye neJapan bayazi ukuba zisengozini. Bathengisa ngakumbi kwamanye amazwe aseAsia ahamba ngokucotha. Kodwa iUnited States isarhwebi kakhulu kwihlabathi.
Idireli iyawa nini?
Ukuwa kwedoli ngeke kwenzeke ngo-2018. Enyanisweni, akunakwenzeka ukuba iya kuwa yonke into. Kungenxa yokuba nawaphi na amazwe anako amandla okwenza oko (i-China, iJapane, kunye nabanye abanikazi bamazwe angaphandle) abafuni ukuba kwenzeke. Akunalo umdla wabo. Kutheni ulahlekelwa ngumthengi wakho ongcono? Endaweni yoko, idola liya kuqhubeka nokuhla kwayo ngokuthe gqolo njengoko la mazwe athola ezinye iimarike.
Yintoni eya kwenzeka emva kokuwa
Ukuwa kwedola ngokukhawuleza kuya kubangela ingxakini yezoqoqosho jikelele. Abatyalomali baya kuthungela kwezinye iirhafu, njenge-euro, okanye ezinye iimpahla, ezifana negolide kunye neemveliso . Imfuno yeNondyebo yayiza kugqithisa, kwaye ixabiso lentengo liya kuphakama. Amanani angenisa amazwe angama-US aya kuphuma phezulu, kubangele ukunyuka kwamaxabiso .
Ukuthunyelwa kwee-US kuya kuba yinto engcolileyo, ukunikezelwa koqoqosho ngokukhawuleza. Ekuhambeni kwexesha, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, inzala ephezulu , kunye nokunyaniseka kuya kubangela ukukhula kwezoshishino. Ukungabikho kwemisebenzi kuya kuba nzima, ukuthumela iUnited States ekubuyiseni kwemali okanye ekudakaleni .
Indlela yokuzikhusela
Zikhusele ukuwa kwedola ngokuzikhusela kokuqala kwi-dollar yokuncipha. Gcina iifayili zakho zihluke kakuhle ngokubamba iimali zentengiso zangaphandle, igolide kunye nezinye izinto.
Ukuwa kwedola kuyakudala ukuphazamiseka koqoqosho lwehlabathi. Ukuze uphendule kulo hlobo lokungaqiniseki, kufuneka uhambe. Gcina ifa lakho liyile , ngoko ungazihambisa njengoko kuyimfuneko. Qinisekisa ukuba izakhono zomsebenzi zithunyelwa. Hlaziya ipasipoti yakho, xa kwenzeka izinto ezimbi kangaka kangangokuba kufuneka uhambe ngokukhawuleza kwelinye ilizwe. Ezi ziindlela ezimbalwa zokuzikhusela kwaye usinde ukubola kwedola .